Realized P&L
+$29
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
1,933
lifetime
Volume
$6.48K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$270
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 07-20 07:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
62% 33% $-3
Politics
28% 78% +$32
Crypto
4%
Sports
3% 0% $-0
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -30 $-14 99¢ $-30 $-16 07-13 19:12
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +28 $24 86¢ $24 $-0 07-19 22:24
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +48 $24 50¢ $24 $-0 06-15 08:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +26 $20 88¢ $23 +$2 06-18 18:24
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -30 $-15 50¢ $-15 +$0 06-05 04:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +25 $9 46¢ $12 +$2 07-18 13:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 07-13 19:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +40 $7 26¢ $10 +$3 07-16 06:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 07-19 23:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +26 $8 34¢ $9 +$0 07-16 06:03
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +11 $9 76¢ $9 $-1 07-12 01:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $-0 07-11 23:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -9 $-8 96¢ $-8 $-0 06-03 07:34
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +9 $7 89¢ $8 +$1 07-13 17:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 72¢ $7 $-1 07-16 06:05
Trump out as President before 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 07-10 00:47
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -6 $-4 86¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 22:16
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -22 $-5 22¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 20:09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $5 +$1 07-13 05:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-22 12:04
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +6 $4 79¢ $4 +$0 06-21 08:18
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $4 96¢ $4 $-0 07-15 15:40
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +34 $9 12¢ $4 $-4 06-22 12:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 06-25 16:01
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 07-10 01:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 07-20 00:24
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 06-01 19:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 $-0 07-09 10:54
New pandemic in 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-07 05:02
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-14 23:27