Realized P&L
-$121
Unrealized P&L
+$335
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
269
Trades
89,925
lifetime
Volume
$2.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.31K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
60% 38% +$310
Politics
21% 43% $-246
Sports
13% 36% $-173
Crypto
5% 50% $-12
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 740 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +668 $96 99¢ $658 +$562 07-14 13:09
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $162 60¢ $178 +$17 07-12 20:48
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +241 $151 69¢ $166 +$15 07-20 17:42
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +408 $273 27¢ $108 $-165 07-18 18:19
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +316 $28 16¢ $49 +$21 07-20 04:38
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes -148 $-84 33¢ $-49 +$36 07-06 07:55
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -29 $11 73¢ $-21 $-32 07-15 23:10
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +115 $45 18¢ $21 $-24 07-20 06:47
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -211 $-25 10¢ $-21 +$4 06-07 13:55
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz -23 $-21 50¢ $-12 +$9 05-30 01:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +592 $255 $9 $-246 07-20 12:29
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? No -20 $-7 40¢ $-8 $-1 07-18 10:09
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes -87 $-14 $-2 +$12 07-14 01:04
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -48 $-20 $-2 +$18 06-16 11:17
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-61 84¢ $1 +$61 07-13 12:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $12 82¢ $1 $-11 07-03 12:11
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +0 $-30 96¢ $0 +$30 07-07 07:11
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -15 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-20 09:04
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-16 58¢ $0 +$16 06-14 02:57
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $25 26¢ $0 $-24 07-12 21:30
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1 $43 31¢ $0 $-43 07-16 21:51
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Under -214 $-117 $-0 +$117 06-02 16:31
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-1 42¢ $0 +$1 06-09 22:43
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +0 $18 50¢ $0 $-18 07-09 19:07
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $19 17¢ $-0 $-19 07-20 12:55