Haunting-Pinkie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

19,692

lifetime

Volume

$2.98M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 08-06 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 73% $-2,991

Other

25% 100% +$9

Politics

4% 100% +$275

Sports

1% 67% $-1,427

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	260	$63.4K	31,635	33,609	-1,974	open	—	03-28 11:01
btc updown 15m 1770910200	33	$25.1K	12,556	12,556	+0	open	—	02-12 15:44
highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 80 81f	85	$24.6K	17,169	7,819	+9,350	open	—	04-02 00:19
btc updown 15m 1770818400	186	$19.5K	10,204	10,198	+6	open	—	02-11 14:12
btc updown 15m 1770827400	53	$19.0K	19,071	2,000	+17,071	open	—	02-11 16:43
btc updown 15m 1770830100	88	$18.4K	18,340	984	+17,355	open	—	02-11 17:29
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	8	$18.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-19 22:01
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	52	$17.3K	14,332	14,332	+0	open	—	07-07 20:13
btc updown 5m 1772206200	45	$17.3K	17,588	0	+17,588	open	—	02-27 15:34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	8	$16.9K	8,785	8,772	+13	open	—	04-27 20:54
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	225	$16.4K	16,839	2,406	+14,433	open	—	04-17 20:08
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	180	$16.3K	28,977	28,742	+235	open	—	04-15 05:26
btc updown 15m 1770744600	84	$16.3K	16,440	0	+16,440	open	—	02-10 17:44
btc updown 15m 1770743700	108	$16.3K	16,292	0	+16,292	open	—	02-10 17:33
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 23corhigher	188	$16.1K	11,196	5,000	+6,196	open	—	04-16 19:52
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	200	$16.0K	14,877	14,877	+0	open	—	07-15 16:03
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 6corbelow	2	$16.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	03-29 08:26
btc updown 15m 1770813000	15	$16.0K	16,020	0	+16,020	open	—	02-11 12:44
btc updown 15m 1770812100	62	$15.9K	15,957	0	+15,957	open	—	02-11 12:28
highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 82 83f	85	$15.7K	9,127	6,669	+2,458	open	—	04-01 20:42
btc updown 15m 1772550900	24	$15.7K	9,650	9,634	+16	open	—	03-03 15:27
btc updown 15m 1770804000	3	$15.7K	15,744	0	+15,744	open	—	02-11 10:14
btc updown 15m 1770820200	65	$15.5K	15,667	0	+15,667	open	—	02-11 14:42
btc updown 15m 1770914700	44	$14.8K	14,955	0	+14,955	open	—	02-12 16:59
btc updown 15m 1770902100	40	$14.8K	14,920	0	+14,920	open	—	02-12 13:30
btc updown 15m 1770821100	126	$14.7K	15,484	0	+15,484	open	—	02-11 14:58
btc updown 15m 1770913800	60	$14.5K	14,730	0	+14,730	open	—	02-12 16:44
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	31	$14.4K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	07-18 22:01
btc updown 15m 1770735600	22	$14.4K	7,251	7,251	+0	open	—	02-10 15:14
btc updown 15m 1772462700	20	$13.9K	14,396	0	+14,396	open	—	03-02 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 12:58:47	btc updown 5m 1786020900	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6721f2…
08-01 13:12:29	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	600	97¢	$580	0xa86f52…
08-01 13:10:29	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	2,500	96¢	$2,403	0xa34d9f…
08-01 13:01:38	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x55d62d…
08-01 12:59:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x7cdeca…
07-27 19:54:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	301	22¢	$66	0x68b440…
07-27 19:53:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xfafbb3…
07-27 19:53:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	536	22¢	$118	0xbb2bbd…
07-27 19:47:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	391	22¢	$86	0x4dd636…
07-27 19:38:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	22¢	$8	0x5c9204…
07-27 19:37:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x2090db…
07-27 19:28:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0xc36f65…
07-27 19:28:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xcc874c…
07-27 19:24:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x8e6ef6…
07-27 19:19:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xebd504…
07-24 06:21:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	29¢	$580	0x5800e3…
07-23 23:12:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	600	92¢	$549	0x1d05cf…
07-23 22:37:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdcf40a…
07-23 22:35:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd0b246…
07-23 21:56:04	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	450	98¢	$442	0x5807de…
07-23 19:52:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x1be75c…
07-23 19:52:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xbef362…
07-23 19:51:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x3345f8…
07-23 15:14:21	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb29d4d…
07-23 15:07:07	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	515	0¢	$1	0xdb1e93…
07-23 14:32:42	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	1,062	0¢	$1	0x9e6322…
07-23 14:32:25	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x670889…
07-23 14:18:03	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x8c261a…
07-23 14:14:49	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	952	0¢	$1	0xf8d288…
07-23 14:12:22	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x8ab4bd…
07-23 14:10:33	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xf6e9b9…
07-23 14:09:48	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xfc1552…
07-23 14:09:48	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	6,014	0¢	$6	0x072002…
