Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$805
$4,911 in 24h
Trades
126
Unique wallets
90
Liquidity
$504
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 10:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $118 | $118 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $14 | $88 | $74 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 82 | $133 | $285 | $151 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $44 | $199 | $155 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $6 | $143 | $137 |
| Median | 12 | $25 | $31 | $6 |
| Below median | 29 | $30 | $43 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $10 | $22 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $19 | $52 | $33 |
| unranked | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | +109 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-14 07:14 |
| Well-Off-Dame 0x5ab7…e715 | No | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Zany-Skiing 0x8a19…073d | Yes | +50 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 23:10 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +45 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 05-14 04:35 |
| Intent-Stuff 0xc1ed…e634 | Yes | +40 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 14:43 |
| Dishonest-Son 0x3cb7…1a88 | Yes | +34 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 01:52 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +33 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-12 21:12 |
| Brown-Hosiery 0x2108…2e40 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 19:43 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +26 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-14 03:21 |
| Different-Jury 0xaa84…e985 | Yes | +24 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 10:03 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-14 04:26 |
| Fortunate-Wombat 0x9b87…a20a | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 06:21 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 03:09 |
| Unimportant-Stepson 0x0a22…23a7 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 01:16 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-14 05:20 |
| Unconscious-Heavy 0x5d6f…0e20 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:10 |
| These-Blackboard 0xb6fc…ac1e | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:09 |
| Magnificent-Phenotype 0xaaa6…8e4d | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 08:33 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-13 20:17 |
| Entire-Cone-Theory 0xcdbc…bd73 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 23:01 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 04:56 |
| Gifted-Efficiency 0x57c5…76c2 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 06:01 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 00:37 |
| Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 17:42 |
| International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:09 |
| Unconscious-Wick 0xf2bb…ae21 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 08:21 |
| Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:06 |
| Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:04 |
| Grizzled-Beam 0xf84d…5e65 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 05:40 |
| First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 02:19 |
| Secondary-Guilt-Mobile 0xd9d7…57da | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:56 |
| Inborn-Dial-Wealth 0x82cc…d569 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:32 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:38 |
| Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:16 |
| Bowed-Postbox 0x099c…18e8 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:16 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 21:46 |
| Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 09:16 |
| Wooden-Day 0x68c2…3f54 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 02:06 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Roasted-Planet 0xdb29…0171 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:43 |
| Smoggy-Theology 0xfadb…e3dc | Yes | +5 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 04:15 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2995…8410 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 23:01 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:39 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:39 |
| Fair-Cheesecake 0xc40b…dc70 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 10:03 |
| Grounded-Ear 0xd953…cb2f | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:09 |
| Right-Grenade 0x2ca7…514d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:58 |
| Everlasting-Area 0x11d0…69c9 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:11 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:19:50 | Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4b07a9… |
| 05-14 09:49:25 | Daring-Haste 0x017c…00c3 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xd489bf… |
| 05-14 08:09:03 | Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x899054… |
| 05-14 07:44:02 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xcd596b… |
| 05-14 07:14:15 | Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | BUY | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x18dac0… |
| 05-14 06:25:33 | Kindly-Sentencing 0x437b…1840 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xba8bbd… |
| 05-14 06:21:14 | Fortunate-Wombat 0x9b87…a20a | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x129852… |
| 05-14 06:19:04 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xabd77d… |
| 05-14 06:19:04 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa54c9b… |
| 05-14 06:18:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0c6f07… |
| 05-14 06:18:50 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96241d… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1cbec1… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf123a4… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x82aaae… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb96be1… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x542839… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc236e9… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x57023a… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0e92cb… |
| 05-14 06:15:59 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x854f46… |
| 05-14 06:09:58 | International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x4f6393… |
| 05-14 06:06:39 | Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x98ce98… |
| 05-14 06:05:55 | Well-Off-Dame 0x5ab7…e715 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xb1925a… |
| 05-14 06:04:40 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x577e89… |
| 05-14 06:01:17 | Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3f1498… |
| 05-14 06:00:12 | Miniature-Socialist 0x7af5…745f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb8dae0… |
| 05-14 05:55:42 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x223204… |
| 05-14 05:51:55 | Glass-Patience 0xe5e4…e43b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x65b88d… |
