Tremendous-Referendum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

729

Trades

3,676

lifetime

Volume

$469.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Other

58% 89% -$3,400

Crypto

40% 98% +$123

Politics

3% 100% +$50

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	68	$22.4K	13,893	9,162	+4,731	Yes	+$56	01-26 11:14
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	42	$13.2K	8,809	4,404	+4,404	No	+$4	01-29 07:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	20	$8.8K	4,422	4,422	+0	No	+$0	02-02 18:58
bitcoin above 96k on february 5	22	$8.8K	4,409	4,409	+0	No	+$0	02-04 00:25
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	31	$8.7K	7,284	1,450	+5,834	Yes	+$45	02-28 07:35
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	5	$5.4K	4,404	1,017	+3,387	No	+$8	01-27 11:31
highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 18corhigher	25	$5.1K	2,549	2,522	+27	No	+$3	03-20 14:10
xrp above 1 on february 28	2	$4.3K	4,344	0	+4,344	Yes	+$4	02-28 11:16
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	4	$4.2K	2,804	1,373	+1,431	Yes	+$5	02-28 07:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 25c	5	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	04-06 04:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 28c	14	$3.8K	2,439	1,506	+933	No	+$99	04-13 04:27
highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	40	$3.8K	2,063	2,010	+53	Yes	+$150	04-10 08:21
xrp above 1 on march 12	4	$3.5K	3,413	125	+3,288	Yes	+$4	03-12 08:04
will xrp dip to 0pt8 march 2 8	1	$3.5K	3,494	0	+3,494	No	+$4	03-08 03:05
bitcoin above 88k on february 8	1	$3.3K	3,317	0	+3,317	No	+$3	02-06 02:19
bitcoin above 90k on february 5	1	$3.3K	3,314	0	+3,314	No	+$3	02-04 10:28
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 27c	11	$3.3K	1,762	1,523	+239	No	+$9	04-13 02:57
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 29c	65	$3.2K	1,840	1,503	+337	Yes	+$6	04-13 08:07
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	11	$3.2K	1,900	1,425	+475	Yes	+$5	04-13 15:40
will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 16 22	1	$3.2K	3,239	0	+3,239	No	+$3	02-22 02:36
solana above 120 on february 9	1	$3.1K	3,078	0	+3,078	No	+$3	02-09 05:28
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 27c	6	$3.1K	2,828	297	+2,531	No	+$50	04-14 03:47
will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	1	$2.9K	2,879	0	+2,879	No	+$3	03-30 07:32
highest temperature in hong kong on april 9 2026 28c	31	$2.5K	1,299	1,248	+52	Yes	+$31	04-09 09:15
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 27c	21	$2.4K	1,648	1,648	+0	No	-$843	04-11 06:47
xrp above 1 on march 19	2	$2.4K	2,394	0	+2,394	Yes	+$3	03-18 07:44
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 14 2026 28c	9	$2.4K	2,047	341	+1,706	No	+$28	04-14 02:21
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 28c	23	$2.4K	2,434	81	+2,353	No	-$2,279	04-14 06:58
highest temperature in hong kong on april 7 2026 29c	16	$2.3K	1,200	1,199	+2	Yes	+$51	04-07 15:24
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 7	1	$2.3K	2,345	0	+2,345	No	+$2	03-06 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 11:08:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 18?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xc24540…
07-17 11:07:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on July 19?	No	BUY	552	100¢	$551	0xbaf952…
07-17 11:06:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x6fe4ba…
07-10 12:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on July 11?	No	BUY	984	100¢	$983	0x4c0f63…
07-07 02:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 8?	No	BUY	488	100¢	$487	0x6fb822…
07-07 02:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on July 8?	No	BUY	496	100¢	$495	0x3e1685…
07-05 07:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	824	100¢	$823	0x5d5444…
07-05 07:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x0095e5…
07-03 01:55:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	446	100¢	$446	0x1e7b9e…
07-03 01:54:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x610078…
07-03 01:52:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x2ddcc6…
07-03 01:50:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa26254…
07-03 01:50:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x75caa1…
07-01 02:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 1?	No	BUY	981	100¢	$980	0xed753a…
06-30 03:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x9e3cdf…
06-30 03:42:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 30?	No	BUY	730	100¢	$730	0x468bdb…
06-29 02:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 29?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x9ad7d9…
06-29 02:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 29?	No	BUY	514	100¢	$514	0x1c5e9a…
06-29 02:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 29?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x3a7adf…
06-27 04:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 28?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x90d985…
06-27 04:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on June 28?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x42e16b…
06-27 04:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on June 28?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xc07892…
06-27 04:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 28?	No	BUY	524	100¢	$523	0xe399c4…
06-27 04:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xc26c73…
06-25 12:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xed5595…
06-25 12:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0x611edf…
06-25 12:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 26?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xce636b…
06-25 12:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 26?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7b51d0…
06-25 12:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	564	100¢	$563	0x52ba3b…
06-22 02:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 23?	No	BUY	566	100¢	$565	0x19e8e7…
06-21 03:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0xd76f4e…
06-21 03:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	710	100¢	$709	0x21ed8a…
