Realized P&L
+$73
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
266
Trades
23,542
lifetime
Volume
$9.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$5
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-20 19:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
67% 28% +$94
Sports
16% 26% $-4
Crypto
11% 21% $-17
Politics
4% 50% +$0
Tech
1% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +56 $-2 $2 +$4 07-20 16:49
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -95 $-6 $-2 +$4 07-14 01:44
Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 15:34
Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -10 $-2 $-0 +$1 07-21 03:16
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -13 $-1 $-0 +$0 07-14 04:26
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -8 $-2 $-0 +$2 07-18 23:40
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -10 $-1 $-0 +$0 07-14 05:02
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31? No +54 $-1 $0 +$1 07-17 01:23
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 18:47
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +1 $-0 $0 +$0 07-14 21:04