Agitated-Platypus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

456

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-26 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

51% 67% +$3

Crypto

27% 50% $-1

Politics

20% 67% +$5

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773762300	2	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	03-17 15:50
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	6	$39	66	48	+18	open	—	02-20 11:27
btc updown 5m 1770896100	2	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	02-12 11:40
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$34	35	35	+0	open	—	02-13 09:09
btc updown 5m 1770897600	2	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	02-12 12:04
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	02-10 16:12
btc updown 5m 1770898500	4	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	02-12 12:20
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	6	$31	29	29	+0	open	—	04-03 13:50
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	2	$30	31	31	+0	open	—	02-17 18:33
btc updown 15m 1770834600	4	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	02-11 18:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	7	$28	57	57	+0	open	—	02-09 23:11
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	2	$24	35	35	+0	open	—	02-08 03:23
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	4	$24	19	32	-13	open	—	02-24 17:55
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	02-18 11:44
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	3	$23	25	25	+0	open	—	02-17 13:03
btc updown 5m 1771024200	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	02-13 23:15
will israel strike gaza on february 14 2026	3	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	02-14 12:57
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-16 18:00
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-04 16:20
will seguro win all of portugals districts	2	$21	111	111	+0	open	—	02-08 21:29
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	2	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	02-09 15:54
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	2	$20	32	32	+0	open	—	02-09 16:28
spx up or down on march 20 2026	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	03-20 22:24
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	02-28 18:48
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	2	$17	16	16	+0	open	—	02-11 11:19
btc updown 5m 1771023000	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	02-13 22:55
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	02-17 23:26
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	02-18 20:03
btc updown 5m 1771073400	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	02-14 12:55
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	5	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	05-13 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 17:23:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x699f32…
05-26 17:23:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x4d29cb…
05-26 17:23:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x1e30b5…
05-24 16:56:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3a81a3…
05-21 18:43:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x65a275…
05-20 15:42:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x80ad59…
05-18 06:04:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xd214e4…
05-18 06:03:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xe76ea6…
05-14 18:34:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x7acb6d…
05-14 06:43:20	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xae3722…
05-13 12:20:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x213b89…
05-13 12:20:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa47f7b…
05-13 12:17:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd3388f…
05-13 08:40:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xec9c13…
05-13 08:38:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xa6b7fd…
05-13 08:38:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x740807…
05-12 21:38:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcd0bfa…
05-12 21:29:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xec2408…
05-12 21:28:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x14b2f0…
05-11 18:17:41	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7e3c3f…
05-11 18:09:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbb454e…
05-11 18:08:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	7	84¢	$5	0x60277f…
05-11 12:36:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3dd310…
05-09 19:33:55	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x4cba8a…
05-08 06:56:29	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xcceab0…
05-07 22:25:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x432cc9…
05-07 22:24:26	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2a4960…
05-07 22:24:16	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1ecc4b…
05-07 22:23:51	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2f9b8a…
05-07 22:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x527e92…
05-07 22:18:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb45a6e…
05-07 22:17:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9d0838…
05-07 22:17:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc9b643…
05-07 22:11:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc30854…
05-07 22:10:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd6e3bc…
05-07 22:09:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xff6389…
05-07 22:08:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xda81ff…
05-07 22:07:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x6938a1…
05-07 22:07:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x1e5bdc…
05-07 22:07:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xdf890e…
05-07 22:06:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x3162c1…
05-07 22:04:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x0572b1…
05-06 12:41:36	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x50d7cb…
05-06 12:38:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xde4549…
05-04 15:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x285871…
05-04 11:59:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7d6de3…
05-04 11:58:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7f55a3…
05-04 11:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8f9760…
05-03 01:52:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5bf841…
05-03 01:51:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x7c810e…
05-03 01:50:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x691ed2…
05-03 01:50:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd1206a…
05-03 01:48:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe55f23…
05-03 01:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe9e1d9…
05-01 23:01:20	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xff9473…
05-01 22:58:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe548ef…
05-01 22:57:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xec550f…
05-01 22:54:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x5e8865…
05-01 22:53:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc963a4…
05-01 22:52:16	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7556e9…
05-01 22:51:42	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8d2401…
05-01 22:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x0dc70d…
04-11 15:08:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x561b11…
04-11 11:20:41	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0e684f…
04-10 10:54:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x08a62a…
04-08 21:42:01	Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf03752…
04-08 21:40:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfc8f43…
04-08 21:40:45	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x08bf1a…
04-08 21:40:29	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x56ed94…
04-08 10:44:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x79cecc…
04-08 10:33:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x57f62c…
04-04 22:06:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x9235f5…
04-03 13:59:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd11b3e…
04-03 13:59:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x309cdb…
04-03 13:58:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xdf9e2d…
04-03 13:57:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2cef13…
04-03 13:57:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x276683…
04-03 13:56:55	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd907ad…
04-03 13:53:59	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x97dcb2…
04-03 13:53:27	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe94211…
04-03 13:50:55	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0xcf4836…
04-02 18:08:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x582d53…
04-02 18:07:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x885b7f…
03-31 18:03:57	will the sp 500 index gain at least 2 on any day in q1	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x3c5010…
03-30 21:51:45	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xa6ef65…
03-30 21:50:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x220218…
03-30 21:50:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa91bdd…
03-30 07:31:34	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf82db9…
03-30 07:30:26	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfc36bd…
03-29 01:44:46	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x68f483…
03-29 01:44:14	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x469159…
03-29 01:42:52	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xb3a71f…
03-29 01:42:52	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x203419…
03-28 12:54:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xca5e03…
03-27 19:08:15	bitcoin up or down on march 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb60378…
03-27 19:05:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xf7cd62…
03-27 19:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xc990dd…
03-27 19:01:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6d98e5…
03-27 19:01:19	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x403633…
03-26 21:57:09	will sp 500 spx hit 6400 low in march 2026	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x95e5bc…