Unhealthy-Prize — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$590

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

196

123,350 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$4.03K

$2.80M lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$2.27K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 283 days

Categories

Other

61% 37% -$12,681

Politics

24% 43% +$1,772

Sports

11% 38% -$2,852

Crypto

4% 34% +$427

Tech

0% 47% -$452

Pop-Culture

0% 25% -$136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 674 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		+514	$511	100¢	$513	+$2	10-21 16:50
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		+289	$288	100¢	$288	+$0	10-23 01:58
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No		+345	$161	46¢	$157	-$4	09-22 04:04
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes		+193	$125	68¢	$130	+$5	10-29 00:33
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No		+121	$119	100¢	$121	+$1	10-22 07:16
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	—	+243	$82	48¢	$118	+$36	10-29 01:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		+790	-$47	14¢	$113	+$159	10-29 06:18
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No		+503	$104	21¢	$106	+$1	10-29 03:15
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+300	$125	27¢	$81	-$45	10-06 08:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+91	-$133	84¢	$77	+$210	10-27 22:53
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+290	$115	26¢	$77	-$39	10-22 14:41
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No		+97	$101	79¢	$77	-$24	10-28 09:03
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		-1,063	-$71	5¢	$-55	+$17	10-28 22:27
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No		+99	$40	55¢	$54	+$14	10-28 19:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+52	-$46	86¢	$44	+$91	10-28 11:30
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+80	$23	44¢	$35	+$12	10-16 01:31
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No		-32	$5	92¢	$-30	-$35	08-27 08:34
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No		+37	-$6	79¢	$29	+$35	10-29 02:34
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		-29	-$48	98¢	$-28	+$20	10-23 21:07
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No		+38	$32	68¢	$26	-$6	10-28 02:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-109	-$198	16¢	$-17	+$181	10-29 00:30
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		-950	-$44	2¢	$-15	+$29	10-21 17:41
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+277	$76	5¢	$14	-$62	10-27 23:22
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+173	-$6	8¢	$14	+$20	10-20 12:54
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+80	$12	16¢	$13	+$1	10-26 20:08
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes		+300	$36	4¢	$12	-$24	10-23 19:59
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+80	$9	12¢	$10	+$1	10-27 04:11
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+80	$10	11¢	$9	-$2	10-23 19:55
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+80	$14	8¢	$6	-$7	10-14 03:41
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		-949	-$7	1¢	$-5	+$1	10-08 20:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2,570	$143.7K	210,860	211,745	-885	No	+$219	02-10 01:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1,054	$53.2K	70,881	71,310	-429	Yes	+$869	03-04 16:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1,265	$47.6K	61,370	60,528	+842	open	—	10-29 06:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	713	$36.7K	46,898	46,830	+69	No	+$225	04-24 20:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	448	$29.6K	32,589	32,287	+302	No	+$138	07-20 12:29
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	474	$29.0K	32,018	31,743	+275	Yes	+$304	09-19 23:28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	970	$26.0K	156,993	156,344	+649	No	+$597	03-04 16:06
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	439	$19.6K	22,795	21,966	+829	No	+$655	02-24 16:36
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	422	$19.0K	29,832	28,359	+1,474	Yes	+$757	02-01 11:34
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	492	$18.4K	19,864	19,456	+408	Yes	+$285	05-19 23:23
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	298	$16.1K	21,526	21,526	+0	No	+$180	05-31 11:37
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	264	$14.6K	21,257	19,512	+1,745	No	+$352	02-16 09:22
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	498	$13.9K	51,050	48,222	+2,829	No	-$164	01-31 10:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	232	$13.3K	14,424	14,441	-17	open	—	10-29 00:30
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	716	$12.8K	53,808	53,531	+278	No	+$328	02-01 04:29
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	532	$12.5K	14,768	14,468	+300	No	-$218	05-27 00:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	160	$11.9K	13,885	13,885	+0	No	+$67	05-29 05:57
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	217	$11.7K	11,216	10,916	+301	No	-$29	08-31 11:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	373	$11.6K	32,350	29,692	+2,658	No	-$138	01-30 09:27
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	198	$11.2K	11,563	11,563	+0	No	+$24	08-14 00:00
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	194	$10.9K	18,691	18,437	+254	Yes	+$616	02-28 06:13
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	167	$10.7K	10,611	10,492	+120	No	+$63	06-15 17:55
will drake maye win the 202526 nfl mvp award	330	$10.4K	15,174	14,634	+540	No	+$2	02-05 14:01
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	164	$10.1K	10,563	10,164	+399	No	+$522	05-19 23:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	141	$9.9K	10,892	10,891	+1	No	+$270	06-17 11:18
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	163	$9.3K	9,475	9,458	+17	No	-$56	08-29 21:54
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	154	$9.0K	10,709	10,708	+1	No	+$7	08-01 01:56
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	201	$8.9K	11,456	10,348	+1,107	Yes	+$83	09-15 16:07
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	306	$8.6K	13,751	13,023	+728	No	+$73	02-24 06:01
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	270	$7.6K	10,769	9,201	+1,568	Yes	+$107	02-16 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:41:14	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0235e0…
10-29 06:18:16	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	164	15¢	$24	0xb6f2ab…
10-29 06:07:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xf034f2…
10-29 05:42:07	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	18¢	$14	0x8606d3…
10-29 05:15:49	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	36	49¢	$18	0x255663…
10-29 05:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xad58b6…
10-29 05:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 30?	No	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0xb5866a…
10-29 05:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	65	45¢	$29	0x933231…
