Fatherly-Novel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

16,958

Trades

21,630

lifetime

Volume

$1.95M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-12 02:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 274 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% -$17,237

Sports

2% 98% -$425

Crypto

0% 78% -$178

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$11

Politics

0% 33% +$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1185 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-12 02:25
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5	Over	+5	$5	98¢	$5	$0	11-12 03:13
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	+5	$5	90¢	$5	$0	11-12 02:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?	5	$4.0K	4,008	+4,008	No	+$8	07-31 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 2?	1	$4.0K	4,004	+4,004	No	+$4	08-02 20:50
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 20?	2	$4.0K	4,004	+4,004	No	+$4	08-19 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?	1	$4.0K	4,004	+4,004	No	+$4	08-05 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?	1	$4.0K	4,004	+4,004	No	+$4	08-03 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	1	$4.0K	4,004	+4,004	No	+$4	08-11 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3?	1	$4.0K	4,008	+4,008	No	+$8	08-03 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?	2	$4.0K	4,133	+4,133	No	+$133	07-27 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 7?	1	$4.0K	4,008	+4,008	No	+$8	08-07 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 15?	4	$4.0K	4,007	+4,007	Yes	+$7	08-15 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5?	4	$4.0K	4,057	+4,057	No	+$57	08-05 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 24?	5	$4.0K	4,016	+4,016	No	+$16	08-23 17:50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on August 1?	2	$4.0K	4,031	+4,031	No	+$39	07-31 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 3?	3	$4.0K	3,996	+3,996	No	+$5	08-03 11:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 15?	2	$4.0K	3,994	+3,994	No	+$9	08-15 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 27?	6	$4.0K	3,955	+3,955	No	+$5	07-27 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	14	$3.9K	3,910	+3,910	No	+$13	08-19 02:51
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 21?	2	$3.9K	3,910	+3,910	No	+$39	08-20 21:05
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24?	13	$3.8K	3,900	+3,900	Yes	-$3,795	08-24 17:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?	1	$3.8K	3,794	+3,794	No	+$9	08-02 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 29?	2	$3.6K	3,654	+3,654	No	+$7	07-29 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?	4	$3.5K	3,538	+3,538	No	+$4	08-14 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 27?	4	$3.5K	3,488	+3,488	No	+$3	07-27 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 15?	2	$3.5K	3,474	+3,474	No	+$3	07-15 21:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 29?	2	$3.5K	3,472	+3,472	No	+$3	07-28 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 22?	7	$3.0K	3,003	+3,003	No	+$3	07-22 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 11?	12	$3.0K	2,984	+2,984	No	+$3	08-11 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7?	8	$3.0K	2,967	+2,967	No	+$3	08-07 09:23
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 22?	5	$3.0K	2,955	+2,955	No	+$4	08-22 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 30?	4	$2.8K	2,765	+2,765	No	+$4	07-30 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 03:20:51	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99e0f4…
11-12 03:18:10	nba okc por 2026 11 11 steals alex caruso 0pt5	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x496288…
11-12 03:13:37	Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd9261a…
11-12 02:48:45	Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52741c…
11-12 02:43:25	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc1ca3…
11-12 02:41:36	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6b31a…
11-12 02:41:36	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2ae37…
11-12 02:39:10	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37ee49…
11-12 02:25:18	Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4db36f…
11-12 02:21:00	Spread: Pacers (-14.5)	Wizards	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0cdd1…
11-12 02:17:06	Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 8.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5b96b…
11-12 02:05:04	Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x099427…
11-12 01:55:21	Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x835214…
11-12 01:52:22	Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c16c4…
11-12 01:44:55	Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x317a2f…
11-12 01:17:09	Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x874a0f…
11-12 00:53:28	Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c665a…
11-11 23:51:18	OL Lyonnes leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa5203c…
11-11 23:50:15	Counter-Strike: Tulpar vs DNK (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	Tulpar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda63cb…
11-11 23:20:52	Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x771cb8…
11-11 21:08:03	Juventus FC vs. OL Lyonnes: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc55949…
11-11 20:51:49	Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vitality Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Vitality Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc11ff7…
11-11 20:49:45	Juventus FC vs. OL Lyonnes: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd3cc7…
11-11 20:30:09	Counter-Strike: Tulpar vs DNK - Map 2 Winner	Tulpar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c8d8a…
11-11 20:22:00	Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. HB Køge: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbc0ec…
11-11 20:02:15	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf834ac…
11-11 19:39:52	Counter-Strike: SINQU vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 2 Winner	SINQU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe77eb…
11-11 18:58:43	Counter-Strike: Rcave vs MTX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	MTX	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe35af5…
11-11 18:37:25	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	OLDBOYS-	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb158b…
11-11 18:30:09	Counter-Strike: 33 vs BBL - Map 1 Winner	BBL	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea31ef…
