Realized P&L
+$124
Unrealized P&L
-$512
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
10
Trades
3,172
lifetime
Volume
$55.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$732
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-18 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
97% 100% +$104
Politics
3% 100% +$20
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -400 $-329 86¢ $-344 $-15 07-04 21:28
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -316 $-291 96¢ $-302 $-11 06-08 00:27
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +70 $64 88¢ $62 $-3 07-04 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,300 $498 $15 $-483 07-05 12:28
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 07-05 14:12
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +211 $4 $4 +$0 07-05 14:12