Grizzled-Beam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$394

Unrealized P&L

-$245

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

4,432

Trades

10,953

lifetime

Volume

$1.03M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

$562

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 275 days

Categories

Other

100% 94% +$573

Politics

0% 0% -$172

Crypto

0% 57% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No		+562	$306	92¢	$520	+$213	08-12 23:00
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes		+562	$500	8¢	$42	-$458	07-31 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on march 16 2026 10c	27	$4.9K	2,476	2,476	+0	Yes	+$79	03-16 13:15
highest temperature in paris on march 3 2026 17c	24	$4.6K	2,367	2,367	+0	Yes	+$135	03-03 20:55
highest temperature in seattle on march 17 2026 52 53f	31	$4.6K	2,736	2,736	+0	Yes	+$869	03-18 08:02
highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	9	$4.6K	2,317	2,317	+0	Yes	+$45	03-08 15:56
highest temperature in paris on march 14 2026 10c	21	$4.3K	2,273	2,273	+0	Yes	+$275	03-14 21:13
highest temperature in paris on february 27 2026 15c	15	$4.0K	2,110	2,110	+0	Yes	+$60	02-27 22:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 8 2026 62 63f	14	$3.8K	1,949	1,949	+0	Yes	+$47	03-09 07:58
highest temperature in paris on march 2 2026 17c	13	$3.7K	1,872	1,872	+0	Yes	+$59	03-02 21:25
highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 35c	18	$3.7K	2,264	2,074	+191	Yes	-$282	03-17 13:29
highest temperature in tokyo on march 21 2026 17c	22	$3.6K	1,857	1,857	+0	No	+$67	03-21 12:03
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 13c	12	$3.6K	1,820	1,820	+0	No	+$28	03-04 22:02
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 33c	25	$3.5K	1,772	1,772	+0	Yes	+$50	03-16 20:50
highest temperature in paris on march 11 2026 14c	9	$3.5K	2,303	2,303	+0	Yes	+$25	03-11 22:26
highest temperature in seattle on march 20 2026 56 57f	13	$3.4K	1,803	1,803	+0	Yes	+$185	03-21 05:18
highest temperature in seattle on march 14 2026 44 45f	17	$3.3K	1,708	1,708	+0	Yes	+$90	03-15 03:56
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 18c	4	$3.3K	1,781	1,781	+0	Yes	+$246	03-19 12:32
highest temperature in nyc on march 21 2026 58 59f	11	$3.3K	1,711	1,711	+0	No	+$101	03-21 22:00
highest temperature in tokyo on march 15 2026 14c	19	$3.3K	1,668	1,668	+0	Yes	+$65	03-15 15:09
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	18	$3.2K	3,462	0	+3,462	Yes	+$228	03-09 08:04
highest temperature in dallas on march 5 2026 82 83f	19	$3.2K	1,640	1,640	+0	No	+$82	03-06 08:11
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 7c	11	$3.0K	1,501	1,501	+0	No	+$41	03-11 14:54
highest temperature in seattle on march 14 2026 40 41f	2	$3.0K	1,506	1,506	+0	No	+$59	03-14 21:56
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 11c	12	$2.9K	1,970	1,970	+0	Yes	-$927	03-10 21:41
highest temperature in ankara on february 20 2026 12c	18	$2.9K	1,470	1,470	+0	No	+$39	02-20 20:42
highest temperature in atlanta on march 5 2026 80 81f	6	$2.9K	1,474	1,474	+0	Yes	+$72	03-06 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 11?	12	$2.8K	2,902	0	+2,902	No	+$52	10-11 23:47
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 8c	11	$2.8K	1,454	1,454	+0	Yes	+$57	03-18 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?	23	$2.8K	1,503	1,503	+0	Yes	+$157	07-11 06:04
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 54 55f	8	$2.8K	3,221	0	+3,221	Yes	+$378	03-17 01:32
highest temperature in seoul on march 6 2026 4c	6	$2.8K	2,897	0	+2,897	Yes	+$59	03-06 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:58:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x3f3f35…
10-27 15:58:06	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe91c9e…
10-27 15:57:51	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x382427…
10-27 15:56:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xae7cbe…
10-27 15:56:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9fd482…
10-27 15:56:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5c1228…
10-27 15:55:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x4d516f…
10-27 15:35:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc00f1…
10-27 15:35:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb62687…
10-27 15:32:05	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8c810…
10-27 15:32:03	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d5ac4…
10-27 15:06:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9707c6…
10-27 15:06:35	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 7°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfaba40…
10-27 15:06:35	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd355d…
10-27 15:06:35	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8e93b…
10-27 15:06:35	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ec5d8…
10-27 14:49:26	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xee9aa8…
10-27 14:48:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 27?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x2773ac…
10-27 14:34:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b84b8…
10-27 14:34:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00678f…
10-27 14:04:53	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a4101…
10-27 14:03:15	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x996d36…
10-27 14:03:15	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f1cd9…
10-27 13:23:42	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x301791…
10-27 13:04:11	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1339e3…
10-27 12:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0d9cb7…
10-27 12:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe31b0e…
