Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
198
Trades
4,111
lifetime
Volume
$3.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 11-09 19:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
53% 19% -$38
Politics
30% 20% +$13
Sports
14% 11% +$29
Tech
2% 25% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 25% $0
Crypto
0% 25% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027 No +2 $1 81¢ $1 $0 06-22 06:34
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 50¢ $1 -$1 09-20 07:50
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 08-01 11:27
will russia capture bilytske by december 31 2026 252 No +4 $2 15¢ $1 -$2 06-30 09:17
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$2 96¢ $0 +$2 07-27 23:26
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +0 -$3 91¢ $0 +$3 06-17 06:56
will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31 Yes +0 $1 69¢ $0 $0 08-21 06:48
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 11-09 19:12
will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027 No +0 $1 58¢ $0 -$1 06-21 03:10
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? No +0 $1 55¢ $0 -$1 06-27 12:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $0 06-15 16:52
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 07-02 09:45
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 09-28 06:08
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 09-23 17:56
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 Yes +0 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-30 00:44
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-05 23:40
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 07-27 22:34
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? Yes — +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-10 15:07