Realized P&L
-$13.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$532
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
6,944
Trades
123,590
lifetime
Volume
$2.81M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 01:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 283 days
Categories
Other
61% 37% -$12,603
Politics
24% 43% +$1,772
Sports
10% 38% -$2,852
Crypto
4% 34% +$427
Tech
0% 47% -$452
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 674 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +514 $511 100¢ $513 +$2 10-21 16:50
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +289 $288 100¢ $288 $0 10-23 01:58
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +821 $253 30¢ $250 -$3 10-30 02:54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +425 $212 55¢ $231 +$20 10-29 23:34
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +1,112 $226 20¢ $222 -$4 10-29 20:34
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +345 $161 46¢ $157 -$4 09-22 04:04
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +433 $145 34¢ $149 +$4 10-29 20:31
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +121 $119 100¢ $121 +$1 10-22 07:16
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +222 $66 52¢ $115 +$50 10-30 01:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +601 -$84 15¢ $88 +$172 10-30 02:14
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $125 29¢ $85 -$40 10-06 08:46
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +97 $101 84¢ $81 -$20 10-28 09:03
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +290 $115 27¢ $78 -$37 10-22 14:41
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +169 $48 30¢ $51 +$3 10-30 00:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +52 -$46 85¢ $44 +$91 10-28 11:30
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,063 -$71 4¢ $-39 +$32 10-28 22:27
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +80 $23 44¢ $35 +$12 10-16 01:31
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -32 $5 92¢ $-30 -$35 08-27 08:34
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +37 -$6 80¢ $30 +$36 10-29 02:34
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -29 -$48 97¢ $-28 +$20 10-23 21:07
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +38 $32 70¢ $27 -$5 10-29 10:34
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No +56 $26 46¢ $26 $0 10-29 19:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -81 -$193 20¢ $-16 +$178 10-30 01:32
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +173 -$6 8¢ $14 +$20 10-20 12:54
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -950 -$44 1¢ $-14 +$30 10-21 17:41
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +80 $12 16¢ $13 +$1 10-26 20:08
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +80 $9 12¢ $10 +$1 10-27 04:11
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -949 -$7 1¢ $-5 +$1 10-08 20:18
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -92 -$4 5¢ $-5 -$1 08-22 05:47
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Yes -240 -$14 2¢ $-4 +$10 05-04 08:14