Bountiful-Thump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$946

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

283

Trades

608

lifetime

Volume

$32.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$302

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-30 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

49% 61% -$416

Crypto

39% 62% +$254

Politics

8% 29% -$745

Sports

5% 59% -$30

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+425	$322	70¢	$300	-$23	10-30 23:36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10	$2	18¢	$2	+$0	06-10 02:43
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+10	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	06-03 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$1.6K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$408	03-31 20:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$1.4K	719	718	+1	No	+$3	04-07 23:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$1.1K	1,902	200	+1,702	Yes	-$744	04-07 23:17
will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	3	$1.1K	605	600	+5	No	+$63	04-12 19:41
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$1.0K	754	754	+0	No	-$55	03-25 00:54
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	7	$927	644	630	+14	No	+$104	04-06 03:23
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	4	$703	675	675	+0	Yes	+$101	03-17 02:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$699	432	432	+0	No	+$66	06-28 14:18
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 13	1	$628	967	0	+967	Yes	-$628	04-13 15:09
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 29	2	$565	300	300	+0	No	+$34	07-30 04:00
bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	2	$549	300	300	+0	Yes	+$39	06-11 05:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$508	352	349	+3	No	-$30	04-07 05:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$507	272	272	+0	No	+$35	03-31 21:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	5	$462	260	260	+0	No	+$34	04-23 05:30
nba lal ind 2026 03 25	3	$432	237	237	+0	Lakers	+$41	03-26 00:55
bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	3	$428	220	220	+0	Yes	+$12	06-05 16:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$424	220	220	+0	No	+$15	07-04 18:56
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$417	217	217	+0	Yes	+$17	06-23 02:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$404	210	210	+0	No	+$14	07-29 14:53
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	11	$393	331	331	+0	No	-$2	03-23 11:13
will bitcoin reach 72k march 30 april 5	2	$382	234	228	+6	No	+$79	04-06 02:36
will ethereum dip to 1900 march 30 april 5	2	$379	205	203	+2	No	+$28	04-06 02:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$339	228	228	+0	No	+$29	03-25 15:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$322	425	0	+425	open	—	10-30 23:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$312	167	166	+1	No	+$19	04-30 16:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 1	2	$309	753	747	+6	No	-$34	03-29 13:02
wti closes above 81 on july 31 2026	3	$306	200	200	+0	Yes	-$50	07-31 05:32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 8?	1	$301	310	0	+310	No	+$9	09-08 14:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 1	6	$286	449	445	+4	No	+$62	04-01 04:02
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	3	$264	218	218	+0	No	+$55	03-16 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:36:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0x851fe0…
10-29 14:14:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	77¢	$262	0x3197ad…
09-08 14:47:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 8?	No	BUY	310	97¢	$301	0xa5d943…
09-08 14:45:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x98ebea…
09-08 14:45:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xf1e0fe…
09-08 14:45:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x64ab88…
09-08 14:45:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8132fb…
09-08 14:45:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x86d4c6…
09-08 14:45:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa1cfa2…
09-08 14:44:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x0f2770…
09-08 14:44:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xdaf98c…
09-08 14:44:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x63ac25…
07-31 05:36:44	wti closes above 86 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	220	95¢	$209	0x7da8fb…
07-31 05:32:38	wti closes above 81 on july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xd68cfa…
07-31 05:31:21	wti closes above 82 on july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	160	37¢	$59	0xbb6003…
07-31 02:45:27	wti closes above 85 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	160	91¢	$146	0x06fc82…
07-31 01:07:59	wti closes above 80 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xca431c…
07-31 00:52:39	wti closes above 82 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xcb5204…
07-31 00:29:27	wti closes above 80 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x93e8cc…
07-30 22:29:32	wti closes above 80 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xb4987d…
07-30 22:28:30	wti closes above 87 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x3f26ee…
07-30 22:27:53	wti closes above 86 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x022965…
07-30 22:14:14	wti closes above 81 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x6bd3ee…
07-30 21:41:39	wti closes above 82 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x038387…
07-30 21:41:23	wti closes above 82 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xa9604a…
07-30 21:26:26	wti closes above 81 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5b7975…
07-30 04:00:54	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 29	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x3a3d2f…
