Fresh-Disclosure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-17 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 44% -$23

Other

31% 54% -$27

Tech

8% 20% -$21

Sports

3% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$152	122	63	+58	Up	+$16	05-07 16:28
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$108	256	256	+0	No	+$21	02-14 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	6	$68	212	152	+60	Down	$0	05-04 15:34
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$64	3,366	0	+3,366	No	-$64	02-14 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$59	275	275	+0	Down	+$29	05-04 15:15
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$48	520	520	+0	No	-$8	02-09 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$42	62	11	+50	Down	+$15	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$37	48	27	+21	Up	+$6	05-04 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$33	52	0	+52	Down	-$33	05-07 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	7	$32	48	48	+0	Down	+$8	05-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$30	48	48	+0	Down	-$30	05-07 16:59
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5	2	$28	16	16	+0	Under	+$4	05-15 01:52
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 03:00 UTC	4	$24	127	28	+99	Up	+$1	02-07 03:10
gpt 5pt5 released by april 22 2026	3	$24	98	57	+41	No	-$10	04-16 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 12?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	05-12 20:34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$22	35	0	+35	Yes	+$13	05-05 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$20	30	0	+30	Up	+$10	05-07 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	5	$18	18	16	+2	Yes	-$3	05-13 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$16	21	0	+21	Up	+$5	05-07 16:44
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 14?	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	05-14 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 05:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14?	2	$14	9	7	+2	Yes	+$1	05-14 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	2	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	05-12 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	05-14 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$13	20	0	+20	Up	-$13	05-15 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$12	53	53	+0	Down	-$8	05-07 16:38
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 03:15 UTC	2	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	02-07 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$10	37	0	+37	Down	-$10	05-04 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	2	$8	11	0	+11	No	+$2	05-13 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 05:08:50	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x40d3fe…
05-16 21:18:54	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xded90d…
05-16 20:57:15	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x778f34…
05-16 20:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7d125b…
05-16 20:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x066f80…
05-16 20:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xf073ea…
05-15 21:26:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb8c62d…
05-15 17:28:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc73299…
05-15 17:27:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xea2eed…
05-15 17:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf139ce…
05-15 15:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8c91ea…
05-15 15:07:30	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0dd258…
05-15 07:01:17	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x55ced8…
05-15 02:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x93adcb…
05-15 02:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x54ce26…
05-15 02:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0e9efa…
05-15 02:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xd1d832…
05-15 02:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7c03fe…
05-15 02:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8f19cf…
05-15 02:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc36075…
05-15 02:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9297ec…
05-15 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcae7cc…
05-15 02:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4f4296…
05-15 01:52:53	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xdcc0d2…
05-15 01:37:08	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xbb1d3a…
05-14 20:29:17	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x440421…
05-14 20:11:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xc647b4…
05-14 19:46:59	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2978b3…
05-14 19:36:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x297a8c…
05-14 17:22:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0xc35373…
05-14 17:17:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x83f95e…
05-14 17:04:44	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x971981…
05-14 13:56:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa3e01d…
05-14 13:44:42	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0xb2ff36…
05-14 13:39:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x14147c…
05-14 13:11:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa8d947…
05-14 13:05:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x2f14e3…
05-14 08:46:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x067191…
05-14 07:22:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xbd2cce…
05-14 06:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb664ab…
05-14 05:32:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x65033a…
05-14 05:30:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa133db…
05-14 05:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xe9f2ba…
05-14 04:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x16b286…
05-14 04:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc15624…
05-13 22:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8ad77a…
05-13 22:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x05eeaa…
05-13 22:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x81628e…
05-13 22:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9114e0…
05-13 21:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf62726…
05-13 21:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa37b0d…
05-13 21:48:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x21d164…
05-13 06:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x669124…
05-13 06:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xedd62b…
05-13 06:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x98c4f1…
05-13 06:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfd1fc6…
05-13 06:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xaefcbd…
05-13 06:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xab0119…
05-13 06:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2bb73c…
05-12 20:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1c44bd…
05-12 20:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd293a5…
05-12 20:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4c81d2…
05-12 15:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4bc3c5…
05-10 22:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x31d79c…
05-10 22:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe5f556…
05-10 22:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbc3b2b…
05-10 22:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x893c38…
05-10 22:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x72c84d…
05-10 22:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xadf7bb…
05-10 22:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdc64da…
05-10 22:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0f562f…
05-10 22:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x363f48…
05-07 16:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0xc68abd…
05-07 16:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf64903…
05-07 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7bc653…
05-07 16:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa8deb7…
05-07 16:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xb6f7c8…
05-07 16:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x53ce29…
05-07 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd4a617…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xdc86fe…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x83bf45…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x466b46…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3538fa…
05-07 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1423ff…
05-07 16:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x50293a…
05-07 16:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	63	87¢	$55	0x267efd…
05-07 16:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xfa6d18…
05-07 16:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb5629d…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xdfeb4e…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc22435…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb8304f…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7511ed…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x2eb6fc…
05-07 16:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9920f9…
05-07 16:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x8f0bea…
05-07 16:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9812ad…
05-07 16:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4e17ca…
05-07 16:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xff9abf…
05-07 16:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x5a2451…
05-07 16:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x629aa5…