Naughty-Decency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,859

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 05-25 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 97% +$33

Other

38% 100% +$54

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	6	$1.0K	527	527	+0	Down	+$15	05-12 20:01
spx up or down on march 19 2026	7	$916	486	486	+0	open	—	03-19 20:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	6	$430	449	0	+449	Up	+$19	05-11 19:54
spx up or down on april 16 2026	6	$406	210	210	+1	open	—	04-16 20:45
spx up or down on march 20 2026	2	$403	203	203	+0	open	—	03-20 21:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	7	$397	202	202	+0	Down	+$7	05-04 20:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	3	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-13 17:35
spx up or down on march 13 2026	9	$225	239	0	+239	open	—	03-13 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	5	$225	240	0	+240	open	—	05-25 17:10
spx up or down on march 18 2026	5	$211	219	0	+219	open	—	03-18 18:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	3	$184	190	0	+190	Up	+$6	05-08 15:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	4	$182	185	0	+185	open	—	05-14 17:49
spx up or down on april 23 2026	5	$181	186	0	+186	open	—	04-23 19:00
spx up or down on april 22 2026	2	$180	184	0	+184	open	—	04-22 17:20
bitcoin up or down on february 15	2	$178	91	91	+0	open	—	02-15 16:56
spx up or down on march 24 2026	1	$170	171	0	+171	open	—	03-24 19:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	5	$165	167	0	+167	Down	+$2	05-07 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$152	154	0	+154	open	—	05-04 16:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$150	155	0	+155	open	—	05-01 15:59
spx up or down on march 30 2026	7	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	03-30 19:31
btc updown 15m 1771121700	2	$144	74	74	+0	open	—	02-15 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$136	144	0	+144	open	—	05-22 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$130	132	0	+132	Down	+$2	05-05 23:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	4	$120	125	0	+125	open	—	04-30 17:12
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	4	$119	71	71	+0	open	—	05-08 15:21
bitcoin up or down february 14 11pm et	4	$117	59	59	+0	open	—	02-15 04:53
spx up or down on april 15 2026	4	$110	115	0	+115	open	—	04-15 18:21
btc updown 5m 1776046500	4	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	04-13 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$106	109	0	+109	Down	+$3	05-05 23:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	05-22 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 17:10:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x137813…
05-25 17:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	74	91¢	$68	0xe174c6…
05-25 17:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xc87dd8…
05-25 17:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc312f0…
05-25 17:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x52e2e7…
05-25 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	119	96¢	$115	0x71d068…
05-25 15:07:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x883549…
05-22 20:44:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xa113f5…
05-22 19:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x00f73e…
05-22 19:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x726b1f…
05-22 17:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xce5062…
05-22 17:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xd680e5…
05-22 17:51:55	Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x2b7349…
05-22 17:50:48	Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xac88e9…
05-22 17:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x75ec4f…
05-22 17:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3a7e0a…
05-22 17:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x621ebe…
05-22 17:12:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xd1b73e…
05-21 17:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7d494a…
05-21 17:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x932521…
05-21 16:42:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc2d6dd…
05-20 18:19:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0e3996…
05-19 17:54:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x2cc8bc…
05-14 17:49:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0xd288df…
05-14 15:20:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x4f51e0…
05-14 14:45:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xaa6d1c…
05-14 14:41:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x6a8b60…
05-13 23:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x0ab8c7…
05-13 18:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9fe590…
05-13 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa924c6…
05-13 17:35:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x2b4a45…
05-13 17:33:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x48e94c…
05-13 16:04:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdeac90…
05-13 16:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x9d522a…
05-13 16:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x27fc4d…
05-13 15:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x724658…
05-13 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x00c0ee…
05-12 23:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x3fbd66…
05-12 23:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc3c21…
05-12 22:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b4d15…
05-12 20:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x723b65…
05-12 20:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x51b84b…
05-12 20:01:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	527	100¢	$526	0xab1fce…
05-12 19:49:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	240	96¢	$231	0x6df84e…
05-12 19:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0bde56…
05-12 19:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x678426…
05-12 19:20:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x33d7f0…
05-12 16:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8924e6…
05-12 16:22:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0a1a0f…
05-12 15:15:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8e9137…
05-12 14:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x0324cb…
05-12 14:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4c76c9…
05-12 14:38:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xe66547…
05-12 14:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd4a912…
05-12 14:32:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x168be7…
05-11 19:54:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x379279…
05-11 19:33:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xb78da8…
05-11 19:25:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa740ba…
05-11 19:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x9655a6…
05-11 19:10:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xc3bcd3…
05-11 19:09:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0x2b2fdd…
05-11 18:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa27714…
05-11 18:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xb1aa6e…
05-11 18:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x28db03…
05-11 18:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x922339…
05-11 18:31:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x2e1168…
05-09 17:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcebcf1…
05-09 17:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xe9f153…
05-09 17:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfa35b1…
05-09 17:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x424092…
05-09 17:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x2557b5…
05-09 17:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0c6e7b…
05-09 15:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3d10d2…
05-09 15:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x71b208…
05-09 15:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xa4247a…
05-09 15:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x223e7e…
05-09 14:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x1fb6b7…
05-09 14:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc346ee…
05-08 21:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaa3753…
05-08 21:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x643bb5…
05-08 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52eade…
05-08 21:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe80c69…
05-08 18:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe3c8e5…
05-08 18:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc3edda…
05-08 15:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c4ea5…
05-08 15:41:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xa453b8…
05-08 15:35:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x40c2f0…
05-08 15:21:39	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	71	87¢	$61	0xc07635…
05-08 15:12:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb1e288…
05-07 22:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x321c27…
05-07 21:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6f0014…
05-07 20:45:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x261cd0…
05-07 20:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfe8ee8…
05-07 19:47:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xb8c56a…
05-07 19:44:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd217b6…
05-07 19:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5294e1…
05-07 19:39:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc14973…
05-07 19:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1bcbd8…
05-07 19:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xdb782f…
05-07 19:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdfd16d…