Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$9,768
$792 in 24h
Trades
301
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$188
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-22 13:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-86.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $187
vs crowd: 87% YES on $6.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $969 | $301 | +$668 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $3.0K | $501 | +$2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $1.8K | $44 | +$1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $63 | $68 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $187 | $187 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $2.4K | $169 | +$2.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $139 | $32 | +$106 |
| Median | 6 | $841 | $1 | +$840 |
| Below median | 12 | $185 | $41 | +$144 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $34 | $72 | $38 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $66 | $112 | $46 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $132 | $261 | $129 |
| unranked | 12 | $2.1K | $39 | +$2.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-22 13:40 |
| Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | +800 | $580 | $1,018 | 5 | 05-22 13:25 |
| Yellow-Reluctance 0x22b5…bdca | Yes | +663 | $663 | $663 | 2 | 05-22 13:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +655 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 05-22 13:25 |
| Clear-Cut-Furniture-Drainage 0xa9a0…e259 | No | +569 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-21 17:49 |
| Jumpy-Acid 0x9c22…444c | Yes | +474 | $352 | $352 | 6 | 05-15 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | No | +435 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-16 01:16 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | +381 | $2 | $18 | 14 | 05-22 13:31 |
| Sparse-Servant 0x21ba…408f | Yes | +300 | $135 | $135 | 4 | 05-15 07:57 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | +227 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-22 03:08 |
| Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | Yes | +200 | $181 | $261 | 8 | 05-22 08:48 |
| Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | +200 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 22:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +191 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 05-22 13:25 |
| Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | No | +179 | $-3 | $14 | 6 | 05-18 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f08…54d3 | No | +152 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 21:50 |
| Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | +148 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-15 07:57 |
| Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | +130 | $110 | $208 | 4 | 05-21 02:20 |
| Misguided-Stealth 0x719d…23ab | No | +128 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-22 08:48 |
| Firsthand-Ease 0xd478…0ed8 | Yes | +100 | $31 | $31 | 4 | 05-13 21:02 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-22 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xdff9…c62f | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-16 02:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +92 | $62 | $62 | 5 | 05-18 11:18 |
| Immaculate-Gaffe 0xe7cf…6dca | No | +62 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 07:58 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | +60 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-13 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +59 | $47 | $78 | 3 | 05-15 20:10 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +50 | $2 | $3 | 5 | 05-22 03:08 |
| Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | Yes | +50 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 05-18 11:16 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-22 13:40 |
| Second-Domain 0x682d…4cd6 | No | +40 | $60 | $81 | 6 | 05-15 13:58 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +38 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-17 20:58 |
| Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | +36 | $-1 | $3 | 5 | 05-17 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +34 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 11:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $-3 | $13 | 7 | 05-22 13:25 |
| Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | Yes | +24 | $6 | $51 | 5 | 05-14 20:31 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $119 | 2 | 05-16 05:26 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 01:28 |
| Imperfect-Dust 0x8f13…203a | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-20 16:20 |
| Distorted-Backpack 0xcf23…0d5d | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 11:50 |
| Unwelcome-Psychologist 0x9712…32be | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-22 13:40 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:31 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 02:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 13:40:21 | Yellow-Reluctance 0x22b5…bdca | Yes | BUY | 662 | 100¢ | $661 | 0xb535ea… |
| 05-22 13:40:21 | Illustrious-Quota 0x0583…7dd4 | Yes | SELL | 662 | 100¢ | $661 | 0xb535ea… |
| 05-22 13:40:14 | (anonymous) 0x528d…9c7a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6af2d4… |
| 05-22 13:40:14 | Yellow-Reluctance 0x22b5…bdca | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6af2d4… |
| 05-22 13:40:10 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xf16eb7… |
| 05-22 13:40:10 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf16eb7… |
| 05-22 13:40:10 | Second-Domain 0x682d…4cd6 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xf16eb7… |
| 05-22 13:40:10 | Illustrious-Quota 0x0583…7dd4 | Yes | SELL | 801 | 100¢ | $801 | 0xf16eb7… |
| 05-22 13:40:10 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf16eb7… |
| 05-22 13:40:10 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf16eb7… |
| 05-22 13:31:52 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 132 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53a53e… |
| 05-22 13:31:52 | Pushy-Someplace 0x0881…356a | No | SELL | 132 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53a53e… |
| 05-22 13:25:58 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a3f46… |
| 05-22 13:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x528d…9c7a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6a3f46… |
| 05-22 13:25:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa6be07… |
| 05-22 13:25:55 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 214 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa6be07… |
| 05-22 13:25:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 288 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa6be07… |
| 05-22 13:25:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa6be07… |
| 05-22 13:25:55 | Illustrious-Quota 0x0583…7dd4 | Yes | BUY | 1,463 | 99¢ | $1,456 | 0xa6be07… |
| 05-22 13:25:55 | Second-Domain 0x682d…4cd6 | Yes | SELL | 600 | 100¢ | $598 | 0xa6be07… |
| 05-22 13:25:55 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | SELL | 220 | 100¢ | $219 | 0xa6be07… |
| 05-22 08:48:55 | Misguided-Stealth 0x719d…23ab | No | BUY | 128 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xf1bcdc… |
| 05-22 08:48:55 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf1bcdc… |