06-20 03:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 20?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xe784c2…
06-20 03:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x8ac2ed…
06-20 03:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xa7ee40…
06-19 03:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 19?	No	BUY	591	100¢	$590	0x89cb43…
06-19 03:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 20?	No	BUY	382	100¢	$382	0xf58ae1…
06-18 02:36:32	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 18?	No	BUY	510	100¢	$510	0x683d84…
06-17 03:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	509	100¢	$509	0xbb3809…
06-17 03:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	462	100¢	$461	0x87339d…
06-16 03:51:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	721	100¢	$720	0x1d2d14…
06-15 03:44:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	624	100¢	$623	0x1d9a09…
06-15 03:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on June 16?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xa33d82…
06-15 03:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xa5275d…
06-14 05:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0xb3e425…
06-14 05:23:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x80b3b4…
06-13 05:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x6dbc86…
06-12 06:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?	No	BUY	718	100¢	$718	0x52256e…
06-12 06:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x4f3693…
06-11 12:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	967	100¢	$966	0xe42521…
06-10 03:43:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 10?	No	BUY	966	100¢	$965	0x2c8b70…
06-09 07:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x5149b0…
06-09 07:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 9?	No	BUY	889	100¢	$888	0x5f2e97…
06-08 07:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	613	100¢	$612	0x882d4c…
06-08 07:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	351	100¢	$351	0x397515…
06-07 06:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?	No	BUY	374	100¢	$374	0xeed878…
06-07 06:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xefb4af…
06-07 05:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?	No	BUY	567	100¢	$565	0x9517f5…
06-05 08:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	929	100¢	$928	0xa7f649…
06-04 09:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	621	100¢	$620	0xc4df66…
06-04 09:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on June 5?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4d7844…
06-03 08:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?	No	BUY	959	100¢	$958	0xc721c2…
06-02 08:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	958	100¢	$957	0x605cf9…
06-01 04:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0xe78669…
05-31 08:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x8963ec…
05-31 03:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeca89b…
05-31 03:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xb89621…
05-31 03:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?	No	SELL	331	100¢	$331	0x213303…
05-31 03:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xef1546…
05-31 02:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3a0f46…
05-31 02:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?	No	BUY	428	100¢	$427	0xf62635…
05-30 09:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	529	100¢	$528	0x937c52…
05-30 09:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	347	100¢	$347	0x77eecb…
05-29 09:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	875	100¢	$874	0x215127…
05-29 08:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xec3a43…
05-29 02:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x7fe88a…
05-28 09:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x052184…
05-28 06:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xbcaf58…
05-28 04:45:05	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1c4a3d…
05-28 02:29:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x2f7f5d…
05-28 01:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 28?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x3c83fd…
05-28 01:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xfe9101…
05-28 01:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 29?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4dd93b…
05-28 01:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x7b9eba…
05-28 01:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xd50dcb…
05-28 01:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 28?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0xefb2d4…
05-27 10:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xb85eb8…
05-27 03:59:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 27?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd1db6f…
05-27 03:59:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 27?	No	BUY	385	100¢	$384	0x06125a…
05-27 03:58:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 27?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x77af38…
05-27 03:58:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf3b068…
05-25 06:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x038b23…
05-25 03:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 25?	No	SELL	377	100¢	$376	0x8f41a0…
05-25 03:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 25?	No	SELL	423	100¢	$423	0x2dc73a…
05-25 03:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x72b3c7…
05-25 02:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 25?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$793	0x9d11a8…
05-24 03:13:21	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 24?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x012624…
05-24 03:11:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 24?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x379eb7…
05-23 05:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xc6e009…
05-23 05:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on May 25?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$371	0x8747e1…