Realized P&L
+$653
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
1,150
Trades
4,040
lifetime
Volume
$19.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$57
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-06 09:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
50% 45% -$3
Politics
39% 53% +$773
Tech
9% 41% -$90
Sports
1% 60% +$18
Crypto
0% 38% -$45
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +27 $8 52¢ $14 +$6 10-02 10:03
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 Yes +51 $9 20¢ $10 +$2 06-08 14:31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 07-09 12:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -8 -$5 78¢ $-6 -$1 07-08 16:30
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -6 -$6 91¢ $-6 +$0 05-20 17:36
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +153 $20 3¢ $5 -$15 10-02 16:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +56 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 10-02 11:54
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +414 $21 1¢ $4 -$18 10-02 11:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +124 $21 1¢ $1 -$20 10-03 00:01
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -19 $0 4¢ $-1 -$1 07-08 16:32
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? Yes +177 $21 0¢ $0 -$21 09-24 17:32
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +3 $0 8¢ $0 $0 05-26 09:55
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +14 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 10-02 09:19
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -13 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-08 16:33
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +0 -$1 14¢ $0 +$1 06-13 23:50
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026 Yes +0 $6 4¢ $0 -$6 10-03 22:56
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +0 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-08 16:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +0 -$1 6¢ $0 +$1 07-08 16:17
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +0 -$23 6¢ $0 +$23 06-13 10:42
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +0 -$7 3¢ $0 +$7 05-16 12:39