Distorted-Backpack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

843

lifetime

Volume

$9.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-24 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 0% $-21

Other

12% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	76	$802	5,693	955	+4,738	open	—	05-26 20:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$594	455	455	+0	open	—	05-07 15:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	20	$420	950	200	+750	open	—	06-15 20:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$393	247	247	+0	open	—	04-24 20:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	11	$390	800	100	+700	open	—	06-15 20:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	05-11 05:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	18	$283	317	317	+0	open	—	05-28 06:37
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	5	$281	181	181	+0	open	—	04-25 11:41
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$247	244	136	+108	open	—	04-26 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$230	379	0	+379	open	—	05-25 19:08
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	13	$223	121	137	-16	open	—	06-19 06:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$220	0	250	-250	open	—	05-31 12:13
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	6	$201	135	135	+0	open	—	04-25 18:35
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$201	156	156	+0	open	—	04-24 20:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	5	$200	122	122	+0	open	—	04-25 16:16
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	9	$199	150	129	+21	open	—	06-17 16:38
will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	8	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	06-17 16:29
iran closes its airspace by june 8	11	$146	100	100	+0	open	—	06-07 22:49
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	16	$135	400	280	+120	open	—	06-11 06:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$130	145	79	+66	open	—	05-27 05:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$129	70	100	-30	open	—	06-08 00:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	12	$119	326	326	+0	open	—	06-20 15:00
iran closes its airspace by july 15	4	$110	70	70	+0	open	—	06-07 22:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	5	$104	187	187	+0	open	—	05-23 12:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	3	$99	195	195	+0	open	—	05-23 15:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	16	$94	637	637	+0	open	—	06-21 00:09
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	22	$84	610	246	+364	open	—	06-10 20:45
iran closes its airspace by june 15	10	$80	120	120	+0	open	—	06-07 20:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	4	$78	55	55	+0	open	—	04-25 16:35
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	4	$75	178	0	+178	open	—	06-14 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 07:11:39	btc updown 5m 1784877300	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8d0399…
07-24 07:05:18	btc updown 5m 1784876700	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x34271a…
07-24 05:41:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc12b98…
07-24 05:41:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd68920…
07-24 05:41:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf96691…
07-23 12:35:31	btc updown 5m 1784810100	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa2e8d…
07-23 12:32:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf51d97…
07-23 08:06:24	btc updown 5m 1784793900	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x877a0d…
07-23 08:04:18	btc updown 5m 1784793600	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9271ad…
07-23 08:01:43	btc updown 5m 1784793600	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x219645…
07-18 07:42:07	btc updown 5m 1784360400	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc59fcb…
07-18 07:31:51	btc updown 5m 1784359800	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8b8e7d…
07-18 07:28:54	btc updown 5m 1784359500	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2ce357…
07-18 07:23:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1bddf0…
07-15 16:02:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcc2b0b…
07-15 16:01:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xd6a710…
07-13 16:50:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc22813…
07-13 16:47:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x50f039…
07-09 01:36:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0538ce…
07-08 17:54:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbc532c…
07-08 17:39:04	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x15eb2d…
07-08 17:37:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7b40ab…
07-08 17:36:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xec35bf…
07-08 17:35:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x20a506…
07-03 21:05:26	btc updown 5m 1783112700	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x10afcb…
07-03 20:50:44	btc updown 5m 1783111800	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xee84d8…
07-01 18:05:47	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc92cd2…
06-27 11:51:11	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x37f95b…
06-26 05:01:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x83f5db…
06-22 05:28:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xeb2b72…
06-21 00:09:28	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x00ae44…
06-21 00:09:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	600	1¢	$4	0xa604b5…
06-20 19:14:43	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3cf23e…
06-20 15:00:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	258	10¢	$26	0x731512…
06-20 15:00:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0x0dfb97…
06-20 14:41:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0x910173…
06-20 14:41:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5a2350…
06-20 14:40:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x898ec9…
06-20 14:39:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x446e3d…
06-20 14:39:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x283daf…
06-20 14:37:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4f2d54…
06-20 14:37:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0xba3b37…
06-20 14:37:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x76a8e1…
06-20 14:28:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0xdda3b4…
06-20 14:27:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x94d998…
06-20 14:17:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x36c646…
06-20 13:58:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xd8d0be…
06-20 13:58:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0x9289b0…
06-20 13:52:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x436fa4…
06-20 07:17:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xa79342…
06-20 06:24:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3ad4bb…
06-20 06:24:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xd6e819…
06-20 06:24:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x5f3330…
06-20 04:44:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7fe1e3…
06-20 04:42:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x835054…
06-19 22:27:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc4a7e6…
06-19 16:31:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xcf93ba…
06-19 15:54:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x6f8e07…
06-19 11:07:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8fe5fd…
06-19 09:57:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x127b95…
06-19 09:57:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa86d4c…
06-19 08:40:56	btc updown 5m 1781858400	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa5f0a4…
06-19 06:46:47	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4d7d45…
06-18 20:14:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x75b152…
06-18 01:07:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc0bfa0…
06-18 00:55:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xfb7cfd…
06-17 19:17:40	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x0c8f3f…
06-17 17:05:04	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xcf3ab0…
06-17 16:43:47	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x316db9…
06-17 16:43:07	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x61909a…
06-17 16:38:59	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x1afd74…
06-17 16:29:10	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x87b5db…
06-17 15:54:44	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x7730c7…
06-15 20:19:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf5b9e0…
06-15 20:18:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x74c8c9…
06-15 20:18:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x67f51f…
06-15 20:18:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd01658…
06-15 20:17:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xadded7…
06-15 19:30:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xe6b053…
06-15 19:22:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x78295c…
06-15 19:18:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x42fd5e…
06-15 19:16:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x07b7c2…
06-15 18:57:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x754fa7…
06-15 18:50:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe1633b…
06-15 18:36:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4ac4d6…
06-15 18:23:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfcaac2…
06-15 18:22:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x53aa7e…
06-15 18:21:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4bf4a0…
06-15 17:46:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xea13a7…
06-15 17:34:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xaaf4d4…
06-15 17:22:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x03c13c…
06-15 15:38:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0xd76d65…
06-15 15:38:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xdba368…
06-15 15:37:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0xc74e85…
06-15 04:13:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc5a923…
06-15 03:46:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x05d971…
06-15 03:45:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf3129d…
06-15 01:27:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe2127f…
06-14 21:15:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x4c73fb…
06-14 20:27:51	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x320acd…