Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$323
$2,220 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$3,822
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 07:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $121 | $121 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $14 | $185 | $171 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $4 | $62 | $57 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $101 | $99 |
| Median | 8 | $3 | $13 | $10 |
| Below median | 9 | $2 | $114 | $112 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 6 | $1 | $17 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-10 23:41 |
| Valuable-Randomization 0x7439…b8ef | No | +65 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-11 05:18 |
| Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | +45 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-10 06:11 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +37 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 05-11 07:25 |
| Known-Petitioner 0x57b9…05a0 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 05:19 |
| Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-11 05:14 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +28 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 20:56 |
| Defenseless-First 0x6d25…c617 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:17 |
| Sandro 0xbc5d…4536 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 09:32 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-10 07:27 |
| Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:48 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:07 |
| Shabby-Infarction-Inversion 0x0a98…485a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 23:12 |
| Tattered-Boxspring 0xfd12…7f29 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 03:48 |
| Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 20:11 |
| Utter-Winery 0xc6a5…bc9f | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 09:24 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 13:36 |
| Automatic-Weight 0x0e65…6789 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:09 |
| Front-Capitalism 0x2f36…8700 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:08 |
| Grown-Hamburger 0x84b3…cd98 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 09:24 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:47 |
| Oval-Iris 0x8f65…2356 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:13 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xca30…7eb2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 07:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 07:25:12 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5df564… |
| 05-11 07:25:01 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x472a74… |
| 05-11 05:19:10 | Known-Petitioner 0x57b9…05a0 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3114fc… |
| 05-11 05:18:47 | Valuable-Randomization 0x7439…b8ef | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0xa9dc89… |
| 05-11 05:14:23 | Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x26aec8… |
| 05-11 04:17:57 | Defenseless-First 0x6d25…c617 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcaa495… |
| 05-11 04:09:07 | Automatic-Weight 0x0e65…6789 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xcc4494… |
| 05-11 04:08:32 | Front-Capitalism 0x2f36…8700 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x4953d6… |
| 05-11 04:03:08 | Grown-Hamburger 0x84b3…cd98 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x39f5ef… |
| 05-11 03:48:26 | Tattered-Boxspring 0xfd12…7f29 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xda6b2c… |
| 05-11 03:48:26 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xaed8bf… |
| 05-11 00:13:41 | Oval-Iris 0x8f65…2356 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x21e122… |
| 05-11 00:07:09 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x408705… |
| 05-10 23:41:08 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x2418ca… |
| 05-10 23:12:48 | Shabby-Infarction-Inversion 0x0a98…485a | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xbef8fd… |
| 05-10 22:53:02 | Troubled-Bulk-Vanadyl 0xd0a1…73db | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4e58bf… |
| 05-10 22:22:02 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x949a52… |
| 05-10 20:56:52 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x883497… |
| 05-10 20:56:32 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x486f47… |
| 05-10 20:11:58 | Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0fbb46… |
| 05-10 19:44:21 | Ill-Posterior 0xf211…385d | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x993ea7… |
| 05-10 16:01:14 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe7f1f5… |
| 05-10 13:36:06 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd490d0… |
| 05-10 13:36:04 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x4e53e3… |
| 05-10 12:30:37 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf9a58a… |
| 05-10 09:32:23 | Sandro 0xbc5d…4536 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xa2d833… |
| 05-10 09:24:42 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x7ac01f… |
| 05-10 09:24:07 | Utter-Winery 0xc6a5…bc9f | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xfcfcab… |
| 05-10 09:23:34 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x29c4d6… |
| 05-10 07:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa18cf1… |
| 05-10 07:28:29 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x0108d5… |
| 05-10 07:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd12bae… |
| 05-10 07:28:29 | (anonymous) 0xca30…7eb2 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x3c37ef… |
| 05-10 07:28:20 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x4bf2cb… |
| 05-10 07:27:41 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xd7e841… |
| 05-10 07:27:41 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x59e88c… |
| 05-10 06:11:37 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0x3990eb… |
| 05-10 05:26:44 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xaf02c9… |
| 05-10 05:26:42 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0x391be3… |
| 05-10 04:47:53 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8f4ffa… |