Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$883

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

460

Trades

6,382

lifetime

Volume

$237.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$4.63K

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-03

last 10-26 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

54% 54% +$6,622

Sports

26% 43% +$1,838

Politics

13% 68% +$28,693

Crypto

6% 23% +$5,721

Tech

1% 11% -$1,527

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+3,125	$3,116	100¢	$3.1K	-$2	10-22 16:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+875	$822	96¢	$840	+$17	10-22 16:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10,036	$1,038	4¢	$401	-$637	10-26 14:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+41,658	$169	0¢	$146	-$23	10-26 14:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+3,125	$365	4¢	$125	-$240	10-23 12:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	59	$15.3K	20,114	0	+20,114	No	+$3,817	08-26 16:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	43	$15.3K	17,890	0	+17,890	No	+$2,607	08-06 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	64	$14.5K	22,122	0	+22,122	Yes	+$4,103	07-29 13:56
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	170	$8.6K	18,118	0	+18,118	Yes	+$4,767	07-18 22:11
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	108	$8.3K	12,105	0	+12,105	No	+$986	08-18 03:22
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	68	$6.6K	8,212	0	+8,212	No	+$1,606	07-25 11:17
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	121	$5.4K	12,133	0	+12,133	No	-$582	07-18 22:16
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	59	$5.2K	9,310	0	+9,310	No	+$1,361	08-25 21:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	26	$5.0K	5,366	0	+5,366	No	+$255	08-04 14:10
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	88	$4.5K	8,405	0	+8,405	No	+$3,461	08-18 15:15
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	108	$4.5K	11,126	0	+11,126	Yes	-$2,159	08-04 01:08
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	291	$4.4K	43,215	100	+43,115	Yes	-$1,684	07-19 16:23
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	50	$3.9K	4,329	0	+4,329	No	+$296	08-27 18:45
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	85	$3.7K	10,240	0	+10,240	No	+$4,082	08-11 00:39
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?	124	$3.4K	7,722	0	+7,722	No	-$2,073	08-18 03:23
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	76	$3.4K	6,874	0	+6,874	Yes	+$28	08-25 21:25
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	47	$3.4K	5,297	0	+5,297	Yes	+$877	07-28 09:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	25	$3.3K	44,784	0	+44,784	open	—	10-26 14:48
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	109	$3.2K	7,733	0	+7,733	Yes	-$112	08-18 01:37
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$3.2K	3,271	0	+3,271	No	+$69	07-09 20:21
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	74	$3.1K	5,877	0	+5,877	No	+$775	08-04 01:08
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	64	$2.5K	3,945	0	+3,945	No	+$611	08-27 18:19
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	58	$2.5K	6,719	0	+6,719	No	-$2,484	08-25 02:31
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	48	$2.1K	4,828	0	+4,828	No	-$263	08-23 04:45
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	2	$1.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	Over	+$60	07-18 07:32
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	43	$1.8K	7,208	0	+7,208	No	-$340	07-11 23:21
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	36	$1.8K	3,964	0	+3,964	Yes	+$2,101	08-24 02:01
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Open Championship?	3	$1.8K	2,270	0	+2,270	No	+$67	07-16 19:12
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?	1	$1.7K	1,808	0	+1,808	No	+$119	07-15 17:11
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	32	$1.7K	5,005	0	+5,005	Yes	+$115	08-02 16:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:48:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	156	6¢	$9	0xae6c45…
10-26 14:48:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	136	6¢	$8	0xb5dd15…
10-26 14:48:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,042	0¢	$8	0x42f4e1…
10-26 14:48:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	479	6¢	$29	0x2eb461…
10-26 14:48:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	271	6¢	$16	0x17df10…
10-26 10:26:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,812	0¢	$7	0xf83bc1…
10-26 10:26:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xcbcb7b…
10-26 10:26:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	484	4¢	$19	0x171d46…
10-26 10:26:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	248	4¢	$10	0x15a586…
10-26 10:26:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x0fdbbb…
10-23 12:33:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,343	0¢	$5	0x71ae6a…
10-23 12:18:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$8	0x81798e…
10-23 12:18:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,082	0¢	$8	0x24101f…
10-23 12:15:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7e5a40…
10-23 12:14:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x3da1da…
10-23 12:14:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xaf9a8f…
10-23 12:14:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,794	0¢	$7	0xfebcfb…
10-23 12:14:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	158	7¢	$11	0x804988…
10-23 12:14:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	337	7¢	$24	0x5b5c0b…
10-23 12:14:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	7¢	$5	0x1168e3…
10-23 12:14:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfbc254…
10-23 12:14:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	817	7¢	$57	0x6eff0b…
10-23 12:14:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,703	0¢	$7	0x6e5caa…
10-23 12:14:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	204	7¢	$14	0x2d2c71…
10-23 12:14:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x723f25…
