Conventional-Interviewer 0xc20806…63bf1d
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
72
lifetime
Volume
$774
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$131
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 06-15 06:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
75% — —
Crypto
21% — —
Other
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,667 $100 6¢ $92 $-8 06-07 19:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 06-01 12:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +13 $10 66¢ $9 $-1 06-01 12:48
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +7 $5 93¢ $6 +$1 06-08 15:30
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 06-04 05:24
Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $5 76¢ $4 $-1 06-04 05:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $5 6¢ $3 $-2 06-01 12:46
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 05-28 11:18
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +14 $10 6¢ $1 $-9 06-07 19:25
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? Yes +26 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 05-28 11:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 1¢ $0 $-10 06-07 19:08