Wary-Tabernacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

436

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-19 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

79% 80% -$4

Crypto

16% 76% +$1

Politics

3% 86% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	3	$113	56	56	+0	No	$0	07-21 11:42
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	07-20 00:55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-24 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on May 26?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-26 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	4	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-23 13:27
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 23?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-23 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or below on July 23?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-22 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 25?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-25 05:17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on July 28?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-27 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-22 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 27?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-27 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 24?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 19:56
will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 27	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-27 22:30
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	5	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-31 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on July 30?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-29 12:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-19 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 24?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 29?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on July 31?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-30 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 27?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-27 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 30?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 26?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C or below on July 31?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-30 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 26?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 19:38
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-28 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 20:59
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 22?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 23?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-23 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xba58d4…
10-18 17:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5cfa55…
10-16 07:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x8fcbdd…
10-13 18:53:42	Will "East of Eden" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x480443…
10-13 09:15:41	Will "East of Eden" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31908b…
10-12 09:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x75e16b…
10-12 05:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on October 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x91c9df…
10-12 01:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcf0e09…
10-11 21:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf2ccf2…
10-11 20:34:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc9a950…
10-11 19:51:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd212ac…
10-10 06:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4b6660…
10-05 08:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xdc35a1…
10-02 03:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x996fd3…
10-01 21:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x521c20…
10-01 05:19:18	bitcoin above 94k on october 2 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe76996…
09-28 05:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x87f6b4…
09-27 19:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb2d123…
09-23 03:18:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x80ff88…
09-23 00:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x971d77…
09-22 18:46:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe22ee9…
09-22 14:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x56393a…
09-21 23:21:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa039a9…
09-18 19:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x39e43e…
09-17 23:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xafe3ec…
09-17 13:30:55	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdeda18…
09-13 05:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe49706…
09-11 01:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x36c64a…
09-10 19:32:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5be19f…
09-07 16:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa4a679…
09-06 21:38:16	will bitcoin reach 84k august 31 september 6 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x72292b…
09-06 05:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x79b077…
09-05 23:12:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x22e9ce…
09-05 05:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1ab97…
09-05 01:42:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e3715…
09-04 19:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xeade23…
09-04 19:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0d1f3d…
09-04 13:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4e4876…
09-04 03:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc86e48…
09-03 16:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x802a44…
09-03 07:11:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x64dc86…
09-02 22:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1245e7…
09-02 18:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4cf629…
09-02 11:34:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5015f9…
09-02 08:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x84b9a8…
09-01 07:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9f10d7…
09-01 05:42:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd6ad39…
08-30 23:25:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xacf613…
08-30 17:14:40	Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum not occur by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aa884…
08-30 10:32:34	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x283225…
08-29 21:02:28	will bitcoin reach 81k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc252bf…
08-29 15:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd10fc6…
08-29 09:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x64801b…
08-29 07:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 29?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x185738…
08-27 14:04:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf572e8…
08-27 06:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8de35…
08-26 22:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd989cf…
08-26 20:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x62d489…
08-26 12:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x05fe2a…
08-26 08:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 26?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xef5ab6…
08-25 10:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x94c968…
08-25 03:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x865916…
08-25 01:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a838b…
08-24 23:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x62b863…
08-24 06:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7ebe84…
08-24 04:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x30a9be…
08-23 20:08:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf230e1…
08-14 17:06:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x227d34…
08-14 09:35:43	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1887ed…
08-13 17:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1281b8…
08-13 13:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6ca4b9…
08-13 11:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf75c92…
08-13 06:20:18	will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432962	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb67d3b…
08-12 22:43:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfb7e99…
08-12 08:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc8ff5…
08-12 05:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on August 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a44ad…
08-12 03:17:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd57696…
08-11 21:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x37c9ac…
08-11 11:37:01	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x226252…
08-10 22:45:18	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8e487a…
08-10 21:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x469cd9…
08-10 13:28:12	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x65f299…
08-10 12:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb6338e…
08-09 14:38:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4f9585…
08-09 07:49:16	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d1a6d…
08-09 04:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x40c0ee…
08-09 03:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9f1c13…
08-08 18:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 9?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x468759…
08-08 06:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe17b1e…
08-08 01:46:43	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9f8270…
08-07 19:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfecf3b…
08-07 16:48:10	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2146e0…
08-07 08:34:15	will spy dip to 715 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6fec1d…
08-06 09:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a4b1c…
08-06 01:21:50	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x766693…
08-06 00:51:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1d59ef…
08-05 19:51:03	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf1cb39…
08-05 17:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xac4b88…
08-05 12:34:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x34d441…
07-31 18:02:56	spcx above 160 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x47caa1…