Realized P&L
-$8.34K
Unrealized P&L
+$847
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
1,476
Trades
36,552
lifetime
Volume
$377.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$2.37K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
93% 44% -$9,705
Politics
6% 68% +$1,374
Crypto
1% 56% +$7
Tech
0% 100% +$17
Sports
0% 0% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 366 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -1,165 -$1,074 93¢ $-1084 -$11 07-22 11:29
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -500 -$420 85¢ $-425 -$5 06-08 20:03
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -300 -$285 95¢ $-285 +$0 05-13 22:42
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +200 $107 98¢ $197 +$90 09-04 14:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +600 $183 18¢ $111 -$72 06-08 10:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $93 92¢ $92 -$2 09-30 22:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +100 $20 40¢ $40 +$20 10-12 12:03
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -1,801 -$1,135 2¢ $-29 +$1,106 09-04 14:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? Yes +200 $22 9¢ $18 -$4 10-08 15:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $12 18¢ $18 +$6 08-20 03:20
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $32 8¢ $17 -$15 09-21 15:28
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +669 $31 2¢ $17 -$14 09-21 11:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +300 $239 4¢ $11 -$227 10-17 01:25
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $19 6¢ $11 -$8 09-21 10:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +70 $22 12¢ $8 -$14 10-02 18:19
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +100 $2 4¢ $4 +$2 10-25 16:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $10 6¢ $3 -$6 05-19 02:42