| 05-14 05:49:30 | Feline-Commuter 0x8b8f…6887 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x14c6f5… |
| 05-14 05:40:46 | Grizzled-Beam 0xf84d…5e65 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x0914f2… |
| 05-14 05:21:10 | Deadly-Change 0x3cd2…29ae | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x151444… |
| 05-14 05:20:30 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x47b4f2… |
| 05-14 05:20:30 | Cheerful-Ore 0x034c…5f17 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf474bc… |
| 05-14 05:10:11 | Verifiable-Symmetry 0xff2f…f102 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xf57094… |
| 05-14 05:05:53 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x0f8395… |
| 05-14 04:56:09 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xa94fb9… |
| 05-14 04:55:43 | Trustworthy-Mutt 0xc017…c979 | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xcb8432… |
| 05-14 04:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xf9f766… |
| 05-14 04:40:24 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0xb678d0… |
| 05-14 04:35:54 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3b059e… |
| 05-14 04:35:21 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x54cafe… |
| 05-14 04:26:15 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x85cff3… |
| 05-14 04:16:27 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x7821cf… |
| 05-14 04:16:15 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd676a2… |
| 05-14 04:15:49 | Smoggy-Theology 0xfadb…e3dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2d2bf5… |
| 05-14 04:11:14 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x015a25… |
| 05-14 04:11:00 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | SELL | 68 | 16¢ | $11 | 0x532ecd… |
| 05-14 04:10:35 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xaf7d42… |
| 05-14 04:10:18 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x86e0a9… |
| 05-14 04:10:18 | Untried-Dissemination 0xc17e…906a | Yes | SELL | 88 | 16¢ | $14 | 0xe69677… |
| 05-14 04:09:31 | Smoggy-Theology 0xfadb…e3dc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x624b6f… |
| 05-14 04:09:20 | Grounded-Ear 0xd953…cb2f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb129e0… |
| 05-14 03:56:20 | Unwilling-Squirrel-Password 0x88fc…2041 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x1d5bbe… |
| 05-14 03:56:14 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x309727… |
| 05-14 03:53:58 | Thunderous-Airbag 0xd918…aa30 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x768951… |
| 05-14 03:46:21 | Untried-Dissemination 0xc17e…906a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xd35d97… |
| 05-14 03:40:05 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 4 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x47f6ff… |
| 05-14 03:37:08 | Untried-Dissemination 0xc17e…906a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xa3d402… |
| 05-14 03:21:16 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x58d659… |
| 05-14 03:21:04 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 47¢ | $10 | 0xfaa86e… |
| 05-14 03:16:03 | Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x9cbf68… |
| 05-14 03:09:57 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x41a4f5… |
| 05-14 02:58:59 | Unwilling-Squirrel-Password 0x88fc…2041 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x0f4953… |
| 05-14 02:40:47 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xe668e4… |
| 05-14 02:30:24 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x18fe54… |
| 05-14 02:19:30 | First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x7e140c… |
| 05-14 02:15:11 | Gray-Pizza 0x7f3b…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x1128db… |
| 05-14 02:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x9a05…fe04 | No | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x68929c… |
| 05-14 02:11:51 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xa28b9a… |
| 05-14 02:10:03 | Thunderous-Airbag 0xd918…aa30 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe1cf99… |
| 05-14 02:06:45 | Wooden-Day 0x68c2…3f54 | No | BUY | 6 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x1f7073… |
| 05-14 02:05:26 | Untried-Dissemination 0xc17e…906a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 48¢ | $9 | 0x9b007a… |
| 05-14 02:02:00 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x4ea70d… |
| 05-14 02:00:29 | Untried-Dissemination 0xc17e…906a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xfb79b8… |
| 05-14 01:52:17 | Dishonest-Son 0x3cb7…1a88 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 27¢ | $9 | 0x0ae120… |
| 05-14 01:15:37 | Burdensome-Placebo-Dromedary 0xe262…7612 | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xba8a8c… |
| 05-14 00:45:14 | Fluid-Theater 0x7a97…0dc8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x22d99d… |
| 05-14 00:41:59 | Fluid-Theater 0x7a97…0dc8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x1163c1… |
| 05-14 00:41:52 | Fluid-Theater 0x7a97…0dc8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x8f876d… |
| 05-14 00:37:02 | Secondary-Guilt-Mobile 0xd9d7…57da | Yes | BUY | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x1cba38… |
| 05-14 00:30:09 | Fluid-Theater 0x7a97…0dc8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x778e4a… |
| 05-14 00:22:16 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x0ef836… |
| 05-14 00:21:10 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xe09e09… |
| 05-14 00:10:05 | Unconscious-Heavy 0x5d6f…0e20 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x612072… |
| 05-13 23:38:26 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x1cb183… |
| 05-13 23:32:05 | Inborn-Dial-Wealth 0x82cc…d569 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x9e3068… |
| 05-13 23:10:59 | Zany-Skiing 0x8a19…073d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x12459b… |
| 05-13 23:01:39 | Entire-Cone-Theory 0xcdbc…bd73 | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x04cf23… |
| 05-13 23:01:24 | (anonymous) 0x2995…8410 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x1592a7… |
| 05-13 22:39:45 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xf682f7… |
| 05-13 22:39:40 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x8ad77a… |
| 05-13 22:23:08 | Gray-Pizza 0x7f3b…7bb2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x3aafc3… |
| 05-13 22:14:19 | Deadly-Change 0x3cd2…29ae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x092c0b… |
| 05-13 20:58:36 | Right-Grenade 0x2ca7…514d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x678bb5… |
| 05-13 20:43:16 | Roasted-Planet 0xdb29…0171 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xd62b86… |
| 05-13 20:17:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xca54d1… |
| 05-13 19:43:58 | Brown-Hosiery 0x2108…2e40 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x13c3a8… |
| 05-13 18:52:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x5143f9… |
| 05-13 18:48:35 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x38de6a… |
| 05-13 17:42:52 | Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | BUY | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0xefdd42… |