Realized P&L (30d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
43.4%
Resolved (30d)
14
Trades (30d)
124
27,297 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$137
$51.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$341
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 11-06 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 71% +$38
Other
27% 25% +$606
Politics
4% 50% -$37
Sports
0% 11% -$24
Tech
0% 100% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 763 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +193 $102 88¢ $171 +$69 11-02 05:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +35 $29 98¢ $34 +$5 08-08 14:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +227 $51 12¢ $26 -$25 10-24 15:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 95¢ $12 +$2 11-05 07:46
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +460 $69 2¢ $9 -$60 09-02 05:17
No one announced as next James Bond? No +11 $9 86¢ $9 +$1 09-29 21:10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 96¢ $9 +$1 11-02 06:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 93¢ $7 +$0 11-02 06:41
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +8 $6 84¢ $7 +$1 08-02 01:20
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 11-02 07:00
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +7 $5 81¢ $5 +$0 08-18 03:33
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6 $6 81¢ $5 -$1 11-02 19:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 54¢ $5 +$1 11-05 12:55
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +329 $56 1¢ $4 -$52 08-07 06:57
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +11 $6 28¢ $3 -$3 08-01 03:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 11-05 03:22
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$1 08-20 01:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4 $1 71¢ $3 +$1 08-18 13:45
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-23 12:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +4 $2 55¢ $2 +$1 08-17 12:03
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 11-02 07:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +13 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 08-20 03:27
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$0 07-31 13:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 24¢ $1 -$1 11-02 04:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +57 $7 2¢ $1 -$6 09-15 20:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $0 89¢ $1 +$1 08-30 10:35
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +9 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 08-26 08:05
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +2 $2 60¢ $1 $0 08-10 04:48
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8 $1 15¢ $1 $0 11-01 20:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 08-07 22:42