Realized P&L
-$105
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
258
Trades
555
lifetime
Volume
$4.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$106
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 07-31 09:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
69% 33% -$72
Crypto
21% 48% +$10
Politics
5% 40% -$20
Sports
3% 67% -$41
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$16
Tech
0% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -45 -$31 87¢ $-39 -$9 07-02 21:11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -21 -$12 63¢ $-13 -$1 07-14 15:34
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -48 -$23 18¢ $-9 +$14 07-14 15:33
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -22 -$5 37¢ $-8 -$3 07-14 15:35
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -29 -$10 27¢ $-8 +$2 07-02 21:12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -29 -$8 26¢ $-8 +$1 07-14 15:35
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -22 -$5 34¢ $-7 -$2 07-14 15:36
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -23 -$8 17¢ $-4 +$4 07-14 15:35
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -20 -$5 16¢ $-3 +$1 07-14 15:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -22 -$4 11¢ $-2 +$2 05-28 09:03
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -60 -$11 3¢ $-2 +$9 07-14 15:35
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -22 -$2 6¢ $-1 +$1 07-14 15:36
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes -21 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 21:13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -29 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-02 21:12