Fresh-Disclosure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$938

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-16 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 46% $-34

Other

20% 100% +$1

Tech

9% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$152	122	63	+58	Up	+$16	05-07 16:28
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$108	256	256	+0	open	—	02-14 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	6	$68	212	152	+60	open	—	05-04 15:34
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$64	3,366	0	+3,366	open	—	02-14 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$59	275	275	+0	open	—	05-04 15:15
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$48	520	520	+0	open	—	02-09 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$42	62	11	+50	Down	+$15	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$37	48	27	+21	open	—	05-04 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$33	52	0	+52	Down	$-33	05-07 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	7	$32	48	48	+0	open	—	05-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$30	48	0	+48	Down	$-30	05-07 16:56
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 01:52
xrp updown 15m 1770433200	4	$24	127	28	+99	open	—	02-07 03:10
gpt 5pt5 released by april 22 2026	3	$24	98	57	+41	open	—	04-16 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$20	30	0	+30	Up	+$10	05-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$16	21	0	+21	Up	+$5	05-07 16:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14?	2	$14	9	7	+2	open	—	05-14 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$12	53	53	+0	Down	$-8	05-07 16:38
xrp updown 15m 1770434100	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	02-07 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	05-04 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$8	19	5	+14	Down	+$2	05-05 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$8	82	0	+82	open	—	05-04 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	9	$7	158	0	+158	Up	$-7	05-07 16:23
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-16 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	open	—	05-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 20:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7d125b…
05-16 20:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x066f80…
05-16 20:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xf073ea…
05-15 21:26:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb8c62d…
05-15 17:28:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc73299…
05-15 17:27:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xea2eed…
05-15 02:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x93adcb…
05-15 02:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x54ce26…
05-15 02:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0e9efa…
05-15 02:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xd1d832…
05-15 02:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7c03fe…
05-15 02:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8f19cf…
05-15 02:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc36075…
05-15 02:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9297ec…
05-15 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcae7cc…
05-15 02:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4f4296…
05-15 01:52:53	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xdcc0d2…
05-15 01:37:08	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xbb1d3a…
05-14 20:11:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xc647b4…
05-14 19:46:59	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2978b3…
05-14 17:22:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0xc35373…
05-14 17:17:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x83f95e…
05-10 22:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x31d79c…
05-10 22:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe5f556…
05-10 22:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbc3b2b…
05-10 22:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x893c38…
05-10 22:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x72c84d…
05-10 22:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xadf7bb…
05-10 22:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdc64da…
05-10 22:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0f562f…
05-10 22:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x363f48…
05-07 16:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf64903…
05-07 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7bc653…
05-07 16:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa8deb7…
05-07 16:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xb6f7c8…
05-07 16:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x53ce29…
05-07 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd4a617…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xdc86fe…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x83bf45…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x466b46…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3538fa…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1423ff…
05-07 16:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x50293a…
05-07 16:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	63	87¢	$55	0x267efd…
05-07 16:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xfa6d18…
05-07 16:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb5629d…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xdfeb4e…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc22435…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb8304f…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7511ed…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x2eb6fc…
05-07 16:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9920f9…
05-07 16:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x8f0bea…
05-07 16:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9812ad…
05-07 16:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4e17ca…
05-07 16:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xff9abf…
05-07 16:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x5a2451…
05-07 16:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x629aa5…
05-05 16:51:46	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x499ecd…
05-05 16:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x473fff…
05-05 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x263be5…
05-05 16:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xae313b…
05-05 16:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc9f123…
05-04 19:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x8e6956…
05-04 19:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd31c11…
05-04 18:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb68956…
05-04 18:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd2a8cd…
05-04 18:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0x036eb0…
05-04 18:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5288e4…
05-04 18:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd855af…
05-04 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4b8f6d…
05-04 18:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x420bbb…
05-04 18:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xccdcdb…
05-04 18:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa101f2…
05-04 18:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf73ad2…
05-04 15:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1f5629…
05-04 15:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb4baaa…
05-04 15:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe71518…
05-04 15:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0xce4b5f…
05-04 15:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4f7618…
05-04 15:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	152	22¢	$34	0xada88d…
05-04 15:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9e8bec…
05-04 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1898bd…
05-04 15:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8bdabd…
05-04 15:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x4907c4…
05-04 15:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3a515c…
05-04 15:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc6e4cc…
05-04 15:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4e551b…
05-04 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	43	42¢	$18	0x9f40f7…
05-04 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5ecdd5…
05-04 15:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x355657…
05-04 15:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	267	14¢	$38	0x8d49f0…
05-04 15:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd4f491…
05-04 15:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa5f33a…
05-04 15:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x084113…
05-04 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe85fd0…
05-04 15:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x64c4c6…
05-04 15:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc08260…
04-16 17:18:02	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x18c5bd…
04-16 17:17:48	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x1a1c80…