Haunting-Pinkie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$218

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

1,933

Trades

22,575

lifetime

Volume

$3.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

$1.29K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-18 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 87% -$20,739

Other

27% 93% -$21,254

Politics

4% 90% -$4,982

Sports

2% 65% -$4,656

Tech

0% 88% -$109

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-500	-$474	96¢	$-479	-$5	07-20 11:32
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+26,560	$597	2¢	$452	-$145	09-28 05:41
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	-100	-$96	97¢	$-97	-$1	09-29 12:36
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-35,000	-$131	0¢	$-52	+$79	07-21 22:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-50	-$48	97¢	$-49	$0	09-29 12:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-45	-$44	99¢	$-44	$0	09-29 12:37
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	-40	-$38	98¢	$-39	-$1	08-01 13:01
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-35	-$34	98¢	$-34	$0	08-01 13:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-25	-$24	97¢	$-24	-$1	08-01 12:59
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	-25	-$12	58¢	$-15	-$3	09-29 12:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+0	$140	18¢	$0	-$140	07-27 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	260	$63.4K	31,635	33,609	-1,974	No	+$43	03-28 11:01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	122	$36.7K	19,021	19,021	+0	Yes	+$12	06-14 17:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 15:30 UTC	33	$25.1K	12,556	12,556	+0	Down	+$14	02-12 15:44
highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 80 81f	85	$24.6K	17,169	7,819	+9,350	No	+$388	04-02 00:19
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	4	$21.9K	13,119	13,119	+0	Yes	-$898	06-19 01:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:00 UTC	186	$19.5K	10,204	10,198	+6	Up	+$856	02-11 14:12
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	13	$19.5K	10,806	10,657	+149	Yes	-$228	06-25 20:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 16:30 UTC	53	$19.0K	19,071	2,000	+17,071	Down	+$476	02-11 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 17:15 UTC	88	$18.4K	18,340	984	+17,355	Up	+$135	02-11 17:29
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	8	$18.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	Spain	+$825	07-19 22:01
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?	22	$17.8K	9,824	9,824	+0	No	+$209	05-09 20:30
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	52	$17.3K	14,332	14,332	+0	Switzerland	+$143	07-07 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:30 UTC	45	$17.3K	17,588	0	+17,588	Down	+$305	02-27 15:34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	8	$16.9K	8,785	8,772	+13	Yes	+$646	04-27 20:54
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	225	$16.4K	16,839	2,406	+14,433	Yes	-$226	04-17 20:08
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	180	$16.3K	28,977	28,742	+235	Yes	-$1,583	04-15 05:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:30 UTC	84	$16.3K	16,440	0	+16,440	Up	+$152	02-10 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:15 UTC	108	$16.3K	16,292	0	+16,292	Up	+$16	02-10 17:33
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 23corhigher	188	$16.1K	11,196	5,000	+6,196	No	+$35	04-16 19:52
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	200	$16.0K	14,877	14,877	+0	Argentina	+$37	07-15 16:03
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 6corbelow	2	$16.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$12	03-29 08:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 12:30 UTC	15	$16.0K	16,020	0	+16,020	Down	+$61	02-11 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 12:15 UTC	62	$15.9K	15,957	0	+15,957	Up	+$89	02-11 12:28
highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 82 83f	85	$15.7K	9,127	6,669	+2,458	No	+$55	04-01 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 15:15 UTC	24	$15.7K	9,650	9,634	+16	Down	-$1,954	03-03 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:00 UTC	3	$15.7K	15,744	0	+15,744	Down	+$73	02-11 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:30 UTC	65	$15.5K	15,667	0	+15,667	Down	+$156	02-11 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 16:45 UTC	44	$14.8K	14,955	0	+14,955	Down	+$124	02-12 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:15 UTC	40	$14.8K	14,920	0	+14,920	Down	+$149	02-12 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:45 UTC	126	$14.7K	15,484	0	+15,484	Down	+$776	02-11 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 21:48:20	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	63,155	3¢	$1,768	0x065dc4…
10-09 15:25:46	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$70	0x314395…
10-09 14:25:06	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xa252e9…
10-09 14:10:31	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xebfccf…
10-09 13:33:00	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x9e2189…
10-09 11:33:51	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x5ef102…
10-09 06:18:42	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xc9d1c3…
10-09 06:16:43	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x09d0f0…
10-09 06:12:23	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xa76b78…
10-09 06:05:26	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x6e6baf…
10-09 06:00:10	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x7d3441…
10-09 05:58:01	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x1b9efe…
10-09 05:48:57	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xe3164f…
10-09 05:37:21	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x1df47a…
10-09 05:33:06	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x9b0851…
10-09 04:55:27	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf7073b…
10-09 04:42:49	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x5136b3…
10-09 04:39:06	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x107375…
10-09 04:35:39	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf1680e…
