Realized P&L
+$29
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
1,597
lifetime
Volume
$5.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$296
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-10 00:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
65% 33% $-3
Politics
27% 78% +$32
Crypto
5%
Sports
2% 0% $-0
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 570 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +53 $27 51¢ $27 $-0 06-09 12:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +31 $26 84¢ $26 $-0 06-09 12:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $22 68¢ $20 $-2 06-01 14:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +22 $17 80¢ $18 +$0 06-01 07:18
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -30 $-15 50¢ $-15 +$0 06-05 04:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +15 $14 98¢ $14 +$0 06-03 07:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -20 $-11 70¢ $-14 $-3 06-06 16:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $13 76¢ $13 +$1 06-05 07:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +15 $13 90¢ $13 +$0 06-09 12:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +16 $11 80¢ $13 +$1 06-09 12:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +19 $13 64¢ $12 $-1 06-09 12:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -12 $-8 90¢ $-11 $-3 05-28 12:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-11 86¢ $-10 +$0 06-03 07:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +45 $11 20¢ $9 $-2 06-09 12:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +14 $9 60¢ $8 $-0 06-01 20:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -9 $-8 95¢ $-8 $-0 06-03 07:34
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -11 $-8 66¢ $-7 +$1 05-28 16:56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -22 $-5 24¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 20:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 06-03 15:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-06 01:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-03 07:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 $-0 06-09 13:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-1 06-01 06:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 05-28 19:29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 05-28 05:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-08 10:25
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -6 $-4 73¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 22:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -21 $-6 18¢ $-4 +$2 06-03 07:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +4 $3 84¢ $4 +$0 06-09 12:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 06-09 19:21