Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,742

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-20 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

52% 37% $-38

Politics

38% 55% $-3

Tech

9% 100% +$5

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	13	$177	263	269	-6	open	—	06-17 16:28
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$171	248	248	+0	open	—	04-18 19:26
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	19	$161	144	300	-156	open	—	03-09 18:52
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	8	$133	258	258	+0	open	—	06-14 22:06
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	6	$121	232	232	+0	open	—	06-06 11:19
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	6	$117	212	212	+0	open	—	05-16 21:11
north korea missile test by march 31 472	11	$116	145	145	+0	open	—	03-11 18:35
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	2	$111	886	841	+46	open	—	07-04 04:03
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	2	$105	96	96	+0	open	—	05-22 11:37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$103	178	178	+0	open	—	05-28 14:14
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	7	$97	154	154	+0	open	—	05-29 06:26
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	1	$97	0	230	-230	open	—	06-23 19:10
iran closes its airspace by june 8	5	$90	427	427	+0	open	—	06-07 16:05
will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	64	$88	94	113	-19	open	—	06-05 22:15
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$85	70	70	+0	Yes	+$49	05-01 09:14
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	5	$81	108	108	+0	open	—	06-03 20:22
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	6	$80	146	146	+0	open	—	06-27 16:45
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	25	$80	364	364	+0	open	—	04-24 03:46
will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	4	$78	108	108	+0	open	—	06-12 08:21
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?	4	$77	248	248	+0	open	—	05-29 13:31
will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	4	$73	119	119	+0	open	—	06-11 18:00
Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	4	$71	580	213	+367	open	—	05-18 02:00
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	4	$69	314	314	+0	open	—	06-26 20:55
will trump visit pakistan by june 30	15	$68	235	235	+0	open	—	06-11 17:33
iran closes its airspace by june 22	7	$66	358	100	+258	open	—	06-07 20:54
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$65	68	68	+0	open	—	05-18 11:03
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	10	$64	117	117	+0	open	—	05-15 10:52
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$64	247	247	+0	open	—	06-11 20:22
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	5	$64	261	52	+209	open	—	06-06 07:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	2	$62	48	121	-73	open	—	05-25 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 18:39:36	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xa87b06…
07-20 02:19:31	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xc9c2ee…
07-10 13:44:14	will tim walz resign by july 31 20260626170017251	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xff14db…
07-10 08:50:44	james comey charges dropped by july 31	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0xd658b7…
07-10 02:23:44	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x0a05bf…
07-09 18:19:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x891bf5…
07-09 18:11:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x2db442…
07-09 16:51:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xaf770a…
07-09 16:35:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0xb40d46…
07-09 15:48:44	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$5	0x3ddbba…
07-09 12:50:32	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x414cb6…
07-09 11:40:10	untitled market 1 20260629180748167	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x542a37…
07-09 08:22:46	will jd vance attend nato summit	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xdc355a…
07-09 06:29:07	will fisa section 702 be reauthorized by june 30 20260612193737258	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0xd0de3f…
07-09 05:55:26	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xc898a2…
07-09 03:59:47	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20 by july 31 20260629184740280	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$0	0xd9d432…
07-09 00:15:23	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xc69294…
07-08 23:39:38	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x22db3c…
07-08 21:24:25	untitled market 1 20260629180748167	Yes	SELL	107	1¢	$1	0x493939…
07-08 21:19:02	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x51a2bf…
07-08 19:55:40	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	144	26¢	$37	0xd4632e…
07-08 19:29:19	another blue origin rocket explodes by oct 31	Yes	SELL	68	8¢	$5	0xe209af…
07-08 17:53:17	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952743	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0xb1145a…
07-08 17:53:13	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952745	Yes	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0x43edfd…
07-08 16:42:25	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	328	3¢	$10	0x40572f…
07-08 16:31:47	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x873566…
07-08 16:30:41	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x506fdd…
07-08 16:29:47	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	SELL	126	3¢	$4	0x1cc619…
07-08 16:28:53	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	66	8¢	$5	0x81dc70…
07-08 16:26:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	30	2¢	$0	0xd06752…
07-08 16:25:59	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	Yes	SELL	52	6¢	$3	0xd01992…
07-08 16:25:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	268	3¢	$9	0x3e35b2…
07-08 16:23:59	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	159	4¢	$6	0x74e305…
07-08 16:23:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	SELL	224	4¢	$9	0x5820da…
07-08 16:22:53	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by june 30 2027 20260604155615148	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xbd5603…
07-08 16:22:40	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	153	14¢	$21	0xe517e7…
07-08 16:20:05	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	Yes	SELL	248	1¢	$2	0x5d747f…
07-08 16:19:38	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	302	2¢	$5	0xf68c43…
