Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

727

Trades

3,191

lifetime

Volume

$60.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$21

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 10-27 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

96% 49% -$2,992

Sports

2% 44% +$5

Crypto

1% 41% -$73

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+11	$10	99¢	$11	+$1	07-27 20:19
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	-11	-$7	82¢	$-9	-$2	08-19 06:58
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	-11	-$3	16¢	$-2	+$1	08-19 06:58
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	-11	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	07-27 20:26
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	-11	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	07-27 20:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	111	$2.8K	3,459	3,330	+129	No	-$458	06-26 00:53
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	28	$2.4K	3,076	2,723	+353	No	-$219	07-14 17:37
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	29	$2.0K	2,154	2,154	+0	No	-$159	06-30 20:55
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 0pt5	71	$2.0K	3,144	0	+3,144	Over	+$87	06-30 21:35
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	40	$1.8K	1,512	1,492	+20	Yes	-$35	06-27 01:09
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$1.7K	1,001	1,001	+0	Yes	-$288	07-07 17:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	10	$1.3K	763	753	+10	Yes	+$41	06-28 01:53
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	35	$1.2K	1,571	802	+770	Yes	-$29	07-23 13:35
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	40	$1.1K	868	507	+361	Yes	+$63	07-04 22:53
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	8	$1.0K	709	709	+0	England	-$155	07-01 17:17
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	57	$1.0K	688	688	+0	Yes	-$59	07-01 17:17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	19	$928	932	932	+0	No	-$12	06-27 23:15
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	38	$917	1,080	160	+920	Over	+$255	06-30 02:34
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	13	$869	550	400	+150	Japan	+$6	06-25 22:25
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	16	$861	656	656	+0	Yes	+$89	06-26 19:03
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	23	$813	1,054	1,054	+0	No	-$5	06-27 04:22
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	3	$800	960	0	+960	No	-$800	07-01 21:18
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	6	$708	906	906	+0	No	-$595	07-07 17:47
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	11	$680	350	350	+0	Uruguay	-$2	06-21 22:42
lol tes tt 2026 07 25 game1	2	$601	848	0	+848	Top Esports	+$247	07-25 12:22
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	9	$555	402	402	+0	No	-$23	06-29 21:39
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	7	$548	597	202	+395	No	+$112	06-27 01:23
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	15	$546	571	0	+571	Yes	+$25	06-19 20:12
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	13	$511	772	0	+772	Over	+$39	06-29 21:08
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$495	702	702	+0	No	+$17	07-14 16:57
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	15	$468	340	140	+200	Brazil	+$6	06-24 21:18
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	10	$460	470	0	+470	Yes	+$10	06-22 23:55
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	17	$449	530	508	+22	Yes	-$73	07-04 18:12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	9	$428	290	190	+100	Yes	+$21	06-25 23:02
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	7	$426	413	311	+103	Yes	-$84	06-29 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:54:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x1639c0…
10-27 18:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc8dc0e…
10-27 18:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9be508…
10-27 18:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x982e2d…
10-27 18:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x7778c7…
10-27 18:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x10f5e7…
10-27 18:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x88c127…
10-27 18:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x31733e…
10-27 18:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0bdcfd…
10-27 18:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x66213b…
10-27 18:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8ecb25…
10-27 18:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x91a8a8…
10-27 18:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6b4699…
10-27 18:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6fbee0…
10-27 18:10:29	OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?	Google	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xf17b0f…
10-27 18:09:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0xaa8f12…
10-27 18:09:39	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xd370db…
10-27 18:09:33	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xad5c61…
10-27 18:09:27	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2fc8c1…
10-27 18:09:20	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xb64a6d…
10-27 18:08:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbb4f80…
10-27 14:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb934d6…
10-27 14:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa4d18a…
10-27 14:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xaf7e32…
10-27 14:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8b9d95…
10-27 13:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc3c484…
10-27 13:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x69c4b3…
10-27 13:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x17205e…
10-27 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9e47c2…
10-27 13:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x682954…
10-27 13:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x8f915a…
10-27 13:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xaae784…
10-27 13:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbf6040…
10-27 13:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2a33db…
10-27 13:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5dbf7f…
10-27 13:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x654835…
10-27 13:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x414918…
10-27 01:59:20	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x9faef6…
10-26 14:44:11	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x986587…
10-25 16:15:44	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x9a65e1…
10-25 10:12:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x600f8c…
10-24 16:31:20	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x211f52…
10-24 15:49:06	Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?	Anthropic	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x556db6…
10-24 15:31:02	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbf3d64…
10-24 15:27:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	41	18¢	$7	0x0d587e…
10-24 11:37:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7cc730…
10-24 11:36:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4b22dd…
10-24 11:13:42	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Quintessence	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x854486…
10-23 23:20:00	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3b49b5…
10-23 23:18:57	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x4bbffb…
10-23 23:18:41	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x86d728…
10-23 23:13:03	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	88	89¢	$78	0x5bc161…
10-23 21:06:15	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	73	61¢	$45	0x9d9e9e…
10-23 20:54:30	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa8c0af…
10-23 20:54:14	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x637713…
10-23 20:41:42	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0aa70a…
10-23 20:36:42	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2ee0a6…
10-23 20:27:48	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x99c61b…
10-23 20:27:09	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9c57f9…
10-23 20:20:08	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcd365b…
10-23 20:18:23	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbfdeb4…
10-23 20:17:48	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x91f436…
10-23 20:15:56	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x7a82a2…
10-23 20:15:26	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x85ba14…
10-23 19:53:48	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x0f0e14…
10-23 19:36:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x57336d…
10-23 19:01:08	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xd478a5…
10-23 19:00:21	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x804ac4…
10-23 18:56:45	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x6bf15b…
10-23 17:56:50	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xe3a907…
10-23 17:56:50	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x4c7109…
10-23 17:02:18	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xdff741…
10-23 16:29:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xfc9721…
10-23 09:42:38	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3806cf…
10-23 09:36:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc95326…
10-23 09:34:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x69cc1f…
10-23 07:38:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x94401f…
10-23 06:34:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3039e2…
10-23 06:30:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x98c2e1…
10-23 02:39:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x01ef88…
10-23 00:08:54	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x72402a…
10-23 00:07:32	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd1a007…
10-22 14:27:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xdd99d2…
10-22 14:26:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x05299b…
10-22 14:23:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3499fa…
10-22 11:58:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0xf96576…
10-22 11:58:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x03b80b…
10-22 11:43:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4d4f56…
10-22 11:41:47	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf9ced8…
10-22 07:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6d973d…
10-22 07:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x39022e…
10-22 07:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xad66fc…
10-22 07:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x5a5030…
10-22 07:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x28cd24…
10-22 07:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x4e4684…
10-22 07:06:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xae5a0b…
10-22 07:05:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0x65175e…
10-22 06:16:20	Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?	Anthropic	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd8ef88…
10-22 06:12:29	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0e5787…
10-22 06:09:11	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe78450…