Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$154
Trades
28
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$976
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 03:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $48 | $104 | $57 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $21 | $53 | $32 |
| Median | 3 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
| Below median | 2 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $24 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| unranked | 6 | $13 | $6 | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | Yes | +82 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 03:18 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +49 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-11 17:29 |
| Milky-Reference 0xe8cb…8e7c | Yes | +38 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 13:18 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 05-12 02:18 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-11 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-11 18:25 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 23:49 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-11 23:15 |
| Tight-Contractor 0x827d…b1f0 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c67…e770 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 13:56 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 11:08 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 23:48 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 02:18 |
| Bustling-Abundance 0xc553…a7bd | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 02:37 |
| Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 11:08 |
| Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 02:03 |
| Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 03:18:07 | Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | Yes | BUY | 82 | 20¢ | $16 | 0x9e2854… |
| 05-12 02:37:52 | Bustling-Abundance 0xc553…a7bd | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xa475c3… |
| 05-12 02:18:32 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x725174… |
| 05-12 02:18:11 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x5d9adf… |
| 05-12 02:03:50 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x29451c… |
| 05-12 02:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x851219… |
| 05-12 01:18:28 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x52f6ad… |
| 05-12 01:18:27 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xab7d78… |
| 05-11 23:49:08 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x56df71… |
| 05-11 23:49:08 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x3c2228… |
| 05-11 23:48:30 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 11 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xe86c85… |
| 05-11 23:47:28 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x5ac7f9… |
| 05-11 23:15:43 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | BUY | 19 | 81¢ | $15 | 0x1bb71b… |
| 05-11 21:54:15 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xac69bf… |
| 05-11 18:25:09 | (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | BUY | 19 | 78¢ | $15 | 0x3e39b1… |
| 05-11 18:14:32 | Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x4c22ef… |
| 05-11 17:29:18 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 49 | 78¢ | $38 | 0x403250… |
| 05-11 15:27:47 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x5b3267… |
| 05-11 13:57:00 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x1f2f06… |
| 05-11 13:56:58 | (anonymous) 0x9c67…e770 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xd5436b… |
| 05-11 13:18:19 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x7a9d95… |
| 05-11 13:18:17 | Milky-Reference 0xe8cb…8e7c | Yes | BUY | 38 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x7622a2… |
| 05-11 11:08:25 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xa91bf8… |
| 05-11 11:08:23 | (anonymous) 0x30e2…0455 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x344832… |
| 05-11 11:08:23 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5c3e44… |
| 05-11 10:21:24 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1930d9… |
| 05-11 10:12:21 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x174d5d… |
| 05-11 06:59:07 | Tight-Contractor 0x827d…b1f0 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x41a5c3… |