07-23 14:06:03	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	803	0¢	$1	0xc50b49…
07-23 14:05:33	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	4,992	0¢	$5	0x1856d4…
07-23 14:05:12	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	1,001	0¢	$1	0x9b4781…
07-23 14:02:52	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	3,029	0¢	$3	0x9055bd…
07-23 14:02:51	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb68aee…
07-23 14:00:16	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	2,700	0¢	$5	0xb8e739…
07-23 13:57:01	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xbc5d63…
07-23 13:56:13	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	2,100	3¢	$69	0x901f0c…
07-23 13:55:28	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	11,000	0¢	$17	0xd41bcc…
07-23 13:54:19	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x203bc7…
07-23 13:51:24	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x94246b…
07-22 14:32:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x55ebbe…
07-22 13:24:01	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xdfd799…
07-22 13:17:19	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	956	97¢	$928	0x0ef473…
07-22 13:07:43	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	267	97¢	$259	0x11795f…
07-22 13:07:04	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	510	97¢	$495	0x90967f…
07-22 07:32:55	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$99	0xfaa993…
07-22 05:17:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x15e9ab…
07-22 00:48:45	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x6ba905…
07-22 00:41:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x73ee22…
07-22 00:37:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	2,500	93¢	$2,325	0x0f94e5…
07-22 00:35:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xab02ec…
07-22 00:30:03	Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$785	0x0c76ae…
07-22 00:29:16	Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x923296…
07-22 00:28:48	will vesselin dimitrov win the 2026 fields medal	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x113737…
07-22 00:28:16	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6545fa…
07-22 00:27:27	Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x78a722…
07-22 00:26:46	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	509	98¢	$501	0xf9238d…
07-22 00:25:54	Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xecd594…
07-22 00:25:22	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	896	96¢	$858	0xb7a66e…
07-22 00:23:48	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xc4d37e…
07-22 00:22:58	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	131	98¢	$129	0xc492f9…
07-22 00:21:55	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaae7d5…
07-22 00:11:04	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	No	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x8b4f94…
07-20 11:32:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$474	0xe6dac2…
07-20 11:22:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x7fdee9…
07-20 11:21:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0x59a25e…
07-20 11:21:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xeb3926…
07-20 03:18:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xf42fac…
07-19 22:01:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xabc730…
07-19 22:01:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	752	100¢	$750	0x8592c4…
07-19 22:01:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	5,516	100¢	$5,502	0x779282…
07-19 22:01:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	2,482	100¢	$2,476	0x41af0e…
07-19 21:47:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	4,000	90¢	$3,618	0x0d11e8…
07-19 21:46:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,650	98¢	$2,600	0x19655f…
07-19 21:45:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5,000	90¢	$4,524	0x9aac98…
07-19 21:17:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,968	0x8ed9a4…
07-19 21:11:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	1,460	98¢	$1,431	0x88b621…
07-19 20:59:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	89	84¢	$75	0x1979ae…
07-19 20:59:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	312	84¢	$262	0x6be240…
07-19 20:48:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x0d5c7a…
07-19 20:48:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	154	72¢	$111	0x200693…
07-19 20:48:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	114	72¢	$82	0xdd12cc…
07-19 20:48:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	387	72¢	$279	0x8d6e27…
07-19 20:47:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	342	72¢	$246	0x96b3ba…
07-19 20:38:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0xf54c08…
07-19 20:28:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	1,000	58¢	$580	0x9f1b5b…
07-19 18:05:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xa98380…
07-19 18:03:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0xd58062…
07-18 22:04:10	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0x4cd9d1…
07-18 22:01:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	SELL	456	76¢	$347	0x9db040…
07-18 21:48:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	SELL	479	83¢	$398	0x8aec62…
07-18 21:43:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	SELL	101	83¢	$84	0xf4b238…
07-18 21:11:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	SELL	500	92¢	$460	0xa88082…
07-18 21:11:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	SELL	1,470	92¢	$1,353	0x573a1c…
07-18 21:10:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x128fb3…
07-18 21:09:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	BUY	1,734	90¢	$1,560	0x413c92…