Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$124
$839 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,989
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
69¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 07:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $38 | $45 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $40 | $37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $7 | $12 | $5 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Below median | 7 | $21 | $25 | $4 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +50 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-11 05:39 |
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +39 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-10 13:01 |
| Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | +32 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-11 01:35 |
| Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 19:04 |
| Harmless-Modeling 0x47e3…7d5d | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 06:17 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 00:59 |
| Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:35 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 01:00 |
| Composed-Dory 0x2e27…9967 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 05:28 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 22:11 |
| Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 00:54 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 03:42 |
| Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:21 |
| Imperfect-Rubber 0xd660…865a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:09 |
| Windy-Initialise 0x296c…5f00 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:18 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 07:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 07:50:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x1eddec… |
| 05-11 06:17:23 | Harmless-Modeling 0x47e3…7d5d | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xa25db4… |
| 05-11 05:39:05 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x43400a… |
| 05-11 05:28:11 | Composed-Dory 0x2e27…9967 | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x4d2c56… |
| 05-11 05:28:09 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x2b622a… |
| 05-11 05:27:59 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x614c1e… |
| 05-11 05:27:48 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x47a69d… |
| 05-11 05:18:12 | Windy-Initialise 0x296c…5f00 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb5ed7a… |
| 05-11 04:52:18 | (anonymous) 0x6ec3…e5e5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x1cc034… |
| 05-11 04:52:17 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x4af7f5… |
| 05-11 04:09:19 | Imperfect-Rubber 0xd660…865a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x756c4a… |
| 05-11 03:42:20 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x2f7134… |
| 05-11 01:35:15 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x139fc8… |
| 05-11 01:35:05 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xe3b9be… |
| 05-11 01:18:52 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xf1f6b1… |
| 05-11 01:00:24 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb1771f… |
| 05-11 00:59:25 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x001f55… |
| 05-11 00:54:29 | Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xfc0b40… |
| 05-11 00:54:24 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa82489… |
| 05-10 22:11:32 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | SELL | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xb189c1… |
| 05-10 22:11:05 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x639861… |
| 05-10 19:04:46 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x4a6e77… |
| 05-10 19:04:34 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | BUY | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0x58f325… |
| 05-10 13:01:55 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 39 | 79¢ | $31 | 0x2ac67b… |
| 05-10 10:21:12 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x2f03f6… |
| 05-10 08:33:26 | Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | BUY | 32 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x1e389c… |
| 05-10 04:35:59 | Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xabfdb6… |