Unhealthy-Prize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

269

Trades

91,750

lifetime

Volume

$2.17M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

60% 38% +$310

Politics

23% 43% $-246

Sports

13% 36% $-173

Crypto

5% 50% $-12

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 406 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2,570	$143.7K	210,860	211,745	-885	open	—	02-10 01:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1,054	$53.2K	70,881	71,310	-429	open	—	03-04 16:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	713	$36.7K	46,898	46,830	+69	open	—	04-24 20:02
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	970	$26.0K	156,993	156,344	+649	open	—	03-04 16:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	293	$21.0K	23,135	21,834	+1,301	open	—	07-20 12:29
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	439	$19.6K	22,795	21,966	+829	open	—	02-24 16:36
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	422	$19.0K	29,832	28,359	+1,474	open	—	02-01 11:34
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	286	$15.7K	20,247	21,227	-980	open	—	05-31 11:37
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	264	$14.6K	21,257	19,512	+1,745	open	—	02-16 09:22
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	498	$13.9K	51,050	48,222	+2,829	open	—	01-31 10:40
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	716	$12.8K	53,808	53,531	+278	open	—	02-01 04:29
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	470	$12.3K	14,374	14,461	-87	open	—	05-27 00:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	158	$11.6K	13,885	13,616	+269	open	—	05-29 05:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	373	$11.6K	32,350	29,692	+2,658	open	—	01-30 09:27
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	194	$10.9K	18,691	18,437	+254	open	—	02-28 06:13
israel closes its airspace by august 15	180	$10.6K	10,755	11,003	-248	open	—	08-10 07:44
will drake maye win the 202526 nfl mvp award	330	$10.4K	15,174	14,634	+540	open	—	02-05 14:01
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	306	$8.6K	13,751	13,023	+728	open	—	02-24 06:01
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	148	$8.4K	10,246	10,259	-13	open	—	08-01 01:56
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	137	$7.7K	7,710	8,016	-306	open	—	08-07 21:49
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	270	$7.6K	10,769	9,201	+1,568	open	—	02-16 16:33
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	287	$7.4K	11,095	11,049	+46	open	—	03-31 20:31
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	144	$6.8K	10,061	9,950	+111	open	—	02-17 12:02
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	423	$6.8K	17,320	16,728	+593	open	—	02-24 16:41
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	135	$6.3K	9,762	8,897	+865	open	—	02-24 15:18
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	259	$6.2K	10,564	9,306	+1,258	open	—	02-16 16:10
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	223	$5.7K	8,306	8,386	-80	open	—	03-22 22:54
crint ind4 afg2 2026 06 13	116	$5.7K	6,252	6,598	-345	open	—	06-13 16:24
israel closes its airspace by july 24	101	$5.6K	7,204	6,827	+377	open	—	07-25 00:35
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	337	$5.3K	23,775	21,549	+2,226	open	—	01-30 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:53:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	SELL	282	8¢	$23	0xaa3275…
08-10 14:53:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0xfe9cc7…
08-10 14:46:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xe9b275…
08-10 14:23:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	147	40¢	$59	0x54ebb2…
08-10 14:12:54	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	107	60¢	$64	0x75f9dc…
08-10 13:26:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	153	40¢	$61	0xc95b05…
08-10 13:17:49	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	No	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x77d445…
08-10 13:10:55	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	BUY	67	86¢	$58	0xfb08b7…
08-10 13:06:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xd7c60e…
08-10 13:02:43	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0xfb085b…
08-10 13:02:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xc69d11…
08-10 13:02:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x172a06…
08-10 13:02:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xdff045…
08-10 13:02:04	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x155d25…
08-10 11:28:03	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x5885dd…
08-10 10:12:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x70784c…
08-10 10:06:04	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	190	48¢	$91	0xebbb06…
08-10 09:31:10	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	SELL	67	90¢	$60	0x02671d…
08-10 09:27:22	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	No	BUY	144	9¢	$13	0x6aa16a…
08-10 09:26:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x828e07…
08-10 09:24:15	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xc01d6b…
08-10 09:13:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xd08f0b…
08-10 09:12:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0xf70105…
08-10 08:49:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x89de03…
08-10 08:38:55	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x47a6bc…
08-10 07:44:34	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	299	3¢	$10	0x51a5ca…
08-10 07:33:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x8b55eb…
08-10 07:19:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0x30a2c1…
08-10 07:19:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0x96be02…
08-10 07:19:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	232	14¢	$32	0xff7534…
