Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
4,040 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$19.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$47
26 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-06 09:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Other
50% 45% -$53
Politics
39% 53% +$743
Tech
9% 42% -$78
Sports
1% 60% +$18
Crypto
0% 38% -$45
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +27 $8 30¢ $8 +$0 10-02 10:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -8 -$5 99¢ $-8 -$3 07-08 16:30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -7 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 07-09 12:50
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -6 -$6 94¢ $-6 $0 05-20 17:36
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? No -6 -$6 94¢ $-6 +$0 06-12 09:20
greece x turkey military engagement by december 31 Yes +83 $7 5¢ $4 -$2 07-09 00:15
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 Yes +51 $9 8¢ $4 -$5 06-08 14:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +56 $10 4¢ $3 -$7 10-02 11:54
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -19 $0 5¢ $-1 -$1 07-08 16:32
will iran hold a presidential election by december 31 Yes +15 $2 4¢ $1 -$2 07-02 06:35
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +3 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 05-26 09:55
will samuel garcia be out as governor of nuevo leon by december 31 2026 20260616210407151 Yes +4 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 06-22 04:35
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +153 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 10-02 16:25
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026? No +72 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 10-02 21:09
Trump on $250 bill this year? Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-28 22:00
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -13 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-08 16:33
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes +0 -$14 6¢ $0 +$14 05-31 14:47
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 12¢ $0 +$1 07-21 01:18
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026 Yes +0 -$4 7¢ $0 +$4 06-21 21:44
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +0 -$23 13¢ $0 +$23 06-13 10:42
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$4 11¢ $0 +$4 06-28 12:44
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +0 -$1 6¢ $0 +$1 06-13 23:50
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $6 4¢ $0 -$6 10-03 22:56
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +0 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-08 16:28
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +0 -$7 2¢ $0 +$7 05-16 12:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +0 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 07-08 16:17