Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$252
$635 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$1,732
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 38 | $147 | $93 | +$55 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $24 | $32 | $9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| Median | 16 | $11 | $50 | $39 |
| Below median | 5 | $42 | $2 | +$40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| unranked | 2 | $22 | — | +$22 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | +80 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-11 04:42 |
| Cultured-Programming 0xa200…27b0 | Yes | +54 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-13 02:47 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | +53 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-12 22:05 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +50 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-12 08:22 |
| Sticky-Worry 0xf899…0759 | Yes | +41 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-12 10:27 |
| Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | +36 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-12 06:00 |
| Quixotic-Beancurd 0x4230…152e | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 20:28 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 03:08 |
| Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | +23 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 22:22 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 06:00 |
| Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Curly-Tell 0x44f9…c357 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:51 |
| Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:39 |
| Monumental-Literate 0x5407…dbc0 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 21:30 |
| Agitated-Platypus 0x6da1…0b9d | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 21:36 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:05 |
| Bad-Armoire 0x6036…cc41 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Dismal-Rehospitalisation 0x6936…894b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:11 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 23:17 |
| Alarming-Ketch 0xf4ea…7ef6 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:16 |
| Blissful-Ferret 0xa1bd…940e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:16 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 06:46 |
| Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 21:07 |
| Intent-Celery 0xb9d0…829b | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 03:41 |
| Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 03:41 |
| Well-To-Do-Touch 0xb318…088c | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 23:46 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 01:59 |
| Upset-Fireman 0xdedd…17e1 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 02:46 |
| Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:23 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 06:46 |
| Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:41 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 06:46 |
| Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:47:15 | Cultured-Programming 0xa200…27b0 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x5a869f… |
| 05-13 02:46:59 | Cultured-Programming 0xa200…27b0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 36¢ | $9 | 0xb044a6… |
| 05-13 02:46:15 | Cultured-Programming 0xa200…27b0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x932afd… |
| 05-13 02:46:12 | Upset-Fireman 0xdedd…17e1 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xf88cf2… |
| 05-13 01:59:02 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x688e5d… |
| 05-13 01:58:53 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x557480… |
| 05-13 00:17:06 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x4397bb… |
| 05-12 23:46:51 | Well-To-Do-Touch 0xb318…088c | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x6fe006… |
| 05-12 23:23:08 | Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | Yes | BUY | 4 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x70d245… |
| 05-12 22:41:59 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xb0ced2… |
| 05-12 22:22:58 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 36¢ | $8 | 0xcb7cc3… |
| 05-12 22:05:56 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x8c9c27… |
| 05-12 22:05:56 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 35¢ | $19 | 0x96103c… |
| 05-12 22:01:47 | Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xc8c60a… |
| 05-12 21:51:09 | Curly-Tell 0x44f9…c357 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xfd1d69… |
| 05-12 21:36:39 | Agitated-Platypus 0x6da1…0b9d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xa84d86… |
| 05-12 21:30:54 | Monumental-Literate 0x5407…dbc0 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x286ef3… |
| 05-12 21:16:16 | Alarming-Ketch 0xf4ea…7ef6 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x6013e1… |
| 05-12 21:16:14 | Blissful-Ferret 0xa1bd…940e | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x6379e9… |
| 05-12 17:02:27 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xc9d8a2… |
| 05-12 16:51:33 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x3a52e2… |
| 05-12 16:31:22 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x64f1e7… |
| 05-12 10:27:43 | Sticky-Worry 0xf899…0759 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 41¢ | $17 | 0xce2bb0… |
| 05-12 08:22:37 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 37¢ | $9 | 0x53c789… |
| 05-12 08:22:28 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 37¢ | $9 | 0xc116d7… |
| 05-12 06:46:20 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xd88323… |
| 05-12 06:46:18 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x24c736… |
| 05-12 06:46:13 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xd38ccd… |
| 05-12 06:46:11 | (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | BUY | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x123538… |
| 05-12 06:00:55 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 35¢ | $6 | 0xf6b13b… |
| 05-12 06:00:55 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | BUY | 36 | 64¢ | $23 | 0x44269e… |
| 05-12 06:00:54 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x07cc34… |
| 05-12 06:00:54 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x21c87f… |
| 05-12 06:00:54 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xf8b033… |
| 05-12 03:41:01 | Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xc7e39f… |
| 05-12 03:41:01 | Intent-Celery 0xb9d0…829b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x806e65… |
| 05-12 03:08:07 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x319b32… |
| 05-12 00:11:48 | Dismal-Rehospitalisation 0x6936…894b | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xbb6c05… |
| 05-12 00:02:17 | Bad-Armoire 0x6036…cc41 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x77a27e… |
| 05-11 23:17:36 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xb5096a… |
| 05-11 21:07:10 | Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x3aca30… |
| 05-11 20:32:00 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xdcfb43… |
| 05-11 20:28:04 | Quixotic-Beancurd 0x4230…152e | No | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0xdf9a8a… |
| 05-11 05:39:26 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x92737c… |
| 05-11 05:19:07 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xeee50d… |
| 05-11 04:42:37 | Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 21¢ | $17 | 0xe5fdd8… |