07-30 00:53:48	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 29	No	BUY	300	88¢	$265	0x915d68…
07-30 00:46:59	wti closes above 80 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc97948…
07-30 00:45:36	wti closes above 80 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8ee161…
07-30 00:44:23	wti closes above 87 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x6791c1…
07-29 23:53:41	wti closes above 82 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x733b9a…
07-29 23:51:41	wti closes above 82 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x6840b1…
07-29 23:45:00	wti closes above 81 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x215d26…
07-29 20:35:29	wti closes above 81 on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xe1558d…
07-29 15:39:51	wti closes above 86 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	90	85¢	$76	0xc40d97…
07-29 14:58:20	wti closes above 87 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x1900fa…
07-29 14:57:15	wti closes above 83 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x36e9b3…
07-29 14:53:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x19c377…
07-29 14:50:26	wti closes above 84 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x99cfc5…
07-29 05:06:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xcb4a52…
07-29 05:05:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xcff9ed…
07-29 05:04:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf23a74…
07-29 05:03:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x87c468…
07-11 02:42:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	210	93¢	$195	0xa0ac7c…
07-11 02:41:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xa156d5…
07-07 18:14:20	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x3a0724…
07-07 17:35:01	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xaa447c…
07-07 17:33:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	381	2¢	$7	0xf3bcc4…
07-07 02:10:01	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd0def6…
07-07 02:08:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xb55805…
07-07 02:07:38	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x919840…
07-07 02:06:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe3e1f6…
07-07 02:06:13	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x20582e…
07-07 00:23:34	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x15d634…
07-07 00:13:50	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbb3e87…
07-06 23:55:58	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xcba5fd…
07-06 21:05:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x9a81e4…
07-06 21:04:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2b9a92…
07-05 15:24:38	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xc8adb7…
07-04 19:04:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x154546…
07-04 19:02:29	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x89a3fa…
07-04 19:02:04	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xca71d6…
07-04 19:00:22	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd8984b…
07-04 18:57:29	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1fc197…
07-04 18:57:08	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe3796e…
07-04 18:56:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	220	100¢	$219	0x0b382c…
07-04 18:55:34	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd56a25…
07-03 19:27:16	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5674fb…
07-03 03:13:11	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x83c3d9…
07-03 03:12:43	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x133e4d…
07-03 03:07:23	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc854e5…
07-03 03:05:59	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xdf3e36…
07-03 00:27:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe1de34…
07-02 20:52:13	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x13eaa1…
07-02 05:32:58	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x3ce4cb…
07-02 05:32:25	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x387d86…
07-02 05:31:32	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf8dbe1…
07-01 22:36:19	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	SELL	105	19¢	$20	0xfe0f69…
07-01 21:52:13	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x9b0c25…
07-01 21:19:01	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x371cad…
07-01 21:09:58	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xf76e97…
07-01 20:37:22	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x091f94…
06-30 09:07:20	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x77b0af…
06-30 03:59:22	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xe40bca…
06-30 00:51:56	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	217	5¢	$10	0xe5acbd…
06-29 22:20:49	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x574326…
06-29 17:57:43	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x743914…
06-29 03:47:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	220	93¢	$205	0x0d4385…
06-29 03:40:28	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe243f5…
06-29 03:38:38	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb18410…
06-29 03:36:16	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x40f67d…
06-29 03:35:40	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6e722b…
06-29 03:34:52	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xff2ed2…
06-29 03:34:46	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5a6449…
06-29 03:34:22	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x34555c…
06-29 03:33:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xadf2d2…
06-29 03:31:04	Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xead325…
06-28 20:52:41	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xcfc2aa…
06-28 20:46:26	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x33a0c4…