08-10 06:55:49	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1971c4…
08-10 06:46:01	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe73503…
08-10 06:44:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0xc5a0f7…
08-10 06:43:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	82	52¢	$43	0x3d258b…
08-10 06:22:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	246	19¢	$47	0xfbad10…
08-10 06:18:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xf17fcd…
08-10 06:18:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0x02faaf…
08-10 06:18:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xccc183…
08-10 04:53:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x3649d1…
08-10 02:37:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	127	52¢	$66	0x29163d…
08-09 23:03:09	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0xa5cc52…
08-09 23:03:04	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0xba9a59…
08-09 21:26:52	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	298	3¢	$8	0x55ff81…
08-09 20:38:27	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x0b92cb…
08-09 20:21:24	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	BUY	264	25¢	$66	0x8e16b8…
08-09 19:53:00	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xafb128…
08-09 19:20:46	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	175	97¢	$170	0x2453a5…
08-09 18:37:43	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0x02fc21…
08-09 17:55:48	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	300	11¢	$33	0x8dd3a1…
08-09 17:31:04	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	194	18¢	$35	0xc609ba…
08-09 17:00:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	232	21¢	$49	0x859bac…
08-09 16:55:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x34a5ec…
08-09 16:55:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0x74a26b…
08-09 16:49:18	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xe068b4…
08-09 16:49:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	82	75¢	$61	0x30db1b…
08-09 16:46:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0xc7a64b…
08-09 16:45:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	95	75¢	$71	0x24f1bf…
08-09 16:45:10	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	220	66¢	$145	0x1b2c2c…
08-09 16:44:19	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x8f8f6f…
08-09 16:42:10	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x824425…
08-09 16:41:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf2c955…
08-09 16:15:48	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x11eb61…
08-09 16:15:22	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x771dc7…
08-09 16:15:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x268245…
08-09 16:15:18	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xeade97…
08-09 16:15:18	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4acf1a…
08-09 16:14:55	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbef973…
08-09 16:14:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0x0529e3…
08-09 16:14:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0xd2c27f…
08-09 15:41:19	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x313fbf…
08-09 15:37:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	36	32¢	$11	0xf8c64b…
08-09 15:17:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	262	24¢	$63	0x5b7810…
08-09 15:11:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xdd7ba5…
08-09 15:11:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x4e7f65…
08-09 15:03:24	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xb3ed79…
08-09 14:41:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x32c1d0…
08-08 20:40:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	109	96¢	$105	0x7f5655…
08-08 19:18:30	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x66ab0b…
08-08 19:07:16	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	259	96¢	$250	0x574148…
08-08 15:34:00	bnb up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x6169ae…
08-08 15:34:00	bnb up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x12386e…
08-08 14:27:28	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xb20839…
08-08 13:09:16	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	192	96¢	$184	0x430747…
08-08 13:07:51	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xca9304…
08-08 12:58:46	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	299	4¢	$13	0xa37f9c…
08-08 12:19:18	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	192	95¢	$183	0x90bc59…
08-08 10:51:15	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	259	95¢	$246	0x59c7d2…
08-08 10:17:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	205	4¢	$9	0x71d8a3…
08-08 09:10:46	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x0c4321…
08-08 09:08:33	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x8b0d71…
08-08 09:01:52	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	SELL	94	73¢	$69	0x17d42e…
08-08 08:57:57	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xdc9ca4…
08-08 08:57:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x457309…
08-08 08:32:28	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xd3ebba…
08-08 08:13:03	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8336b8…
08-08 08:12:15	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game1	T1	SELL	83	43¢	$36	0x14b056…
08-08 08:12:13	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game1	T1	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x89b44a…
08-08 08:12:13	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game1	T1	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0x752e20…
08-08 08:12:13	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game1	T1	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4843dc…
08-08 08:00:07	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	T1	SELL	30	45¢	$13	0xeac864…