Failing-Rebellion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

988

Trades

5,938

lifetime

Volume

$931.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 253 days

Categories

Other

90% 51% -$12,260

Crypto

7% 45% -$1,976

Politics

3% 25% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	32	$51.0K	26,274	26,274	+0	No	+$1,453	02-03 21:30
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	10	$47.7K	24,705	24,705	+0	No	+$1,690	02-03 21:44
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$23.5K	14,063	14,063	+0	No	+$274	01-26 15:09
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	43	$22.1K	13,924	13,924	+0	No	+$989	01-16 06:57
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	23	$11.7K	5,953	5,943	+10	Yes	+$196	04-02 21:57
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 16c	27	$11.0K	5,542	5,536	+6	No	+$104	04-01 18:48
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	22	$10.1K	5,975	5,596	+379	Yes	+$210	01-24 18:58
highest temperature in london on february 6 2026 12c	25	$9.8K	6,718	6,718	+0	Yes	-$1,652	02-06 18:03
highest temperature in london on february 7 2026 10c	17	$8.4K	4,514	4,514	+0	No	+$583	02-07 14:39
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	9	$7.8K	8,537	0	+8,537	Yes	+$710	03-20 08:37
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 14c	12	$7.8K	3,972	3,972	-0	No	+$162	03-23 13:24
highest temperature in london on february 26 2026 13c	33	$7.4K	6,402	1,987	+4,415	Yes	-$1,240	02-26 23:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$7.3K	4,131	4,131	+0	Yes	+$441	01-31 06:43
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 9c	11	$7.3K	3,682	3,682	+0	No	+$47	03-29 10:24
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	15	$7.2K	3,660	3,656	+4	Yes	+$71	04-02 13:34
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 11c	45	$7.2K	3,761	3,761	+0	No	+$344	03-26 23:06
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 11c	25	$7.1K	3,590	3,590	-0	No	+$39	03-22 12:26
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 12c	12	$7.1K	3,587	3,587	+0	No	+$41	03-22 14:21
highest temperature in london on march 21 2026 14c	41	$6.7K	3,486	3,401	+86	No	+$214	03-21 19:44
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	7	$6.4K	3,552	3,552	+0	No	+$425	01-04 10:44
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 14c	20	$6.4K	3,219	3,216	+3	Yes	+$54	04-01 10:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	4	$5.9K	6,127	0	+6,127	Yes	-$5,905	04-03 04:04
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 12c	10	$5.8K	2,981	2,981	+0	No	+$186	03-20 10:09
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	11	$5.8K	9,776	0	+9,776	Yes	-$5,757	01-05 12:41
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 11c	7	$5.7K	2,888	2,888	+0	No	+$64	03-22 01:58
highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 14c	8	$5.6K	2,843	2,843	+0	No	+$104	03-27 10:33
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 12c	4	$5.6K	2,787	2,787	+0	No	+$18	03-23 02:30
highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 19c	31	$5.4K	3,076	3,076	+0	No	-$306	03-05 17:10
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?	4	$5.4K	2,936	2,936	+0	Yes	+$212	01-19 08:38
highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 15c	7	$5.3K	2,750	2,750	+0	No	+$166	03-19 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0x56a5a0…
10-26 09:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x1da17b…
10-26 09:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x279a32…
10-26 06:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xda6d76…
10-25 19:22:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x7dfbac…
10-25 19:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$7	0x12bea6…
10-24 19:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x6cec09…
10-24 19:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x71772a…
10-24 19:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xf7d9f6…
10-24 19:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x08685c…
10-24 19:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x0e7f7d…
10-24 19:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0x794773…
10-24 19:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x4a7f71…
10-24 11:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x5870b3…
10-24 10:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xea0e24…
10-24 10:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xe8eb00…
10-24 10:08:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xe7d07a…
10-24 10:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0xa2d1b0…
10-23 15:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x8f7f8e…
10-23 15:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xe80929…
10-23 15:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x99cc87…
10-23 14:59:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x1c4987…
10-23 14:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x9f45af…
10-23 06:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x8f0b10…
10-23 06:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x6d0c0a…
10-22 18:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x910961…
10-22 18:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x3394cc…
10-22 18:17:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd94321…
10-22 18:17:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x999e15…
10-22 18:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xe7f652…
10-22 18:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x290412…
10-22 18:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$22	0x721915…
10-22 11:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x973d8f…
10-22 11:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xdaea9c…
10-22 11:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0xcedf11…
10-22 11:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xe11d09…
10-22 11:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x80af1b…
10-22 09:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x9aa3f2…
10-22 07:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xa8d29d…
10-22 07:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x63b8ba…
10-22 07:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x0406c7…
10-22 06:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x67003c…
10-22 06:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xe50b1f…
10-22 06:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xd6317e…
10-22 06:56:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xea281c…
10-21 08:32:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x09c6df…
10-21 07:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xc49dc5…
10-21 07:30:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x4ad045…
10-21 07:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x561e30…
10-21 07:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x27a895…
10-21 07:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xd608ed…
10-21 07:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xef380e…
10-20 09:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xb524dd…
10-20 09:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xae3dce…
10-20 09:21:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x56cd02…
10-19 17:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	44	69¢	$31	0x07358c…
10-19 12:42:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xdbeb53…
10-19 11:50:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x620ebb…
10-19 11:49:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x03d512…
10-19 11:36:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xfea6df…
10-19 11:35:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x1c3e6c…
10-19 11:27:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x63b5cd…
10-19 11:27:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x95fcb6…
10-19 11:27:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xeba5bc…
10-19 11:26:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x184ed5…
10-17 18:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x885eef…
10-16 10:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xb90ba4…
10-16 08:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x819212…
10-16 08:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe731b1…
10-16 08:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa2318a…
10-16 08:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$6	0x9a1fea…
10-15 17:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x67a4d9…
10-15 17:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	76	64¢	$49	0x3b0350…
10-15 11:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xedeb43…
10-15 09:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0xdb50d5…
10-15 09:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	48	23¢	$11	0xd2272e…
10-14 14:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x63981c…
10-14 13:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0xaa3793…
10-14 13:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x1efa7c…
10-14 09:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xa80a8d…
10-14 07:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$13	0x255220…
10-14 07:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0xca0cbf…
10-13 17:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	52	70¢	$37	0x9331e0…
10-13 17:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x3a08cb…
10-13 09:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x2fe6c5…
10-13 07:10:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x743e1c…
10-13 07:10:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0xbdbac8…
10-13 07:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x19b024…
10-12 17:57:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x67cdbe…
10-12 17:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x11b2e0…
10-12 07:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0xb1cad1…
10-12 07:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x620fd2…
10-11 18:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x924821…
10-11 18:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0x2d78c8…
10-11 08:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0x3a6e91…
10-11 08:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xbd3438…
10-11 08:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xf936e6…
10-10 18:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x3eeef1…
10-10 07:31:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xadef15…
10-10 07:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd38fc6…