Realized P&L
-$121
Unrealized P&L
+$218
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
269
Trades
88,684
lifetime
Volume
$2.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.49K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 09:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
60% 38% +$310
Politics
22% 43% $-246
Sports
13% 36% $-173
Crypto
5% 50% $-12
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1049 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +668 $109 66¢ $441 +$332 06-27 10:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +591 $261 34¢ $201 $-60 06-26 11:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -190 $-194 100¢ $-189 +$5 06-17 08:31
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers -298 $-161 62¢ $-183 $-22 06-22 14:37
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +295 $207 62¢ $181 $-25 06-24 23:17
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +406 $258 32¢ $132 $-125 06-30 09:46
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +107 $83 70¢ $76 $-7 06-29 17:53
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -211 $-25 10¢ $-21 +$4 06-07 13:55
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -30 $13 68¢ $-20 $-33 06-08 20:17
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -48 $-20 30¢ $-14 +$6 06-16 11:17
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes -156 $-17 $-13 +$4 06-02 21:18
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz -23 $-21 50¢ $-12 +$9 05-30 01:54
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July? Yes -300 $-23 $-3 +$21 06-03 05:11
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +110 $46 $2 $-44 06-25 08:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +297 $-1 $1 +$2 06-17 11:18
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +1 $-34 100¢ $1 +$34 06-22 08:21
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +599 $21 $1 $-20 06-14 18:00
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-1 74¢ $0 +$1 06-09 22:43
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1 $-6 38¢ $0 +$6 06-15 20:03
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Under -214 $-117 $-0 +$117 06-02 16:31
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-16 26¢ $0 +$16 06-14 02:57
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-01 12:49
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-1 26¢ $0 +$1 06-27 12:15
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Yes -110 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-14 13:27
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? Yes -15 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-06 11:51
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +4 $-0 $0 +$0 06-22 00:56
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +0 $6 $0 $-6 06-27 14:14