Realized P&L
+$186
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
92.8%
Resolved
380
Trades
680
lifetime
Volume
$18.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$180
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 10-28 08:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
79% 86% +$123
Politics
16% 92% +$47
Tech
4% 75% +$15
Sports
1% 86% +$0
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? No +102 $100 100¢ $101 +$1 10-23 09:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 10-23 09:19
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 10-27 07:34
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 05-27 13:58
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 05-01 15:40
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +8 $5 22¢ $2 -$3 05-01 12:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-01 15:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-01 15:39