Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
open
Total volume
$1,081
Trades
94
Unique wallets
47
Liquidity
$55
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-07-30
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-23 13:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $4 | $616 | $612 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $13 | $140 | $127 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $7 | $146 | $139 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $11 | $46 | $35 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $4 | $95 | $91 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $7 | $39 | $32 |
| Median | 8 | $6 | $294 | $289 |
| Below median | 6 | $4 | $6 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $0 | $285 | $285 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $89 | $89 |
| unranked | 16 | $9 | $139 | $130 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +267 | $266 | $266 | 1 | 07-23 03:29 |
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-23 13:57 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +213 | $0 | $2 | 4 | 07-23 13:05 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c12…29a2 | Yes | +105 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 13:05 |
| Striped-Crazy 0x2c79…e0aa | No | +102 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 07-08 14:52 |
| Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 07-13 15:25 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +99 | $-0 | $1 | 7 | 07-23 13:56 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +93 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 07-08 14:52 |
| Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | +66 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 07-08 14:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | +56 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-13 15:25 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 13:57 |
| Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-22 00:29 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | +35 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-01 19:37 |
| Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 13:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-01 09:27 |
| Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-15 12:22 |
| Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-03 05:07 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $6 | 3 | 06-08 13:47 |
| Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-23 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 13:57 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-17 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 13:57 |
| Conventional-Interviewer 0xc208…bf1d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 05:24 |
| Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-10 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x978b…2add | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 01:54 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 05:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $1 | $22 | 4 | 07-20 19:59 |
| Wavy-Savior 0x75e5…b79d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-15 19:57 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 01:12 |
| Unwilling-Burden 0x7be5…a53b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 01:12 |
| Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 19:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 13:57:52 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb765ec… |
| 07-23 13:57:52 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb765ec… |
| 07-23 13:57:52 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb765ec… |
| 07-23 13:57:52 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0xb765ec… |
| 07-23 13:57:52 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb765ec… |
| 07-23 13:57:52 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb765ec… |
| 07-23 13:56:52 | Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe7e5a8… |
| 07-23 13:56:52 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7e5a8… |
| 07-23 13:56:21 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb4ddc… |
| 07-23 13:56:21 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | Yes | SELL | 85 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb4ddc… |
| 07-23 13:05:37 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x56082c… |
| 07-23 13:05:37 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56082c… |
| 07-23 13:05:37 | (anonymous) 0x6c12…29a2 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x56082c… |
| 07-23 03:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 267 | 100¢ | $266 | 0xdb7272… |
| 07-23 03:29:01 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 267 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdb7272… |
| 07-22 18:01:15 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f0986… |
| 07-22 18:01:15 | (anonymous) 0x490d…2843 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1f0986… |
| 07-22 00:29:16 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x923296… |
| 07-22 00:29:16 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x923296… |
| 07-21 21:18:31 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe8d76f… |
| 07-21 21:18:31 | (anonymous) 0xc873…3d5f | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe8d76f… |
| 07-21 18:16:01 | (anonymous) 0xc873…3d5f | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0xb06188… |
| 07-21 18:16:01 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb06188… |
| 07-20 19:59:13 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x244173… |
| 07-20 19:59:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x244173… |
| 07-20 19:59:13 | Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x244173… |
| 07-19 05:04:48 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5eae83… |
| 07-19 05:04:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5eae83… |
| 07-19 01:54:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9f8486… |
| 07-19 01:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x978b…2add | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9f8486… |
| 07-18 20:15:31 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb3c5ce… |
| 07-18 20:15:31 | (anonymous) 0xc873…3d5f | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb3c5ce… |
| 07-18 06:05:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0xb575cf… |
| 07-18 06:05:55 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0xb575cf… |
| 07-18 06:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | Yes | BUY | 85 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdb98e9… |
| 07-18 06:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xdb98e9… |
| 07-18 06:05:19 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb98e9… |
| 07-18 06:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdb98e9… |
| 07-15 19:57:17 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bfc28… |
| 07-15 19:57:17 | Wavy-Savior 0x75e5…b79d | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6bfc28… |
| 07-13 15:25:52 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0xfe2250… |
| 07-13 15:25:52 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0xfe2250… |
| 07-13 15:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | BUY | 56 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x3c6eb3… |
| 07-13 15:25:50 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0x3c6eb3… |
| 07-10 06:19:02 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbbe3fe… |
| 07-10 06:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbbe3fe… |
| 07-08 14:55:41 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa73ede… |
| 07-08 14:55:41 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa73ede… |
| 07-08 14:52:59 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf84902… |
| 07-08 14:52:59 | Striped-Crazy 0x2c79…e0aa | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xf84902… |
| 07-08 14:52:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x290f3c… |
| 07-08 14:52:58 | Striped-Crazy 0x2c79…e0aa | No | BUY | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0x290f3c… |
| 07-08 14:52:58 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x290f3c… |
| 07-08 07:17:26 | (anonymous) 0x4871…0169 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x76e73c… |
| 07-08 07:17:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x76e73c… |
| 07-07 15:12:46 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x42b624… |
| 07-07 15:12:46 | Sunny-Nitrogen 0xbf53…1720 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x42b624… |
| 07-04 10:05:19 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x69a2a8… |
| 07-04 10:05:19 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x69a2a8… |
| 07-02 07:17:14 | Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6369b9… |
| 07-02 07:17:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6369b9… |
| 06-22 23:25:47 | (anonymous) 0x4871…0169 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x62f49d… |
| 06-22 23:25:47 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x62f49d… |
| 06-17 04:01:07 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x40918c… |
| 06-17 04:01:07 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x40918c… |
| 06-17 04:01:05 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xdc3bd8… |
| 06-17 04:01:05 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xdc3bd8… |
| 06-16 01:12:49 | Unwilling-Burden 0x7be5…a53b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9cb87c… |
| 06-16 01:12:49 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9cb87c… |
| 06-15 13:11:58 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xa9dc8b… |
| 06-15 13:11:58 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa9dc8b… |
| 06-15 12:22:31 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc3a569… |
| 06-15 12:22:31 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xc3a569… |
| 06-15 12:22:31 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc3a569… |
| 06-15 12:22:31 | Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xc3a569… |
| 06-08 13:47:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x0bf35c… |
| 06-08 13:47:58 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x0bf35c… |
| 06-04 05:24:00 | Conventional-Interviewer 0xc208…bf1d | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x46438b… |
| 06-04 05:24:00 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x46438b… |
| 06-03 05:07:05 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xeacf1c… |
| 06-03 05:07:05 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xeacf1c… |
| 06-02 03:44:40 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xb4ce50… |
| 06-02 03:44:40 | Kind-Bow 0xeea5…93a6 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xb4ce50… |
| 06-01 19:37:05 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x966e72… |
| 06-01 19:37:05 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | BUY | 35 | 80¢ | $28 | 0x966e72… |
| 06-01 19:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x966e72… |
| 06-01 14:47:24 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xfb6349… |
| 06-01 14:47:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xfb6349… |
| 06-01 09:27:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0eba51… |
| 06-01 09:27:32 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0eba51… |
| 06-01 09:15:14 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x6cf23c… |
| 06-01 09:15:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x6cf23c… |
| 06-01 07:55:17 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x0ae81b… |
| 06-01 07:55:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x0ae81b… |