S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?
open
Total volume
$2,501
$16,387 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$21,610
Latest YES mid
80¢
Latest NO mid
20¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 09:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+14.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1.7K
vs crowd: 86% YES on $2.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $1.7K | — | +$1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $185 | $317 | $132 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1.7K | $4 | +$1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $11 | $114 | $103 |
| Median | 3 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $157 | $30 | +$127 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $168 | $168 |
| unranked | 3 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | +2,327 | $1,715 | $1,715 | 11 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Rapid-Climate 0xe5f0…dc1d | Down | +700 | $168 | $168 | 1 | 05-08 08:29 |
| Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | +140 | $96 | $122 | 6 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Down | +50 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 21:58 |
| Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Up | +45 | $34 | $262 | 3 | 05-08 07:04 |
| Dual-Coleslaw 0x80e8…9010 | Up | +20 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-08 05:48 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Down | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 09:24 |
| Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | +18 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-07 22:25 |
| Faithful-Confidentiality-Towtruck 0x78d2…d224 | Up | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 05:08 |
| Faithful-Confidentiality-Towtruck 0x78d2…d224 | Down | +16 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-08 06:50 |
| Testy-Epic 0xf029…0c73 | Up | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 04:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xd787…7c12 | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:24:48 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Down | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xcb144f… |
| 05-08 09:20:55 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 226 | 80¢ | $181 | 0x404fe7… |
| 05-08 08:59:26 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 77¢ | $192 | 0x5b3b2c… |
| 05-08 08:59:26 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 77¢ | $192 | 0x4ae683… |
| 05-08 08:46:02 | Unsteady-Incident 0x9bc4…eb39 | Up | SELL | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0xf705ba… |
| 05-08 08:29:34 | Rapid-Climate 0xe5f0…dc1d | Down | BUY | 700 | 24¢ | $168 | 0x2c0035… |
| 05-08 08:10:54 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xd16076… |
| 05-08 08:10:47 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 76¢ | $190 | 0x1b109e… |
| 05-08 08:09:45 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 75¢ | $188 | 0x1765c1… |
| 05-08 07:30:53 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | SELL | 50 | 25¢ | $13 | 0x428258… |
| 05-08 07:04:15 | Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Up | SELL | 156 | 73¢ | $114 | 0x2c9483… |
| 05-08 06:59:31 | Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Up | BUY | 156 | 74¢ | $115 | 0x08eae1… |
| 05-08 06:50:10 | Faithful-Confidentiality-Towtruck 0x78d2…d224 | Down | SELL | 0 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x0c275c… |
| 05-08 06:29:55 | Speedy-Truth 0x41f3…844e | Down | SELL | 100 | 26¢ | $26 | 0x9e8917… |
| 05-08 06:08:57 | Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Up | BUY | 45 | 73¢ | $33 | 0x080bd6… |
| 05-08 05:48:09 | Dual-Coleslaw 0x80e8…9010 | Up | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x3683e2… |
| 05-08 05:37:48 | Acrobatic-Cytokine 0xd313…c026 | Down | SELL | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0x977c94… |
| 05-08 05:30:25 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 70¢ | $175 | 0x22a184… |
| 05-08 05:30:20 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 70¢ | $175 | 0x4a284e… |
| 05-08 05:08:29 | Faithful-Confidentiality-Towtruck 0x78d2…d224 | Down | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x6f9792… |
| 05-08 05:08:29 | Faithful-Confidentiality-Towtruck 0x78d2…d224 | Up | BUY | 16 | 69¢ | $11 | 0xbe66ae… |
| 05-08 04:54:08 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xe1f39f… |
| 05-08 04:54:06 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 69¢ | $172 | 0x5c06ff… |
| 05-08 04:54:06 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 250 | 69¢ | $172 | 0x03ea08… |
| 05-08 04:42:33 | (anonymous) 0xd787…7c12 | Down | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x93a9ab… |
| 05-08 04:37:27 | Testy-Epic 0xf029…0c73 | Up | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xea0ca2… |
| 05-08 01:42:36 | Dual-Coleslaw 0x80e8…9010 | Up | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xf7ede8… |
| 05-08 00:19:42 | Juvenile-Thinking 0x9693…1c29 | Down | SELL | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x3942d6… |
| 05-08 00:00:54 | Warm-Angina 0x07df…7b2d | Down | SELL | 48 | 46¢ | $22 | 0x4f2b2b… |
| 05-08 00:00:54 | Gloomy-Existence 0x20c7…2027 | Down | SELL | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0x90ba99… |
| 05-07 23:11:33 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | BUY | 25 | 57¢ | $14 | 0xeb0c20… |
| 05-07 23:11:26 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | BUY | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0x16def6… |
| 05-07 23:11:20 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | BUY | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x1ac446… |
| 05-07 23:01:18 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0xc857ec… |
| 05-07 23:01:10 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Down | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x888319… |
| 05-07 22:25:03 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x56f1ac… |
| 05-07 22:25:03 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x60b78a… |
| 05-07 21:58:57 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Down | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0xd58009… |