10-23 12:13:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x1e7c64…
10-23 12:13:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	970	7¢	$68	0x1d9ae4…
10-23 12:13:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,251	0¢	$5	0x97b7ff…
10-23 12:13:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x2ac172…
10-23 12:13:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,022	7¢	$72	0xe66290…
10-23 12:13:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,505	0¢	$6	0xd8631f…
10-23 12:13:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xf6fda3…
10-22 16:46:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,042	100¢	$1,039	0xefd925…
10-22 16:46:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x92baf2…
10-22 16:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf31269…
10-22 16:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xdb8c31…
10-22 16:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xd66bd5…
10-22 16:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xd2beff…
10-22 16:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x998a36…
10-22 16:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x32c1ba…
10-22 16:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x21d105…
10-22 16:45:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x810943…
10-22 16:45:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xd50760…
10-22 16:45:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd3423c…
10-22 16:45:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x182bef…
10-22 16:45:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x17f13d…
10-22 16:45:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x0b6d77…
10-22 16:45:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x07ad9e…
10-21 08:59:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,167	0¢	$17	0xdae225…
10-21 08:59:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	11¢	$229	0x7e2fa9…
10-21 07:37:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,517	11¢	$167	0x28bb15…
10-21 07:37:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	0¢	$8	0xebacf2…
10-21 07:34:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0xb64ade…
10-21 07:34:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	0¢	$8	0x4f299c…
10-21 07:34:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x64a12b…
10-20 18:15:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	0¢	$8	0x788e03…
10-20 15:58:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0x7d9286…
10-16 16:01:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	0¢	$8	0xa5bc57…
10-16 06:26:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,042	15¢	$156	0x7ad750…
10-15 23:55:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,084	100¢	$2,077	0xea2e43…
10-14 12:54:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$5	0x6be339…
10-14 12:54:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$5	0x0e7ab7…
10-14 12:12:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,030	18¢	$365	0xb88a59…
10-14 12:12:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$4	0x986f3e…
10-14 12:09:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x39e292…
10-14 12:09:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x187578…
10-13 23:06:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$4	0x4570b4…
10-13 22:06:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$4	0x8d4644…
10-13 17:24:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$4	0x5c602e…
10-13 15:33:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$4	0x0585ab…
10-13 15:27:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	0¢	$8	0xd1dd5a…
10-12 15:18:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	17¢	$354	0xd8cab1…
10-12 15:18:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,167	0¢	$17	0x86e8df…
08-28 14:04:36	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xaffe4f…
08-28 13:53:12	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd3e421…
08-28 10:40:54	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x4505a3…
08-28 07:20:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$1	0x3b1926…
08-28 01:29:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0xbcb2af…
08-28 00:34:48	Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x809d83…
08-27 20:59:55	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd1ca22…
08-27 20:46:01	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$1	0xd639c2…
08-27 20:42:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x116c37…
08-27 20:03:40	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x3130a7…
08-27 20:03:40	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x07fb30…
08-27 18:49:22	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	Yes	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xa2d811…
08-27 18:45:01	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	484	96¢	$464	0x72e7ce…
08-27 18:43:42	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x9c4e0b…
08-27 18:19:07	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc84682…
08-27 18:14:04	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xa9aec7…
08-27 17:05:36	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	Yes	BUY	56	83¢	$47	0x5e549e…
08-27 17:04:13	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	Yes	BUY	74	83¢	$62	0xaf61ab…
08-27 16:02:07	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc766a4…
08-27 14:21:21	Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x1a7223…
08-27 13:30:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x8022dc…
08-27 13:27:07	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0xc218dc…
08-27 12:48:18	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x618067…
08-27 11:33:58	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	Yes	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0xa5c621…
08-27 10:49:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$218	0xce4681…
08-27 10:37:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	352	21¢	$73	0xa3f60e…
08-27 10:36:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	264	22¢	$58	0x7f44a6…