Realized P&L
+$598
Unrealized P&L
-$57
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved
8,944
Trades
27,256
lifetime
Volume
$51.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$357
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-27 04:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 71% +$38
Other
27% 24% +$608
Politics
4% 50% -$35
Sports
0% 11% -$24
Tech
0% 100% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 763 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +216 $121 84¢ $181 +$59 09-15 14:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +227 $51 16¢ $37 -$13 10-24 15:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +35 $29 96¢ $33 +$5 08-08 14:04
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +460 $69 4¢ $19 -$51 09-02 05:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12 $10 85¢ $10 +$0 08-26 21:14
No one announced as next James Bond? No +11 $9 75¢ $8 -$1 09-29 21:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7 $6 91¢ $6 +$0 08-06 15:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-27 04:24
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +329 $56 2¢ $5 -$51 08-07 06:57
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +11 $6 42¢ $5 -$1 08-01 03:52
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-22 07:21
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +23 $6 20¢ $5 -$1 10-01 09:47
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +7 $5 63¢ $4 -$1 08-18 03:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 10-24 18:25
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 08-20 01:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +4 $2 60¢ $3 +$1 08-17 12:03
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-23 12:55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +57 $7 4¢ $2 -$5 09-15 20:51
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +9 $2 25¢ $2 +$0 08-26 08:05
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4 $1 58¢ $2 +$1 08-18 13:45
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +4 $2 54¢ $2 +$0 09-18 00:57
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +13 $3 14¢ $2 -$1 08-20 03:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +4 $2 40¢ $2 $0 08-27 12:39
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +2 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 08-10 04:48
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +4 $2 44¢ $2 $0 08-08 04:43
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-31 13:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 08-30 10:35
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 86¢ $1 $0 10-15 02:59
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +108 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-31 17:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 10-23 09:43