Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$636
$262 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$453
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 08:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $47 | $106 | $59 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $425 | $57 | +$368 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $407 | $7 | +$400 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $116 | $116 |
| Median | 4 | $10 | $14 | $4 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $54 | — | +$54 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Original-Employment 0x9196…d934 | Yes | +317 | $309 | $309 | 2 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +120 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 05-14 00:21 |
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | No | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 06:44 |
| Neat-Regulation 0x2c57…372d | Yes | +60 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-15 04:44 |
| Unhealthy-Coliseum 0x16ca…1ec7 | Yes | +57 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-15 06:39 |
| Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | Yes | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-15 06:09 |
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | +48 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-15 02:52 |
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 22:32 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 02:53 |
| Free-Lag 0xd1e8…2f82 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 07:59 |
| Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x32a9…7722 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 00:00 |
| Uncomfortable-Smith 0x4d3e…2e20 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 22:24 |
| Tepid-Pepperoni 0x7581…2ca4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ece…5efa | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 00:00 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 22:57 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:20 |
| Feline-Differential 0xce4e…1747 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 08:45:53 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x10440e… |
| 05-15 08:45:51 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xda808f… |
| 05-15 08:45:46 | Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e03c8… |
| 05-15 07:59:41 | Free-Lag 0xd1e8…2f82 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3667c6… |
| 05-15 06:59:24 | Original-Employment 0x9196…d934 | Yes | BUY | 276 | 98¢ | $270 | 0x75c407… |
| 05-15 06:44:29 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | No | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6be4dd… |
| 05-15 06:39:25 | Unhealthy-Coliseum 0x16ca…1ec7 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x21e96c… |
| 05-15 06:39:16 | Original-Employment 0x9196…d934 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 95¢ | $39 | 0x555208… |
| 05-15 06:09:29 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x361930… |
| 05-15 05:34:14 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | BUY | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xd0043d… |
| 05-15 04:44:28 | Neat-Regulation 0x2c57…372d | Yes | BUY | 60 | 70¢ | $42 | 0xa5a1a7… |
| 05-15 02:53:08 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x1b5e67… |
| 05-15 02:52:56 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x658800… |
| 05-15 00:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x32a9…7722 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x7aed7c… |
| 05-15 00:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x5ece…5efa | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x1f78ec… |
| 05-14 23:07:39 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x1dc35f… |
| 05-14 22:57:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x9ffde7… |
| 05-14 22:24:36 | Uncomfortable-Smith 0x4d3e…2e20 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x42cd8e… |
| 05-14 12:20:37 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x02150c… |
| 05-14 04:00:23 | Feline-Differential 0xce4e…1747 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x8e6cab… |
| 05-14 00:21:22 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 120 | 88¢ | $106 | 0x443585… |
| 05-13 22:58:09 | Tepid-Pepperoni 0x7581…2ca4 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd9723e… |
| 05-13 22:32:35 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 17 | 92¢ | $15 | 0x54a68f… |
| 05-13 14:53:28 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe3e910… |