Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
33.3%
Resolved (7d)
8
Trades (7d)
25
27,279 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$57
$51.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$331
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 11-02 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 71% +$38
Other
27% 25% +$606
Politics
4% 48% -$35
Sports
0% 11% -$24
Tech
0% 100% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 763 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +193 $102 84¢ $161 +$59 11-02 05:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +227 $51 16¢ $37 -$13 10-24 15:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +35 $29 97¢ $34 +$5 08-08 14:04
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +460 $69 3¢ $13 -$56 09-02 05:17
No one announced as next James Bond? No +11 $9 85¢ $9 +$0 09-29 21:10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 96¢ $9 +$1 11-02 06:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 11-02 06:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 $0 08-06 15:31
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 $0 11-02 07:00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +11 $6 48¢ $5 -$1 08-01 03:52
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +7 $5 58¢ $4 -$1 08-18 03:33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +329 $56 1¢ $4 -$52 08-07 06:57
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +22 $6 16¢ $3 -$2 11-02 12:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 08-20 01:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +4 $2 64¢ $3 +$1 08-17 12:03
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-23 12:55
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4 $1 52¢ $2 +$1 08-18 13:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +4 $2 46¢ $2 $0 08-27 12:39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 30¢ $2 -$1 11-02 04:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +57 $7 3¢ $2 -$5 09-15 20:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 44¢ $2 $0 11-02 04:28
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 11-02 07:01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +4 $2 42¢ $2 $0 09-18 00:57
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +4 $2 45¢ $2 $0 08-08 04:43
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 08-07 22:42
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-31 13:36
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +2 $2 71¢ $1 $0 08-10 04:48
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +13 $3 11¢ $1 -$1 08-20 03:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 08-30 10:35
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 86¢ $1 $0 10-15 02:59