| 05-22 08:48:55 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xf1bcdc… |
| 05-22 03:48:39 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x303245… |
| 05-22 03:48:39 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x303245… |
| 05-22 03:48:39 | Pushy-Someplace 0x0881…356a | No | BUY | 132 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x303245… |
| 05-22 03:08:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6f1136… |
| 05-22 03:08:25 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0x6f1136… |
| 05-22 03:08:25 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 95 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x6f1136… |
| 05-22 03:08:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x6f1136… |
| 05-22 03:08:25 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6f1136… |
| 05-21 17:49:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x5e5f26… |
| 05-21 17:49:13 | Second-Domain 0x682d…4cd6 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x5e5f26… |
| 05-21 17:49:13 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x5e5f26… |
| 05-21 17:49:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5e5f26… |
| 05-21 17:49:13 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5e5f26… |
| 05-21 17:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x5e5f26… |
| 05-21 17:49:13 | Clear-Cut-Furniture-Drainage 0xa9a0…e259 | No | BUY | 261 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x5e5f26… |
| 05-21 02:20:36 | Second-Domain 0x682d…4cd6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xa273df… |
| 05-21 02:20:36 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa273df… |
| 05-21 02:20:36 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xa273df… |
| 05-21 02:20:36 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa273df… |
| 05-21 02:20:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa273df… |
| 05-20 16:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb41f1e… |
| 05-20 16:20:56 | Loving-Pusher 0xb457…9944 | No | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb41f1e… |
| 05-20 16:20:28 | Imperfect-Dust 0x8f13…203a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7c9736… |
| 05-20 16:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7c9736… |
| 05-20 08:03:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x12e958… |
| 05-20 08:03:04 | Rotating-Softening 0x6ae9…14fe | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x12e958… |
| 05-18 13:12:57 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb24539… |
| 05-18 13:12:57 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb24539… |
| 05-18 13:12:57 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | No | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xb24539… |
| 05-18 13:12:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xb24539… |
| 05-18 11:18:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xb7d236… |
| 05-18 11:18:11 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 52 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xb7d236… |
| 05-18 11:18:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0xb7d236… |
| 05-18 11:16:33 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | No | SELL | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xb0a391… |
| 05-18 11:16:33 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb0a391… |
| 05-18 11:16:33 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 71 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xb0a391… |
| 05-18 11:16:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x7bf8a2… |
| 05-18 11:16:07 | Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x7bf8a2… |
| 05-18 11:16:07 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7bf8a2… |
| 05-17 20:58:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x12f93a… |
| 05-17 20:58:14 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x12f93a… |
| 05-17 20:58:14 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 38 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x12f93a… |
| 05-17 14:52:36 | Boiling-Politician 0x2ec7…367f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x9e0aff… |
| 05-17 14:52:36 | Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9e0aff… |
| 05-17 14:52:36 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | No | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9e0aff… |
| 05-16 11:50:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 162 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x17b6ef… |
| 05-16 11:50:28 | Distorted-Backpack 0xcf23…0d5d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x17b6ef… |
| 05-16 11:50:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17b6ef… |
| 05-16 11:50:28 | Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x17b6ef… |
| 05-16 11:50:28 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x17b6ef… |
| 05-16 11:50:28 | Clear-Cut-Furniture-Drainage 0xa9a0…e259 | No | BUY | 308 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x17b6ef… |
| 05-16 11:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17b6ef… |
| 05-16 10:34:43 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | No | BUY | 268 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb2044e… |
| 05-16 10:34:43 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 118 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb2044e… |
| 05-16 10:34:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb2044e… |
| 05-16 10:34:43 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb2044e… |
| 05-16 05:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x93a58a… |
| 05-16 05:26:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x93a58a… |
| 05-16 05:26:52 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93a58a… |
| 05-16 05:26:52 | Competent-Scam 0x4a90…03b5 | No | SELL | 153 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x93a58a… |
| 05-16 02:45:47 | (anonymous) 0xdff9…c62f | No | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3c1d7f… |
| 05-16 02:45:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x3c1d7f… |
| 05-16 02:45:47 | Loving-Pusher 0xb457…9944 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3c1d7f… |
| 05-16 02:02:37 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | No | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91cd84… |
| 05-16 02:02:37 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91cd84… |
| 05-16 02:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xdff9…c62f | No | BUY | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91cd84… |
| 05-16 02:01:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb9641… |
| 05-16 02:01:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb9641… |
| 05-16 02:01:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 96 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x33c4d3… |
| 05-16 02:01:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33c4d3… |
| 05-16 02:01:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33c4d3… |
| 05-16 02:01:35 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33c4d3… |
| 05-16 02:01:35 | Exemplary-Shoes 0xd43d…8a2a | No | SELL | 148 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x33c4d3… |
| 05-16 01:16:46 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | BUY | 101 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x1db388… |
| 05-16 01:16:46 | Exemplary-Shoes 0xd43d…8a2a | No | SELL | 548 | 3¢ | $17 | 0x1db388… |
| 05-16 01:16:46 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1db388… |