Juicy-Turtle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$181

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Crypto

44% 86% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (3)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 5?	No	+20	$20	98¢	$20	+$0	05-05 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 5?	No	+16	$19	98¢	$15	$-4	05-05 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	+14	$14	96¢	$14	$-0	05-05 18:37
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	No	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	05-04 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 5?	No	-2	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-05 05:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 5?	2	$31	26	10	+16	open	—	05-05 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 5?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-04 23:59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 5?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$18	8	12	-3	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-05 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 15:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-05 03:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 03:27
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-04 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 5?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 05:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x16782b…
05-05 17:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 5?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd65a32…
05-05 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x715ce3…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x49f27a…
05-05 15:42:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd2e73f…
05-05 15:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x3695ae…
05-05 15:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x91abe2…
05-05 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x1fa2bc…
05-05 14:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x573fcd…
05-05 05:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 5?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x6d96b2…
05-05 03:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xba8b45…
05-05 03:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x203831…
05-05 03:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x243b05…
05-05 03:24:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x333622…
05-05 03:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xea199a…
05-04 23:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 5?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xe05bb9…
05-04 23:04:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf4a4d9…
05-04 22:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x31f065…
05-04 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x05ee4e…
05-04 21:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x7691f2…
05-04 20:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x18ac54…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$937	37	05-05 15:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$643	53	05-05 15:42
Charming-Tourism 0x57f1…5b0f	3	$510	4	05-05 15:29