Realized P&L
+$138
Unrealized P&L
-$844
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
37
Trades
28,022
lifetime
Volume
$340.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.30K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
93% 50% +$160
Politics
6%
Crypto
0% 43% $-22
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -497 $-403 86¢ $-427 $-25 06-09 17:02
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -450 $-414 94¢ $-423 $-8 07-19 01:55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +380 $150 46¢ $177 +$27 07-13 15:15
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -100 $-84 88¢ $-88 $-4 06-08 20:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $61 80¢ $80 +$18 07-03 09:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $81 18¢ $37 $-44 06-04 01:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $18 28¢ $28 +$10 06-08 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,005 $858 $25 $-833 07-11 01:16
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +100 $1 16¢ $16 +$14 07-01 01:27
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Yes +22 $4 24¢ $5 +$1 06-17 01:30