Deficient-Lemur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$887

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

1,338

Trades

5,676

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 11-04 18:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% -$870

Other

1% 52% -$24

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	22	$185	200	188	+12	Down	+$145	05-15 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	20	$115	231	111	+120	Up	+$42	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	14	$108	230	0	+230	Up	+$2	05-18 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	10	$101	143	143	+0	Up	+$9	09-15 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	27	$97	443	108	+335	Down	-$44	05-15 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	11	$95	220	0	+220	Down	+$5	05-20 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	10	$94	180	0	+180	Down	-$4	04-25 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	10	$91	97	97	+0	Up	$0	09-15 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	24	$90	275	0	+275	Down	+$47	05-13 23:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	6	$90	3,510	2,615	+895	No	-$22	05-15 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	13	$86	116	64	+52	Up	+$23	05-14 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	11	$81	114	67	+47	Up	-$3	05-18 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	21	$81	202	0	+202	Down	+$3	05-13 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	16	$80	190	0	+190	Up	+$10	05-26 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	9	$77	170	9	+161	Down	-$1	05-16 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	15	$76	101	67	+34	Up	+$1	05-14 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	9	$75	120	60	+60	Down	+$16	05-18 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	13	$75	320	0	+320	Down	+$85	05-18 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:15 UTC	3	$73	52	49	+2	Down	+$26	04-05 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	23	$73	184	0	+184	Up	+$19	05-13 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	8	$73	64	64	+0	Down	+$0	09-15 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	14	$71	300	0	+300	Up	+$19	05-26 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$71	130	80	+50	Down	+$58	05-20 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:30 UTC	2	$70	111	0	+111	Down	-$70	04-20 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 16:05 UTC	7	$70	264	0	+264	Down	+$28	04-19 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	26	$68	203	0	+203	Up	-$66	05-13 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	16	$64	186	63	+123	Up	+$6	05-14 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	16	$63	135	50	+85	Up	+$1	05-16 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	23	$63	144	10	+134	Down	+$57	05-13 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	20	$62	115	0	+115	Down	-$59	05-13 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x73f9f5…
11-04 18:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f1105…
11-04 18:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x504336…
11-04 18:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x31377b…
11-04 18:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x18e2dc…
11-04 18:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x46f0b4…
11-04 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xfeed1a…
11-04 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xf4283b…
11-04 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xf2a161…
11-04 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x5863c0…
11-04 18:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x5f3c51…
11-04 18:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe8bc68…
11-04 18:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9d1fc8…
11-04 18:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x5850e5…
11-04 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf7d041…
11-04 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x879755…
11-04 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x09ec94…
11-04 18:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xd8436b…
11-04 16:14:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26d7c2…
11-04 16:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0xe14f1a…
11-04 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf509aa…
11-04 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x3b75c6…
11-04 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x192546…
11-04 16:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa812c6…
11-04 16:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc5ff44…
11-04 16:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x1d9727…
11-04 16:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x5eef0f…
11-04 15:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xf4d16c…
11-04 15:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb992c1…
11-04 15:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x49f06e…
11-04 15:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x1a589c…
11-04 15:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xa17940…
11-04 15:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09a25f…
11-04 15:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x09ccf6…
11-04 15:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xb8730f…
11-04 15:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xd6bb90…
11-04 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x170801…
09-15 23:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xa703f9…
09-15 23:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x75601e…
09-15 23:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xa4b093…
09-15 22:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x9801c4…
09-15 22:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xe636b9…
09-15 22:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xf299c5…
09-15 22:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0x1506b6…
09-15 22:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xaafd0f…
09-15 22:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x9e525d…
09-15 22:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xf6a700…
09-15 22:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x6163c9…
09-15 22:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xc6cf1e…
09-15 22:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x55d3c8…
09-15 22:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	38¢	$12	0x01be02…
09-15 22:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	28¢	$9	0xf3a1f6…
09-15 21:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x5642d4…
09-15 21:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x350123…
09-15 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x1ff509…
09-15 21:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x926eb4…
09-15 21:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x5dfb85…
09-15 21:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x652a94…
09-15 21:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xd41ecb…
09-15 21:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x4d1666…
09-15 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xc2ab24…
09-15 21:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x3ff183…
09-15 21:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0xcda057…
09-15 21:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x2d4c9e…
09-15 21:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x27b0c1…
09-15 21:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xb09367…
09-15 21:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x46f79a…
09-15 21:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xb26a8c…
09-15 20:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0xc28482…
09-15 20:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x55c243…
09-15 20:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xa61b4c…
09-15 20:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x8ea8d1…
09-15 20:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x5760b7…
09-15 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf97dbc…
09-15 20:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x97217b…
09-15 20:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x08c526…
09-15 20:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0xcf2ec3…
09-15 20:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x7904d1…
09-15 20:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0xab0085…
09-15 20:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xf1406c…
09-15 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x4e37fe…
09-15 20:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xab0385…
09-15 20:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xdb1acf…
09-15 20:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9f8929…
09-15 20:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x34dfbe…
09-15 20:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x426cef…
09-15 20:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x2473da…
09-15 20:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xd0fa03…
09-15 20:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x1b73d7…
09-15 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xf17368…
09-15 20:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x6998f2…
09-15 20:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x984f9a…
09-15 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x33d919…
09-15 20:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0xccfb5f…
09-15 19:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x689535…
09-15 19:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x6fa19c…
09-15 19:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x090aa8…
09-15 19:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xf6cd39…
09-15 19:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x9f3165…
09-15 19:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xda6934…