Juicy-Turtle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$275

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

4,205

Trades

11,670

lifetime

Volume

$242.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-25 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 84% -$295

Other

41% 91% +$62

Politics

1% 83% -$45

Sports

0% 67% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 433 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No		-57	-$46	92¢	$-53	-$7	09-07 14:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?	23	$1.4K	727	727	+0	No	+$51	07-28 09:38
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	16	$1.2K	769	769	+0	No	-$14	08-16 16:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	26	$1.2K	730	730	+0	Yes	-$4	07-15 11:38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	14	$1.2K	625	625	+0	No	-$7	09-06 02:14
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	27	$986	509	509	+0	Yes	+$6	07-27 10:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	14	$908	466	466	+0	No	+$8	08-31 05:47
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	24	$743	387	387	+0	No	+$2	06-25 02:20
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	16	$739	428	428	+0	No	+$39	07-27 14:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	16	$680	373	373	+0	open	—	10-24 08:27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	13	$636	570	168	+402	No	+$38	07-30 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$620	320	320	+0	Up	+$20	09-05 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?	6	$607	311	311	+0	Yes	+$7	07-27 16:22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	11	$602	313	313	+0	No	+$2	09-05 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	13	$566	322	261	+61	No	+$7	07-30 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on August 30?	9	$537	279	279	+0	No	+$17	08-30 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 01:20 UTC	25	$524	283	283	+0	Up	+$14	09-17 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 00:15 UTC	15	$513	263	263	+0	Up	+$13	09-17 00:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	5	$509	259	259	+0	No	+$9	09-01 13:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?	6	$506	257	257	+0	No	+$6	07-27 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	6	$504	255	255	+0	Down	+$4	09-07 04:16
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?	7	$503	257	257	+0	No	+$3	09-03 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	3	$502	253	253	+0	No	+$2	09-03 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	9	$490	284	284	+0	Down	-$10	09-08 16:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	19	$467	246	303	-57	open	—	09-07 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	6	$463	292	240	+52	Down	+$14	09-06 02:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:30 UTC	12	$450	247	247	+0	Down	+$10	09-16 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 00:20 UTC	13	$426	243	243	+0	Up	+$6	09-17 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	7	$426	226	226	+0	Up	+$26	09-05 23:29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	21	$421	321	114	+207	No	+$8	06-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET	15	$414	240	240	+0	Up	+$14	09-17 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 01:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x28d18c…
10-25 01:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa7d167…
10-25 01:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8f274f…
10-25 01:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd62eb4…
10-24 22:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa3c522…
10-24 21:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcd1881…
10-24 21:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x71bb17…
10-24 21:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x88a907…
10-24 21:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x55448d…
10-24 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x49ae7a…
10-24 21:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1bd66c…
10-24 21:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2fbbb4…
10-24 21:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa286f3…
10-24 20:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x57a11e…
10-24 20:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xec3a27…
10-24 20:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2c3ade…
10-24 20:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x453868…
10-24 20:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xca6446…
10-24 20:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf057c…
10-24 20:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6f1993…
10-24 20:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdb6ac6…
10-24 20:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xc2f9d6…
10-24 20:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x7907fa…
10-24 20:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfb7573…
10-24 20:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x73c745…
10-24 20:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf69c1e…
10-24 20:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc5d492…
10-24 20:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5244b3…
10-24 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3bf7ab…
10-24 20:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4d34e5…
10-24 20:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x0d8860…
10-24 20:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x43b371…
10-24 20:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xda015f…
10-24 20:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf6f0ea…
10-24 19:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc15c1e…
10-24 19:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbf69d5…
10-24 19:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x57d1d6…
10-24 19:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x7084be…
10-24 19:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xfb2143…
10-24 19:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x37c897…
10-24 19:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x47458e…
10-24 19:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3a41e2…
10-24 19:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x79c100…
10-24 19:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x36269e…
10-24 19:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x444424…
10-24 19:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x3299fb…
10-24 19:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xf67e05…
10-24 19:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x212c44…
10-24 19:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xf686b9…
10-24 19:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb90f73…
10-24 19:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x870014…
10-24 19:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x04d25d…
10-24 19:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xf439f2…
10-24 19:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7c9bce…
10-24 19:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xc1b0b0…
10-24 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x0341fc…
10-24 19:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x971ec9…
10-24 19:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xcf1cb0…
10-24 16:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x198dac…
10-24 16:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x973a1a…
10-24 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1cba84…
10-24 16:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5bda58…
10-24 16:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xa6d237…
10-24 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4140ca…
10-24 15:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6bba18…
10-24 15:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x96451c…
10-24 15:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x8a3e2f…
10-24 14:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x2e4d6e…
10-24 14:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0faab2…
10-24 14:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x18bfb8…
10-24 14:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa940a2…
10-24 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xc6c8fc…
10-24 14:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc88323…
10-24 14:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x648fed…
10-24 14:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x0a26fa…
10-24 14:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x6c0d9a…
10-24 14:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x537576…
10-24 14:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x85361a…
10-24 14:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0x864f9e…
10-24 14:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x67b330…
10-24 14:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xde5c3f…
10-24 14:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x609dae…
10-24 14:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x2e9bf6…
10-24 14:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd5a937…
10-24 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x593d90…
10-24 14:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfe285f…
10-24 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x90c1f4…
10-24 14:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xa6e66c…
10-24 14:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xd9e4eb…
10-24 14:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe0b301…
10-24 14:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x75f689…
10-24 14:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0xb124f7…
10-24 14:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2908a5…
10-24 14:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xce8b99…
10-24 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd148da…
10-24 14:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xf04918…
10-24 14:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x170fd1…
10-24 14:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa3b624…
10-24 14:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x8928c7…
10-24 14:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x898a43…