Loving-Pusher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

5,515

Trades

6,691

lifetime

Volume

$478

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-25 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

97% 1% -$37

Crypto

2% 0% -$9

Politics

1% 2% -$3

Sports

1% 2% -$2

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	06-02 23:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Yes	+10	$0	0¢	$0	$0	05-13 14:03
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+10	$0	0¢	$0	$0	05-13 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	1	$15	15	0	+15	Real Madrid CF	+$0	10-25 14:52
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)	1	$14	15	0	+15	FC Augsburg	+$0	10-24 08:40
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)	1	$14	14	0	+14	VfB Stuttgart	+$1	10-23 15:08
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)	1	$13	14	0	+14	Club Atlético de Madrid	+$1	10-20 11:52
Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)	1	$13	13	0	+13	FC Twente	+$0	10-18 17:04
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	1	$12	13	0	+13	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	+$1	10-18 08:20
Spread: ADO Den Haag (-1.5)	1	$12	12	0	+12	PSV	+$0	10-17 13:56
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)	1	$11	12	0	+12	Club Atlético de Madrid	+$1	10-17 07:44
Spread: TSV Hartberg (-1.5)	1	$11	11	0	+11	SK Rapid	+$0	10-16 17:07
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-10-15?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	10-15 10:53
Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Real Madrid CF	+$0	10-14 06:05
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	10-13 11:19
Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)	1	$9	9	0	+9	Real Betis Balompié	+$0	10-11 12:33
Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-10?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	10-10 18:40
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	1	$8	8	0	+8	Spain	+$0	10-06 12:35
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)	1	$8	8	0	+8	Italy	+$0	10-05 18:43
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun	1	$7	8	0	+8	Coco Gauff	+$0	10-05 08:36
Spread: Israel (-1.5)	1	$7	7	0	+7	Republic of Ireland	+$1	10-04 15:39
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-17 14:59
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	07-05 20:51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on May 23?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-23 20:39
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-19 17:18
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$0	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-13 21:08
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	2	$0	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-05 20:50
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$0	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-04 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 17?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-17 19:11
Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-23 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-16 22:28
Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	3	$0	9	9	+0	open	—	05-23 20:40
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:52:32	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x05fac2…
10-24 08:40:14	Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)	FC Augsburg	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xdcca49…
10-23 15:08:53	Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x73e7a6…
10-20 11:52:35	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x429fb6…
10-18 17:04:11	Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)	FC Twente	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xfd70f1…
10-18 08:20:45	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xe35375…
10-17 13:56:02	Spread: ADO Den Haag (-1.5)	PSV	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xd5390c…
10-17 07:44:44	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x630236…
10-16 17:07:40	Spread: TSV Hartberg (-1.5)	SK Rapid	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe21b09…
10-15 10:53:28	Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf47685…
10-14 06:05:59	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe1b8f2…
10-13 11:19:38	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb7341e…
10-11 12:33:24	Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x60301b…
10-10 18:40:36	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x957d79…
10-06 12:35:19	Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Spain	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf70e87…
10-05 18:43:53	Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)	Italy	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xa178d2…
10-05 08:36:31	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun	Coco Gauff	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x85232e…
10-04 15:42:04	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xe419c6…
10-04 15:39:52	Spread: Israel (-1.5)	Republic of Ireland	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x35d645…
07-05 20:51:23	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x45ca28…
07-05 20:50:02	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x56939b…
06-21 14:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfce274…
06-21 14:30:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8ee932…
06-21 14:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc5ac10…
06-21 14:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf9e139…
06-21 14:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5a57c6…
06-21 14:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfb3490…
06-21 14:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1257e7…
06-21 13:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb63c68…
06-21 13:41:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa39104…
06-21 13:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x654332…
06-21 13:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc933c6…
06-21 13:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x744cfb…
06-21 13:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b207b…
06-21 13:07:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc964c9…
06-21 12:57:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6265d6…
06-21 12:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3cf852…
06-21 12:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a1e17…
06-21 12:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdbb9ad…
06-21 12:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf51ceb…
06-21 12:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe29961…
06-21 12:32:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7ddbf4…
06-21 12:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7c6a17…
06-21 12:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x847bb4…
06-21 12:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0665d9…
06-21 12:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd339c0…
06-21 12:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x34e531…
06-21 12:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfb5c3b…
06-21 11:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa82372…
06-21 11:52:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x12c78c…
06-21 11:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x16be1d…
06-21 11:39:26	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf938aa…
06-21 11:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4cca46…
06-21 11:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf6ce85…
06-21 11:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9768f6…
06-21 11:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x79905c…
06-21 11:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x91ef6e…
06-21 11:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c5c16…
06-21 11:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf7c9b6…
06-21 10:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd9afba…
06-21 10:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x349b22…
06-21 10:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x59dc15…
06-21 10:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd371c5…
06-21 10:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0c7184…
06-21 10:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x382696…
06-21 09:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9fd1a2…
06-21 09:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa865c8…
06-21 09:45:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x097cc4…
06-21 09:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x212659…
06-21 09:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1212f6…
06-21 09:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x57de84…
06-21 09:14:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c4022…
06-21 09:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc1ef59…
06-21 09:05:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x1ee362…
06-21 08:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7c8895…
06-21 08:50:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb99309…
06-21 08:24:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdf8f7a…
06-21 08:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf6caba…
06-21 08:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x386f78…
06-21 08:22:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x877b0c…
06-21 08:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5768a7…
06-21 08:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a49b9…
06-21 08:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc8e02…
06-21 08:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x17ba4a…
06-21 08:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b43c4…
06-21 08:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf9ca7d…
06-21 08:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1e4acb…
06-21 08:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x1ae735…
06-21 07:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7ef043…
06-21 07:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf95dd7…
06-21 07:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xca99ef…
06-21 07:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x67a677…
06-21 07:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x126cf1…
06-21 07:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x48034a…
06-21 07:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7d4358…
06-21 07:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb4bbb4…
06-21 07:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0eb73…
06-21 06:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x924199…
06-21 06:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcd4f45…
06-21 06:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9c173…