Burly-Forearm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

195

Trades

346

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 07-10 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 55% +$8

Other

39% 18% -$182

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:45 UTC	14	$132	192	190	+2	Up	+$4	03-13 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:30 UTC	8	$106	94	93	+1	Up	+$27	03-13 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 08:15 UTC	4	$100	64	50	+14	Up	+$0	03-13 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 07:30 UTC	7	$70	71	40	+31	Up	+$11	03-13 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 07:45 UTC	7	$65	74	35	+39	Up	+$4	03-13 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 12:30 UTC	8	$62	74	73	+1	Down	+$2	03-13 12:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 09:30 UTC	7	$58	70	69	+1	Up	-$1	03-13 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:00 UTC	6	$57	60	39	+21	Up	+$8	03-13 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 15:00 UTC	8	$51	61	60	+1	Up	-$6	03-13 15:11
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$50	125	0	+125	No	-$50	03-13 18:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 06:45 UTC	6	$44	53	53	+1	Up	+$4	03-13 06:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:15 UTC	4	$38	135	12	+123	Up	-$16	03-13 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$30	41	0	+41	Up	+$2	05-28 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 07:00 UTC	4	$30	47	15	+32	Up	+$0	03-13 07:15
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$25	93	0	+93	No	-$25	03-13 18:05
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 06:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	3	$19	17	9	+8	No	-$1	05-28 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 14?	2	$17	58	58	+0	No	+$7	05-14 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 06:30 UTC	6	$17	20	9	+11	Up	+$1	03-13 06:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	3	$15	19	14	+5	Yes	-$3	05-27 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	05-29 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 09:15 UTC	2	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	03-13 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	05-13 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 9?	2	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	05-09 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	05-07 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	2	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	+$10	05-11 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	05-11 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 7?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	05-08 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	05-08 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	05-11 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 09:21:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x44a5ec…
07-10 09:21:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x915cbb…
07-10 09:20:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9ee4cb…
07-10 09:20:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x167650…
07-10 09:20:38	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x33021e…
06-02 13:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xebcd9c…
06-02 13:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbda609…
05-29 13:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb7ac0e…
05-29 04:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x776077…
05-28 07:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x11f942…
05-28 07:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf4df62…
05-28 07:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x7e12c0…
05-28 07:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xffc5d0…
05-28 07:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5462da…
05-28 07:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbf731a…
05-28 07:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf37a63…
05-28 07:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x07ab46…
05-28 07:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x44762d…
05-28 07:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x26820d…
05-28 07:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6a40e1…
05-28 07:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x739059…
05-28 07:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x77fe92…
05-28 07:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa7d712…
05-28 07:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xb1a48c…
05-28 07:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x47c80c…
05-28 04:42:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0ec7e1…
05-27 14:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	163	1¢	$1	0x0194eb…
05-27 14:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x70fca0…
05-27 14:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc72772…
05-27 14:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8367ec…
05-27 14:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x68ed78…
05-27 14:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0dc2be…
05-27 13:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4092cd…
05-27 13:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x2be9a3…
05-27 13:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x7966d9…
05-27 13:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1423da…
05-27 09:01:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x436003…
05-27 08:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xf405a7…
05-27 08:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xad4f30…
05-27 08:07:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x206d0d…
05-27 08:07:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x66891d…
05-27 06:06:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa957c0…
05-27 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x33ed57…
05-15 11:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf5a019…
05-15 11:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x2c403a…
05-15 11:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0b3b9c…
05-15 11:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x5baab5…
05-15 11:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9b8e43…
05-15 05:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0x616b59…
05-15 05:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xb660d1…
05-14 15:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or below on May 15?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0x208ab8…
05-14 11:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2df49e…
05-14 07:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8b9cef…
05-14 01:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	58	22¢	$12	0x8c9bb8…
05-13 14:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xecc9ff…
05-13 14:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$3	0x9fdc12…
05-13 14:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x88529f…
05-13 12:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc8ee25…
05-13 12:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x011b90…
05-13 12:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x7aacaf…
05-13 12:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe724f7…
05-13 12:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x322802…
05-13 12:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1e8a17…
05-13 12:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf39f22…
05-13 12:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x31347c…
05-13 12:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0adb1b…
05-13 12:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xd20649…
05-13 12:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2929d4…
05-13 12:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6e34ae…
05-13 12:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd136ad…
05-13 12:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x71ef79…
05-13 12:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x58fea2…
05-13 11:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7e8275…
05-13 11:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x75d5f1…
05-13 11:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x60d738…
05-13 11:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x02a18c…
05-13 11:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe69f3f…
05-13 11:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa5a106…
05-13 11:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x37b6f0…
05-13 11:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb9ed4a…
05-13 11:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa6ea6e…
05-13 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa947cd…
05-13 08:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa377d0…
05-13 08:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xde8aff…
05-13 06:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x88e163…
05-12 12:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xac1a78…
05-12 12:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3304f6…
05-12 12:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x42d78d…
05-12 12:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb655ba…
05-12 12:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4fcfb9…
05-12 12:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe7dfde…
05-12 12:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x211188…
05-12 12:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaeae06…
05-12 12:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x72e9db…
05-12 12:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xd54478…
05-12 12:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x60f3aa…
05-12 12:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x28590f…
05-12 12:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x607cb1…
05-12 12:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8135ca…
05-12 12:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xf4c753…