Neat-Regulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$130

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

2,513

Trades

42,216

lifetime

Volume

$292.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$57

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-24 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

99% 25% +$17,463

Crypto

0% 100% +$112

Tech

0% 0% -$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 680 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes		+270	$186	21¢	$57	-$130	10-24 12:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	132	$6.7K	5,387	5,387	+0	Yes	+$3,712	05-27 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	66	$3.3K	3,064	3,064	+0	Yes	+$2,502	05-31 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	126	$2.7K	2,655	2,655	+0	Yes	+$819	07-25 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	33	$2.6K	2,405	2,405	+0	Yes	+$1,700	08-20 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?	107	$2.4K	2,018	2,018	+0	Yes	+$571	06-05 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?	57	$2.3K	1,780	1,780	+0	Yes	+$1,187	05-30 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?	37	$2.3K	1,436	1,436	+0	Yes	+$436	06-07 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	79	$2.2K	1,591	1,591	+0	Yes	+$195	05-28 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?	27	$2.0K	1,437	1,437	+0	Yes	+$290	08-01 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 23?	31	$1.5K	961	961	+0	Yes	+$430	07-23 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?	42	$1.4K	1,010	1,010	+0	Yes	+$498	07-23 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	92	$1.4K	1,191	1,191	+0	Yes	+$553	05-25 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	14	$1.4K	1,103	1,103	+0	Yes	+$727	08-26 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 26?	33	$1.4K	1,148	1,148	+0	Yes	+$808	07-26 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?	29	$1.3K	1,472	1,472	+0	Yes	+$657	06-04 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 2?	63	$1.3K	1,245	1,245	+0	Yes	+$602	07-02 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 29?	19	$1.3K	1,017	1,017	+0	Yes	+$440	05-29 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	63	$1.3K	1,065	1,065	+0	Yes	+$867	06-17 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?	109	$1.3K	1,165	1,165	+0	Yes	+$614	06-03 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	5	$1.2K	856	856	+0	Yes	+$464	08-26 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?	50	$1.2K	816	816	+0	Yes	+$395	06-13 11:01
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	11	$1.2K	922	912	+10	Yes	+$20	08-05 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 26?	67	$1.2K	987	987	+0	Yes	+$681	05-26 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	67	$1.2K	905	905	+0	Yes	+$631	06-15 08:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.2K	755	755	+0	No	+$112	06-01 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1?	16	$1.2K	738	738	+0	Yes	+$280	08-01 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	25	$1.1K	1,418	1,006	+412	Yes	+$221	08-12 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	33	$1.1K	820	820	+0	Yes	+$396	06-18 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?	44	$1.1K	903	903	+0	Yes	+$709	06-01 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?	21	$1.1K	694	694	+0	Yes	+$332	06-02 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 12:29:09	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xc0631b…
10-24 12:29:05	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa3cdd5…
10-24 12:28:32	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x188fa0…
10-24 12:28:27	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x926046…
08-27 16:37:54	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	59¢	$201	0xbe6279…
08-27 09:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	112	2¢	$2	0xa53028…
08-27 00:24:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 27?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xea1f3f…
08-27 00:24:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9508e0…
08-27 00:15:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x660925…
08-26 10:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	143	22¢	$31	0xf24344…
08-26 09:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3d1445…
08-26 09:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9c395b…
08-26 09:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	247	22¢	$54	0x16425e…
08-26 09:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	285	100¢	$285	0x0eddd6…
08-26 08:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x3d97b1…
08-26 08:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	109	22¢	$24	0xc0610d…
08-26 08:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x006e31…
08-26 08:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0x9fb761…
08-26 08:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	144	22¢	$32	0x2d7bcd…
08-26 08:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2a24a…
08-26 08:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xfb5d90…
08-26 08:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x61eea9…
08-26 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xd259b0…
08-26 08:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xf5bd52…
08-26 08:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x4bf1ee…
08-26 08:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x091043…
08-26 08:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf45fba…
08-26 08:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x180d97…
08-26 08:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x892be0…
08-26 08:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	492	100¢	$491	0x5614b4…
08-26 08:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	364	100¢	$364	0x6f1588…
08-26 08:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x03471e…
08-26 07:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x0a5125…
08-26 07:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8f334b…
08-26 07:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	817	97¢	$793	0xa4a231…
08-26 07:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	170	88¢	$149	0xaa55da…
08-26 07:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x64812e…
08-26 07:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x007980…
08-26 03:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x1627b6…
08-26 03:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x89fca1…
08-26 03:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x19126b…
08-26 03:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x17ab2f…
08-26 03:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0x84ff6c…
08-26 03:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x9d1df7…
08-26 03:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x2466e3…
08-26 03:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x2e027c…
08-26 03:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	48	25¢	$12	0x774bc8…
08-26 03:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0x6ef791…
08-26 03:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	32	47¢	$15	0x617bf8…
08-26 03:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0xa8045a…
08-26 02:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	244	1¢	$2	0xaef62d…
08-26 02:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xece11c…
08-26 02:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x239b4b…
08-26 02:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x966749…
08-26 02:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x7be6c8…
08-26 02:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x786500…
08-26 02:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd2590c…
08-26 02:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x32c8e6…
08-26 02:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x43f84f…
08-26 02:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	67	9¢	$6	0x580c45…
08-26 02:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x46a991…
08-26 02:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x596958…
08-26 02:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x5598a5…
08-26 02:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x44be21…
08-26 02:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x6a6d3c…
08-26 02:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x73365c…
08-26 02:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xca8541…
08-26 02:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x501a26…
08-26 02:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x73d8fd…
08-26 02:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x3d7176…
08-26 02:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x9a2dcd…
08-26 02:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xdc8e14…
08-26 02:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x68b25b…
08-26 02:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x3dc072…
08-26 02:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x464d11…
08-26 02:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0xe71a15…
08-26 02:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	89	26¢	$23	0xae1735…
08-26 02:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xfdd2a1…
08-26 02:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	224	1¢	$2	0x19437b…
08-26 02:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x757c5e…
08-26 02:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	71	16¢	$11	0x47a5ea…
08-26 02:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?	No	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x3e62e6…
08-26 02:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xdd59d8…
08-26 02:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?	No	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x25ec7e…
08-26 02:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xf7f0ba…
08-26 02:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x39d924…
08-26 02:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	79	3¢	$2	0x1ebdfc…
08-26 02:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0x293c99…
08-26 02:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0x281dce…
08-26 02:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xf59715…
08-26 02:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x40c06d…
08-26 01:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	157	4¢	$7	0xee99cc…
08-26 01:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	107	4¢	$5	0x94a028…
08-26 01:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xef297c…
08-26 01:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	144	27¢	$39	0xe49564…
08-26 01:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb20974…
08-26 01:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf4e22d…
08-26 01:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x02298b…
08-26 01:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa1d132…
08-26 00:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0x730a9e…