11-11 17:12:42	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd69d3…
11-11 15:43:22	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	LEGION	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x619d97…
11-11 15:18:28	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	ex-Sashi Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7b5e0…
11-11 14:24:37	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x043ad2…
11-11 13:43:19	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2509c…
11-11 11:57:00	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	G2	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2db51a…
11-11 11:47:30	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17ff49…
11-11 11:39:37	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab1ebe…
11-11 10:25:03	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42c5ab…
11-11 10:02:00	Map Handicap: ex-UPGRADE (-1.5) vs UPGRADE (+1.5)	Butterfly	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4de27d…
11-11 06:02:37	Damian Lillard: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab54f7…
11-11 05:36:58	Spread: Magic (-2.5)	Magic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2af4e1…
11-11 05:28:48	Spread: Magic (-16.5)	Kings	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65e471…
11-11 05:27:39	Zach LaVine: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ad82b…
11-11 05:27:36	Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4d233…
11-11 05:25:54	Magic vs. Kings: O/U 199.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x862d88…
11-11 05:16:01	Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5468a…
11-11 05:16:01	Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 23.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc49501…
11-11 04:58:22	Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x431533…
11-11 04:58:10	Franz Wagner: Points O/U 23.5	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9668f2…
11-11 04:50:52	Miami (OH) Team Total: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58bbc5…
11-11 04:43:15	Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12608f…
11-11 04:26:19	Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 232.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc47b68…
11-11 04:09:27	Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1e85e…
11-11 04:04:36	Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96ed41…
11-11 04:01:27	Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe80894…
11-11 03:22:19	Paul George: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8eec38…
11-11 02:58:10	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe83ee7…
11-11 02:54:36	Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16fd67…
11-11 02:44:54	Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x679959…
11-11 02:43:42	Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee8954…
11-11 02:29:57	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xabede3…
11-11 01:57:46	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e79da…
11-11 01:43:33	Kent State vs. Bowling Green: 1H O/U 33.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe05351…
11-11 01:31:30	Western Michigan vs. Akron: 1H O/U 33.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7c246…
11-11 01:25:37	Kent State vs. Bowling Green: 1H O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5255f0…
11-10 23:24:49	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb3a89f…
11-10 23:03:07	AS Roma vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: Servette FC Chênois Féminin O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b26dc…
11-10 21:58:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x826509…
11-10 21:47:45	UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee072b…
11-10 21:47:16	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25ed6d…
11-10 21:42:25	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0686a…
11-10 21:39:37	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x816904…
11-10 21:37:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0cb394…
11-10 21:33:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2e025…
11-10 21:32:37	Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75013c…
11-10 21:23:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f35fb…
11-10 21:23:22	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4e907…
11-10 19:54:21	Map Handicap: Nice Try (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)	GenOne	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc73e7e…
11-10 19:05:16	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70f764…
11-10 17:19:03	Counter-Strike: Prestige vs RoundsGG - Map 2 Winner	Prestige	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51f5e9…
11-10 16:50:27	Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs SANCTUM - Map 2 Winner	NAVI Junior	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7dae62…
11-10 05:27:34	Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0adac…
11-10 04:28:28	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x661883…
11-10 04:03:34	Jamal Murray: Points O/U 20.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x386f8d…
11-10 03:03:00	Bills vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2485b1…
11-10 02:52:10	John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x853b76…
11-10 02:49:15	Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x021edd…
11-10 02:43:55	Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe98aad…
11-10 02:30:19	Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1dbe89…
11-10 02:22:18	Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde799c…
11-10 02:21:06	Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x946456…
11-10 01:59:06	Exact Score: CDP Junior FC 2 - 1 Cúcuta Deportivo FC?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72afee…
11-10 01:34:48	Walker Kessler: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2925bf…
11-10 00:40:52	Map Handicap: your end (-1.5) vs Damajuana (+1.5)	Damajuana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f1ad9…
11-10 00:15:19	Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84451a…
11-09 23:44:54	cs2 youren damaju 2026 11 09 game1 round total 24pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16200b…
11-09 23:12:45	Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1e11d…
11-09 23:00:34	Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x047a9b…
11-09 22:46:36	Counter-Strike: Spirit HU vs Fire Flux Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a902f…