Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved
1,771
Trades
10,308
lifetime
Volume
$107.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$46
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 08-08 18:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
75% 87% +$52
Politics
19% 86% +$65
Sports
3% 92% -$28
Pop-Culture
1% 87% +$1
Tech
1% 64% -$76
Crypto
1% 90% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -13 -$7 90¢ $-11 -$4 08-08 18:12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -10 -$8 97¢ $-10 -$1 08-08 18:12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? No -6 -$6 100¢ $-6 $0 08-08 18:12
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No -30 -$10 18¢ $-5 +$5 08-08 18:12
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 78¢ $-4 $0 08-08 18:13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -14 -$5 22¢ $-3 +$2 08-08 18:12
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes -3 -$2 88¢ $-3 $0 08-08 18:13
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 08-08 18:13
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes -10 -$1 15¢ $-1 $0 08-08 18:14
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -3 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 08-08 18:15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -8 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 08-08 18:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -4 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 08-08 18:14