10-27 11:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x30d639…
10-27 10:34:36	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bccb3…
10-27 06:57:11	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2d10a5…
10-27 06:55:32	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7495d…
10-27 06:18:32	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x895ab9…
10-27 06:17:57	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x382ad5…
10-27 06:17:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 26?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x2a80da…
10-27 06:16:53	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	223	99¢	$220	0x3635a3…
10-27 06:15:02	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x8adef2…
10-27 05:01:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21dbba…
10-27 05:01:30	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe25127…
10-27 05:01:30	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe39f6…
10-27 05:01:15	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bae8d…
10-27 04:56:09	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9a2a5f…
10-27 04:55:57	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xea9abb…
10-27 04:55:57	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x257311…
10-27 04:53:48	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b7fc5…
10-27 04:53:48	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65e02d…
10-27 04:53:47	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c2670…
10-27 04:01:23	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43bede…
10-27 03:56:26	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a3156…
10-27 03:56:20	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee5a37…
10-27 03:56:14	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a9316…
10-27 03:56:09	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa90722…
10-27 03:56:08	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23deb9…
10-27 03:56:05	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b383d…
10-27 03:54:23	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1f46d…
10-27 03:07:38	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1aa4e8…
10-27 03:01:36	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x961bca…
10-27 03:01:26	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x433d25…
10-27 03:01:15	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd48a0d…
10-27 02:02:24	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b0f7c…
10-27 02:02:18	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e72cc…
10-27 02:02:12	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeabd9e…
10-27 02:02:00	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x82b07f…
10-27 02:02:00	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x42f9fc…
10-27 02:01:56	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79455d…
10-27 02:00:08	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x956480…
10-27 01:02:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd1811…
10-27 01:02:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7bf0f…
10-27 01:01:47	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70f58a…
10-26 22:54:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2d712b…
10-26 22:54:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x07ff50…
10-26 21:55:39	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 3°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xeac222…
10-26 21:53:36	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x44881c…
10-26 21:53:36	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 26?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2a1f79…
10-26 21:53:36	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x1fa1b2…
10-26 21:34:29	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x7a6b63…
10-26 21:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x358e60…
10-26 21:32:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 26?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x00588d…
10-26 21:05:21	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x25b136…
10-26 21:05:21	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x202b02…
10-26 20:51:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa21e7d…
10-26 20:51:33	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4848ff…
10-26 20:51:33	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1c73ff…
10-26 20:34:41	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7df78d…
10-26 20:02:03	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2ee50b…
10-26 20:01:26	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc4292d…
10-26 19:02:30	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdee343…
10-26 19:02:29	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x62cf12…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa9d72d…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7a6fbf…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2fc28f…
10-26 18:25:53	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x724ea2…
10-26 18:02:26	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8b2f18…
10-26 16:31:35	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5644c5…
10-26 16:01:26	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9a6216…
10-26 16:01:26	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 20°C or below on October 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7da06a…
10-26 15:40:39	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x091214…
10-26 15:35:33	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5ff048…
10-26 15:06:44	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef5264…
10-26 15:06:41	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf7982…
10-26 15:06:41	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x190909…