Realized P&L
+$29
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
1,713
lifetime
Volume
$5.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$262
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-29 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
64% 33% $-3
Politics
27% 78% +$32
Crypto
5%
Tech
2%
Sports
2% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 570 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +48 $24 50¢ $24 $-0 06-15 08:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -35 $-19 64¢ $-23 $-4 06-11 23:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +26 $20 84¢ $22 +$1 06-18 18:24
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -21 $-16 96¢ $-20 $-4 06-25 22:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +22 $19 86¢ $19 +$0 06-22 12:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -18 $-14 100¢ $-18 $-4 06-25 16:01
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -30 $-15 50¢ $-15 +$0 06-05 04:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$0 06-03 07:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -10 $-9 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 18:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 06-10 21:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -9 $-8 96¢ $-8 $-0 06-03 07:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 $-0 06-25 14:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-22 12:03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +34 $9 16¢ $6 $-3 06-22 12:02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -22 $-5 25¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 20:09
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -6 $-4 88¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 22:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-03 07:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$0 05-28 05:10
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-22 12:04
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +6 $4 72¢ $4 $-0 06-21 08:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-25 16:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$0 06-09 19:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$1 06-11 16:37
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-01 19:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 19:30
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 06-03 07:35
New pandemic in 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 06-07 05:02
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 06-14 23:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-09 14:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$0 06-03 00:00