Realized P&L
+$597
Unrealized P&L
-$62
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved
8,957
Trades
27,340
lifetime
Volume
$51.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$339
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 11-15 07:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 71% +$42
Other
27% 25% +$606
Politics
4% 48% -$38
Sports
0% 11% -$24
Tech
0% 100% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +193 $102 94¢ $180 +$78 11-02 05:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +35 $29 98¢ $34 +$5 08-08 14:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +227 $51 6¢ $15 -$36 10-24 15:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 11-05 07:46
No one announced as next James Bond? No +11 $9 95¢ $10 +$2 09-29 21:10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 11-02 06:59
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +460 $69 2¢ $7 -$63 09-02 05:17
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +8 $6 86¢ $7 +$1 08-02 01:20
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +7 $5 87¢ $6 +$1 08-18 03:33
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 11-02 07:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6 $6 82¢ $5 -$1 11-02 19:44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-13 05:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 83¢ $4 $0 11-14 03:50
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 11-13 05:00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +329 $56 1¢ $3 -$53 08-07 06:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 11-05 03:22
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $2 99¢ $3 +$1 08-20 01:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +11 $6 26¢ $3 -$3 08-01 03:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4 $1 72¢ $3 +$1 08-18 13:45
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$0 08-03 05:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 11-13 14:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 40¢ $2 -$1 11-13 15:36
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 07:01
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +2 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 08-10 04:48
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-31 13:36
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +2 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 08-02 08:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +4 $2 32¢ $1 $0 08-17 12:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 08-30 10:35
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 11-01 20:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 11-06 03:36