Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
open
Total volume
$518
$6,743 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$27,895
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-14 11:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $195 | $195 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $293 | $293 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $10 | $5 | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $87 | $83 |
| Median | 4 | — | $134 | $134 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | $39 | $35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $79 | $79 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $128 | $128 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fussy-Transfer 0x76b8…4c9c | Yes | +487 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 10:49 |
| Acceptable-Railing 0xd6bf…c7ac | Yes | +234 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 22:33 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +129 | $128 | $128 | 3 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Fixed-Dredger 0x6770…45fb | Yes | +105 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:00 |
| Wan-Wheat 0xbff4…3f42 | Yes | +105 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:16 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-11 23:38 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 7 | 05-13 03:06 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-13 07:31 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 17:42 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f04…3cde | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 11:20:27 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x6e35b4… |
| 05-14 11:20:25 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x86bf38… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc14d81… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x8316a1… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x4c855c… |
| 05-14 10:49:20 | Fussy-Transfer 0x76b8…4c9c | Yes | BUY | 487 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x993e06… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x49f956… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5088b9… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb8f2fc… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xeb3d4c… |
| 05-14 10:04:05 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x60dbe8… |
| 05-14 06:00:12 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x3a2ff0… |
| 05-14 04:29:17 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x49b878… |
| 05-14 00:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x6f04…3cde | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf04bc9… |
| 05-14 00:40:53 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 1,505 | 1¢ | $14 | 0xae2ce3… |
| 05-13 22:33:39 | Acceptable-Railing 0xd6bf…c7ac | Yes | BUY | 234 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xf38b33… |
| 05-13 21:03:56 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2c9b42… |
| 05-13 21:00:26 | Fixed-Dredger 0x6770…45fb | Yes | BUY | 105 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa683ef… |
| 05-13 17:42:33 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6e89d4… |
| 05-13 08:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x9085…9322 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa21ff… |
| 05-13 07:31:30 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x13c36d… |
| 05-13 03:06:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x313652… |
| 05-12 20:16:19 | Wan-Wheat 0xbff4…3f42 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc2d1f5… |
| 05-11 23:38:22 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5caf3a… |
| 05-11 23:38:22 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x911721… |
| 05-11 21:21:45 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xbb9574… |
| 05-11 18:09:19 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xf228af… |
| 05-11 15:09:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5a3fec… |
| 05-10 02:58:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x91f2f1… |
| 05-10 02:57:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x8fc93f… |
| 05-10 02:57:08 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9b5c01… |
| 05-10 02:56:58 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x988bc0… |