10-29 05:03:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfc28ed…
10-29 04:58:11	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xb7b696…
10-29 04:58:11	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	13¢	$8	0x8fae2b…
10-29 04:58:11	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x47bd0d…
10-29 04:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7e11ba…
10-29 04:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x4d9030…
10-29 04:22:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xb1ddd7…
10-29 04:18:46	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	107	35¢	$37	0xac4fe7…
10-29 04:14:47	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x4eeb04…
10-29 04:14:47	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x3a9974…
10-29 04:13:29	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xefdfd6…
10-29 03:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	113	43¢	$49	0x777443…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf600d7…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc76ec2…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x9c9618…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9a5975…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x9721aa…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x807c20…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x7d0996…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x69c2b5…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2aaf46…
10-29 03:52:41	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x928e44…
10-29 03:37:40	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x466333…
10-29 03:33:58	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x611579…
10-29 03:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0x38e4a6…
10-29 03:16:52	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x40e2d1…
10-29 03:15:46	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xccb171…
10-29 02:44:20	Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x28f134…
10-29 02:38:17	Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0x25eb93…
10-29 02:37:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x197f88…
10-29 02:34:35	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	78	21¢	$16	0xfa33f7…
10-29 02:34:34	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xf8ef8b…
10-29 02:34:34	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xcbf41a…
10-29 02:34:34	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	SELL	220	79¢	$174	0x302924…
10-29 02:34:34	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	252	21¢	$53	0x290f23…
10-29 02:34:32	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	SELL	21	79¢	$17	0x6da38b…
10-29 02:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xc57612…
10-29 02:20:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xb64280…
10-29 02:08:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xabe28a…
10-29 01:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x7a8110…
10-29 01:48:31	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0xfff265…
10-29 01:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	61	45¢	$27	0x7096a1…
10-29 01:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	SELL	70	61¢	$43	0xc18e6b…
10-29 01:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x3a1abf…
10-29 00:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	32	39¢	$12	0xc5755a…
10-29 00:48:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x58ec21…
10-29 00:48:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xc1a018…
10-29 00:33:47	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	103	68¢	$71	0x0895aa…
10-29 00:30:10	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0xe1010d…
10-29 00:28:52	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	44	41¢	$18	0x952d92…
10-29 00:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	32	46¢	$14	0x312f43…
10-29 00:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xa70d27…
10-29 00:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x470927…
10-29 00:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	32	54¢	$17	0x11e8cf…
10-29 00:08:47	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1c9b1a…
10-29 00:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xb03db4…
10-29 00:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0409c0…
10-28 23:50:50	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x79c4b1…
10-28 23:50:49	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x00e77e…
10-28 23:39:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x18e902…
10-28 23:37:37	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x100e62…
10-28 23:30:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xa3cee0…
10-28 23:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x152db5…
10-28 23:13:31	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0xe27e21…
10-28 23:03:29	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x44bba0…
10-28 22:57:29	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	SELL	307	98¢	$300	0x2f5ff7…
10-28 22:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	76	51¢	$39	0xf05d79…
10-28 22:51:13	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	152	39¢	$59	0xf4918c…
10-28 22:50:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0e0273…
10-28 22:50:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	38	25¢	$10	0x35d3f9…
10-28 22:50:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0x151654…
10-28 22:50:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf7e35e…
10-28 22:50:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xe0000a…
10-28 22:50:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0x7d1511…
10-28 22:50:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x497bb6…
10-28 22:50:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x3f34bc…
10-28 22:50:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x0978e7…
10-28 22:50:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x06119a…
10-28 22:27:26	Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x29bffd…
10-28 22:10:11	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	BUY	328	76¢	$249	0x085569…
10-28 22:01:11	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xbf8a7b…
10-28 21:26:50	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	51	42¢	$21	0xcd612f…
10-28 21:22:34	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x3d0c10…
10-28 21:22:32	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	99	36¢	$35	0xdd18ad…
10-28 21:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0xbcceb9…
10-28 21:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xa10602…
10-28 21:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9acca8…
10-28 21:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x9a401b…
10-28 21:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x89baf5…
10-28 21:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x744618…
10-28 21:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x31753b…
10-28 21:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0e5427…