Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,169
lifetime
Volume
$1.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 06-30 09:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
39%
Other
35%
Sports
22%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-8 28¢ $-8 +$1 06-15 16:52
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +5 $-0 70¢ $4 +$4 06-17 06:56
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +25 $2 $2 $-1 06-17 04:01
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -489 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-23 20:28
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? Yes -74 $-3 $-0 +$2 06-26 13:27
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +138 $0 $0 $-0 06-28 20:07
Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -255 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-23 13:59
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? Yes -150 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-21 14:21
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool? Yes -93 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-22 19:34
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +0 $2 80¢ $0 $-2 06-12 13:37
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-1 82¢ $0 +$1 06-21 05:36
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-24 11:26
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? Yes +79 $1 $0 $-1 06-28 11:24
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 56¢ $0 +$0 06-27 21:11
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 $-0 06-11 15:25
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +0 $0 40¢ $0 $-0 06-15 09:08
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 30¢ $0 $-0 06-12 07:10
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 06-23 09:48
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-16 10:57
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $0 $-0 $-0 06-20 21:01
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-23 00:13
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +4 $0 $0 $-0 06-11 08:51
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-14 11:05
Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-14 13:45
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-15 09:33