Crazy-Liner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$128

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-02 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 54% $-2

Other

22% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 10:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$10	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 20:23
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 17:36
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 18:53
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 17:16
sol updown 15m 1768308300	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	01-13 12:53
btc updown 5m 1773782700	3	$3	101	1	+100	open	—	03-17 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 15:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 21:18
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 22:00
eth updown 15m 1768307400	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	01-13 12:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	200	0	+200	open	—	05-31 14:44
btc updown 5m 1777011600	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 06:22
btc updown 5m 1777016100	2	$2	5	4	+0	open	—	04-24 07:39
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 16:57
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 19:02
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 19:03
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 20:38
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudo	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 19:11
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 10:52
btc updown 5m 1776371100	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 06:52
btc updown 5m 1777016400	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xcc4973…
06-02 20:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x43b9bf…
06-02 20:23:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0xab72ae…
06-02 16:55:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x49bc72…
05-31 14:44:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf1c5ef…
05-27 07:20:14	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xabfa88…
05-27 07:18:32	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5196e7…
05-25 19:11:21	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x308bfc…
05-25 18:45:04	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x68edb3…
05-18 18:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb16d06…
05-18 18:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xeb2668…
05-18 18:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf53873…
05-13 06:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf159ec…
05-13 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdb19a0…
05-11 18:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x09d421…
05-11 18:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x03c1ae…
05-11 18:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x60cf02…
05-11 18:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x8ff470…
05-11 18:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe38843…
05-10 19:17:10	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x0680ee…
05-10 19:15:43	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x23d35a…
05-10 19:15:41	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x5504fc…
05-10 19:15:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4780df…
05-10 19:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x62749a…
05-10 19:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc4edb2…
05-10 19:02:33	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd8d8e7…
05-10 19:00:27	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x010c29…
05-10 17:36:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x12f597…
05-10 17:32:59	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf9ebda…
05-10 17:32:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x461d6e…
05-10 17:30:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4a5148…
05-10 17:16:58	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc24f7f…
05-10 17:16:51	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3603f2…
05-10 17:16:32	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1e733c…
05-10 17:08:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x545879…
05-10 16:57:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xead3b5…
05-10 16:49:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe5eabd…
05-10 16:11:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x44e911…
05-10 16:05:19	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4aada4…
05-05 19:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7028d4…
05-05 19:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xec3f5e…
05-05 19:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x332cd2…
05-01 20:38:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8decb8…
05-01 05:45:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5a4306…
05-01 05:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xaa7a48…
05-01 05:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1bf085…
05-01 04:55:38	Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercog	Xiyu Wang	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x508f08…
04-30 19:03:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x095643…
04-30 15:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x417278…
04-30 10:52:40	Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	Fire Flux Esports	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0aa9a9…
04-30 10:47:32	Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0eea24…
04-30 10:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfe1ac9…
04-30 10:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x789969…
04-30 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x105991…
04-30 10:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xccc900…
04-30 10:27:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbda30b…
04-30 10:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3ccb8b…
04-30 10:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xd320a9…
04-30 10:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x05c002…
04-28 22:00:40	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x52867e…
04-28 17:55:00	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb238de…
04-24 21:18:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc06e7b…
04-24 10:56:12	Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudo	Timofey Skatov	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6d8bcd…
04-24 08:27:00	Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudo	Timofey Skatov	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa2e353…
04-24 07:52:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x180f66…
04-24 07:40:48	btc updown 5m 1777016400	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x8c4fb7…
04-24 07:40:36	btc updown 5m 1777016400	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe9cf97…
04-24 07:39:22	btc updown 5m 1777016100	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x351eb2…
04-24 07:39:02	btc updown 5m 1777016100	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7a1e66…
04-24 06:22:20	btc updown 5m 1777011600	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x192160…
04-24 06:22:06	btc updown 5m 1777011600	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa8e626…
04-16 21:09:52	xauusd up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6540c0…
04-16 21:00:14	xauusd up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x402b9d…
04-16 20:52:38	btc updown 5m 1776372600	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8a3f49…
04-16 20:29:22	btc updown 5m 1776371100	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xde2778…
04-16 20:27:48	btc updown 5m 1776371100	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb85ff9…
04-16 20:09:14	nflx up or down on april 16 2026	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xaadf7e…
03-17 21:30:01	btc updown 5m 1773782700	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0da00…
03-17 21:28:33	btc updown 5m 1773782700	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3c5cfd…
03-17 21:27:17	btc updown 5m 1773782700	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x88caa3…
03-17 21:25:43	bnb updown 5m 1773782400	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x95e0ee…
03-17 21:24:51	bnb updown 5m 1773782400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3531c8…
03-17 21:13:37	btc updown 5m 1773781800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x327a17…
03-17 21:04:53	btc updown 5m 1773781200	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x403230…
03-17 20:55:31	btc updown 5m 1773780600	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x63b149…
03-17 20:55:19	btc updown 5m 1773780600	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5266a9…
03-17 20:34:01	btc updown 5m 1773779400	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8d520c…
01-13 13:09:25	btc updown 15m 1768309200	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd900ac…
01-13 13:09:23	sol updown 15m 1768309200	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x717296…
01-13 13:03:07	btc updown 15m 1768309200	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5bc162…
01-13 13:00:49	sol updown 15m 1768309200	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5bff12…
01-13 12:53:47	sol updown 15m 1768308300	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x86101f…
01-13 12:50:55	sol updown 15m 1768308300	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0b8e9a…
01-13 12:45:55	sol updown 15m 1768308300	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x71d68f…
01-13 12:42:39	eth updown 15m 1768307400	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xa16baa…
01-13 12:31:55	eth updown 15m 1768307400	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6e211c…
01-13 12:25:01	btc updown 15m 1768306500	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d7f75…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	30	$13.9K	895	06-02 20:31
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	25	$14.0K	2,039	06-02 20:31
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	25	$2.92K	232	06-02 20:30
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	25	$2.64K	356	06-02 20:31
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	22	$51.0K	514	06-02 20:33
Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a	21	$1.29K	406	06-02 20:32
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	20	$7.82K	793	06-02 20:30
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	20	$4.49K	795	05-18 18:49