Celebrated-Hubcap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$570

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-27 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$45

Politics

29% — —

Other

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	5	$11.0K	3,700	7,739	-4,039	open	—	06-18 09:33
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$7.3K	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	06-13 12:48
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	1	$4.3K	4,300	0	+4,300	open	—	06-23 01:45
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	13	$3.6K	3,655	0	+3,655	open	—	05-16 04:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	4	$3.5K	3,590	0	+3,590	open	—	05-15 13:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	4	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	05-13 21:44
bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	1	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	06-05 13:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	1	$2.9K	2,950	0	+2,950	Yes	+$6	05-08 14:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	11	$2.8K	2,809	0	+2,809	open	—	06-27 13:36
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-20 17:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$15	05-04 16:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$2.0K	2,050	0	+2,050	Yes	+$12	05-09 14:16
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 14:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$1.6K	1,571	0	+1,571	open	—	03-26 07:15
bitcoin above 68k on march 25	1	$1.6K	1,570	0	+1,570	open	—	03-25 09:45
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	8	$1.5K	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	03-24 11:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	2	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$4	05-09 03:41
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$1.3K	1,265	0	+1,265	open	—	02-17 09:49
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$1.3K	1,252	0	+1,252	open	—	02-13 07:32
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	1	$1.2K	1,207	0	+1,207	open	—	03-23 10:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	10	$1.1K	1,086	0	+1,086	open	—	06-06 09:50
bitcoin above 62k on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,055	0	+1,055	open	—	02-16 05:41
bitcoin above 78k on january 28	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	01-27 08:39
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	1	$1000	1,004	0	+1,004	open	—	01-26 11:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-20 17:05
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 10	1	$971	975	0	+975	open	—	04-10 15:44
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$800	801	0	+801	open	—	01-30 01:12
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$786	811	0	+811	open	—	02-17 09:51
ETHGAS FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$700	702	0	+702	open	—	01-22 06:28
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$691	727	0	+727	open	—	04-27 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 13:36:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0x5acbea…
06-27 12:59:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x93f0c5…
06-27 12:57:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x597620…
06-27 10:59:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1f226e…
06-27 09:30:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0xc57563…
06-27 08:56:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3ea9cb…
06-27 08:41:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	777	98¢	$765	0xb7b72d…
06-27 08:28:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	725	98¢	$714	0xe3da2b…
06-27 04:03:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	982	98¢	$967	0xabd13a…
06-26 18:23:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xbd7498…
06-26 17:58:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x12c915…
06-23 01:45:20	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	4,300	100¢	$4,296	0x0cac08…
06-18 09:33:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	4,039	99¢	$4,015	0x6ff55c…
06-18 02:06:08	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	846	1¢	$6	0x7c1531…
06-15 09:38:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	3,700	95¢	$3,515	0xa4f768…
06-15 00:08:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,100	95¢	$1,042	0x9c739d…
06-15 00:07:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb385d0…
06-15 00:06:48	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,500	95¢	$2,365	0x138339…
06-13 12:48:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	3,800	99¢	$3,768	0x60d008…
06-13 12:35:52	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	186	14¢	$25	0x08d794…
06-12 17:30:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	3,800	92¢	$3,515	0x13a90c…
06-06 09:50:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x428500…
06-06 09:49:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x1e341b…
06-05 23:09:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	47	98¢	$47	0xafbda7…
06-05 23:09:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x79cb23…
06-05 22:59:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xcc3a10…
06-05 22:57:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a3ae2…
06-05 22:48:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x780981…
06-05 22:47:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	214	98¢	$210	0xda142b…
06-05 22:46:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9fa402…
06-05 22:44:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	525	98¢	$516	0x090405…
06-05 13:10:51	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,482	0xc5aa68…
05-20 17:07:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x2041ed…
05-20 17:05:11	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xb1626f…
05-20 17:04:20	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x3d1048…
05-16 14:02:16	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x171e9c…
05-16 04:18:12	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	836	98¢	$816	0xd128e3…
05-16 04:15:35	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x0821bc…
05-16 04:15:16	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x0b1129…
05-16 04:15:09	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x2b8b5b…
05-16 04:15:00	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x2d69bb…
05-16 04:14:41	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x3cdb33…
05-16 04:05:52	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x6c88e9…
05-16 04:03:46	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xdb52d9…
05-16 04:03:41	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xe0c977…
05-16 04:03:30	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x489191…
05-16 04:03:09	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xb2c0a4…
05-16 02:58:33	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfaef05…
05-16 02:54:25	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,468	98¢	$1,435	0xd360e4…
05-15 13:12:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	2,451	98¢	$2,409	0xf446a9…
05-15 13:09:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x318dd5…
05-15 13:09:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	921	98¢	$906	0x7288bf…
05-15 13:08:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbdf337…
05-13 21:44:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,839	100¢	$1,835	0x51ca38…
05-13 21:35:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	359	100¢	$359	0x687a22…
05-13 21:30:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xf67d6c…
05-13 21:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,198	0x70cbe5…
05-11 17:50:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3cef0b…
05-11 17:43:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x134423…
05-11 17:24:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x8223fe…
05-11 17:17:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x1c3d48…
05-11 16:20:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x6e354e…
05-09 14:16:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2,050	99¢	$2,038	0x19d02e…
05-09 03:41:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,195	100¢	$1,191	0x498863…
05-09 03:17:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0xfeab40…
05-08 14:43:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,950	100¢	$2,944	0x69aeee…
05-08 14:05:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x90c739…
05-08 14:04:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x682b67…
05-08 13:38:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x892b62…
05-08 13:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	513	99¢	$509	0xeb5384…
05-04 23:41:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	332	99¢	$330	0xf0ec74…
05-04 16:58:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,485	0xdfc7a1…
04-27 14:54:50	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	727	95¢	$691	0x538793…
04-27 14:54:26	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	1,000	69¢	$691	0x133c16…
04-24 17:20:56	Will Noah Kahan have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0714ea…
04-24 17:19:50	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3cfc97…
04-24 17:19:30	Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x808270…
04-16 20:48:46	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfaa904…
04-16 20:48:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3c2ec9…
04-16 20:47:40	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x734030…
04-16 20:47:30	Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd3cdc2…
04-16 20:47:22	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xb8e6ce…
04-16 20:47:12	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x60eb69…
04-16 20:47:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x126da9…
04-16 20:46:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9ad9cb…
04-16 20:46:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb5763b…
04-16 20:46:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe96ca8…
04-16 20:46:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2bf3c0…
04-16 02:11:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	270	96¢	$258	0xfa8b5b…
04-16 00:28:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0xcffa72…
04-16 00:13:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0xae7912…
04-15 22:09:10	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd3035e…
04-15 19:14:10	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x5c851c…
04-15 17:42:52	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xf29a35…
04-15 17:20:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x409902…
04-10 15:44:09	will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 10	No	BUY	975	100¢	$971	0x2da803…
04-10 15:43:55	will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 10	No	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0xfe040c…
03-26 07:15:39	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,571	99¢	$1,561	0x881bf7…
03-26 07:15:11	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x668f0e…
03-25 09:45:35	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	1,570	99¢	$1,553	0x0e2ee0…