10-09 03:29:09	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x2a3680…
10-09 03:27:35	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x35952b…
10-09 03:13:03	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xbdf0af…
10-09 02:53:05	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x85cb62…
10-08 19:35:48	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf1a494…
10-08 17:54:44	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xfe8d3a…
10-08 17:54:44	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xb01ecf…
10-08 17:54:42	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xb25d84…
10-08 17:54:42	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x95b114…
10-08 17:54:42	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x3358aa…
10-08 17:54:41	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xb2b494…
10-08 17:54:41	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x4d86a3…
10-08 17:54:41	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x4987f8…
10-08 17:54:39	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x916910…
10-08 17:54:39	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x8fcbb3…
10-08 17:54:39	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x6ea23f…
10-08 17:54:39	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x3174c2…
10-08 17:54:39	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x2960dd…
10-08 17:54:38	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xa28c39…
10-08 17:54:38	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x272599…
10-08 17:43:12	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xe41735…
10-08 12:54:03	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x9fe12e…
10-08 12:48:09	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf191a3…
10-08 07:14:37	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,777	3¢	$50	0x6225e6…
10-08 04:21:08	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x9f6104…
10-08 03:03:40	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x00ccf1…
10-08 03:01:59	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf0edc1…
10-08 03:00:38	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x297e5b…
10-08 02:58:02	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x2b707a…
10-08 02:57:10	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb184d9…
10-08 02:55:02	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd96c6a…
10-08 02:53:44	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xba7bd0…
10-08 02:52:08	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1a9336…
10-08 02:51:08	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5548fa…
10-08 02:45:34	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xba1ac0…
10-08 02:44:34	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa89c66…
10-08 02:42:28	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x820f1a…
10-08 02:41:28	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xab873b…
10-08 02:39:49	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x33abd1…
10-08 02:36:34	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc54158…
10-07 15:07:55	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5dadfa…
10-07 14:35:52	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xccff1e…
10-07 13:44:26	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x64af14…
10-07 12:58:58	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd35da7…
10-07 09:58:26	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x18f216…
10-07 09:46:20	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc20c8a…
10-07 09:31:47	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xcad470…
10-07 09:29:33	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x01e163…
10-07 08:47:12	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa35dfc…
10-07 08:26:00	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xcba3d8…
10-07 07:53:48	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x08700e…
10-07 07:37:42	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x633213…
10-07 07:29:38	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe65e99…
10-07 07:25:11	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb61d54…
10-07 07:23:23	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5e09c2…
10-07 07:20:53	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x147325…
10-07 07:18:20	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe19145…
10-07 07:15:12	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x533803…
10-07 07:10:18	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xfa4b4f…
10-07 06:38:42	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xec863e…
10-07 05:29:29	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x123d76…
10-07 05:25:14	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6a1082…
10-07 05:20:41	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5b4e3e…
10-07 04:48:08	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3b83be…
10-07 04:29:33	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xbd923c…
10-07 03:51:33	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xafd1fd…
10-04 13:44:32	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xc6b521…
10-04 03:00:08	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5dd237…
10-03 23:49:25	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xd16d84…
10-03 20:38:08	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xab6487…
10-03 15:47:09	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x02e4f8…
10-03 15:41:38	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xdde563…
10-03 15:35:48	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x446053…
10-03 15:32:05	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1b694d…
10-03 15:22:39	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0f5bcd…
10-03 15:17:23	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1506d3…
10-03 15:15:29	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x294fd3…
10-03 15:10:51	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x14453a…
10-03 15:06:11	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x308955…
10-03 14:50:36	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xdeffe8…
10-03 14:38:29	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x4fc5d5…