Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$257
$489 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,350
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 09:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $50 | $181 | $131 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $40 | $58 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $5 | $11 | $6 |
| Median | 4 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $69 | $67 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $44 | $44 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | +296 | $40 | $40 | 6 | 05-10 09:14 |
| Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | +63 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-10 08:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-10 04:21 |
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +46 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-10 03:01 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 08:08 |
| Burly-Forearm 0xaf2e…9382 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:51 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 08:48 |
| Enraged-Foreigner 0xe935…5b51 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:14 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 08:53 |
| Harsh-Depression 0x4801…e6cc | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:31 |
| Salty-Towtruck 0x1400…935a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:48 |
| Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $8 | 2 | 05-10 08:56 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 09:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 07:18 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:11 |
| Ill-Posterior 0xf211…385d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:14:58 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xac39a8… |
| 05-10 09:14:35 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x7d9822… |
| 05-10 09:11:40 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x42fbc0… |
| 05-10 09:11:40 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xd4ae43… |
| 05-10 09:08:49 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xfcd2dc… |
| 05-10 08:56:28 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x3c57a0… |
| 05-10 08:53:09 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xbce5cb… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5d5386… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x8d55d4… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x4bc250… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9c2503… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa3f19e… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb6e556… |
| 05-10 08:43:17 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xeee680… |
| 05-10 08:37:27 | Ill-Posterior 0xf211…385d | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x69e160… |
| 05-10 08:08:37 | Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | BUY | 63 | 89¢ | $56 | 0x2d5e53… |
| 05-10 08:08:14 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x32867a… |
| 05-10 07:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x3ee747… |
| 05-10 07:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x358641… |
| 05-10 07:18:06 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x6b03ed… |
| 05-10 06:58:17 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x300135… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5eb4fe… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xfa77ac… |
| 05-10 06:31:33 | Harsh-Depression 0x4801…e6cc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xade490… |
| 05-10 06:03:13 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x307866… |
| 05-10 04:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x725e93… |
| 05-10 04:14:00 | Enraged-Foreigner 0xe935…5b51 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3586f9… |
| 05-10 03:51:30 | Burly-Forearm 0xaf2e…9382 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4d51d5… |
| 05-10 03:01:52 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 46 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x739a7a… |
| 05-09 18:56:28 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x05236e… |
| 05-09 18:56:28 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xa415e4… |
| 05-09 18:55:25 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x39422c… |
| 05-09 18:52:18 | Salty-Towtruck 0x1400…935a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x996500… |