07-08 16:18:46	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xc7f57f…
07-08 16:18:04	will ukraine sign an eu accession treaty by december 31 2027 20260611204943691	Yes	SELL	201	9¢	$18	0xf425bf…
07-08 16:17:35	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20 by july 31 20260629184740280	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x6e5e20…
07-08 16:17:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	124	12¢	$15	0x75cffe…
07-07 09:12:32	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x0a1531…
07-07 00:22:16	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x4ca55d…
07-06 16:31:04	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	92	30¢	$27	0x83f4c2…
07-06 11:18:58	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0x1eaf12…
07-06 05:03:14	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xc1f30e…
07-05 20:10:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	31	60¢	$18	0x178528…
07-05 20:02:41	will malaysia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xbb0afe…
07-05 16:50:38	us announces cuba oil sanction relief by september 30	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xd19f56…
07-04 10:12:56	will russia capture serhiivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x8a4f77…
07-04 04:03:59	Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	SELL	841	11¢	$92	0x50f189…
07-03 22:52:52	jay clayton confirmed as director of national intelligence by october 31 20260611210916708	No	SELL	95	14¢	$13	0x69b127…
07-03 20:49:14	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha arrested by july 31 20260626164648139	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x01a14c…
07-03 17:40:07	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by july 31 2026 20260625163926546	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x32c33f…
07-03 14:32:23	will russia capture serhiivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x878750…
07-03 10:49:43	jay clayton confirmed as director of national intelligence by october 31 20260611210916708	No	SELL	37	14¢	$5	0x2b9e4b…
07-02 18:27:10	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20 by july 31 20260629184740280	Yes	BUY	195	6¢	$12	0xeea219…
07-02 17:22:11	empire state couple charged by july 4 20260701175724247	No	BUY	147	6¢	$9	0xc297ff…
07-02 17:09:52	will andurils valuation hit high 100 by july 31 20260629184730574	No	BUY	280	6¢	$17	0x4c313f…
07-02 16:59:44	empire state couple charged by july 4 20260701175724247	No	SELL	77	12¢	$9	0xfbeb18…
07-02 15:57:28	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	129	9¢	$12	0x4c1e64…
07-02 15:41:02	untitled market 1 20260629180748167	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x46511a…
07-02 15:12:28	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	No	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x36d901…
07-02 14:56:23	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x3d5b92…
07-02 14:50:23	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952743	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb92bc6…
07-02 14:45:08	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha arrested by july 31 20260626164648139	No	SELL	5	77¢	$3	0xbff667…
07-02 14:31:07	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xaada14…
07-02 12:15:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x959883…
07-02 12:14:05	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x783d8b…
07-02 12:13:59	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa40de5…
07-02 12:06:04	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x089a57…
07-02 11:57:26	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x63c212…
07-02 11:49:08	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xe4b287…
07-02 11:36:08	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x88c322…
07-02 11:36:05	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x1d3eea…
07-02 11:36:02	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4d3420…
07-02 11:35:59	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952743	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf85577…
07-02 09:26:40	will the catholic church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026 20260630195252800	No	BUY	422	2¢	$8	0xdf38c3…
07-02 09:21:49	will the catholic church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026 20260630195252800	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa81943…
07-02 09:00:49	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xf89568…
07-02 08:43:46	untitled market 1 20260629180748167	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc96c5f…
07-02 08:40:53	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3d972a…
07-02 08:26:43	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x090e31…
07-02 08:26:34	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	103	9¢	$9	0x702835…
07-02 08:26:17	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952745	Yes	BUY	94	9¢	$8	0xe80f2c…
07-02 08:15:23	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952745	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xee89c4…
07-02 08:09:13	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952745	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xbf5a6d…
07-02 08:07:41	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x72fcce…
07-02 07:11:14	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by july 31 2026 20260625163926546	Yes	SELL	76	12¢	$9	0xc36bc7…
07-02 06:35:56	will iran hold a presidential election by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x3caf0e…
07-02 05:51:49	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x4d3c2f…
07-02 05:51:40	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952743	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xec882b…
07-02 05:51:40	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952743	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x66c316…
07-02 05:49:25	untitled market 1 20260629180748167	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x2f348d…
07-02 05:07:08	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x1a60e9…
07-02 04:53:08	empire state couple charged by july 4 20260701175724247	No	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x883869…
07-02 03:59:58	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5caaf2…
07-02 02:57:40	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	122	11¢	$13	0x3737d5…
07-02 00:00:32	untitled market 1 20260629180748167	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xfcccb8…