Realized P&L
+$446
Unrealized P&L
-$483
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
629
Trades
2,918
lifetime
Volume
$47.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$224
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 07-15 06:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Crypto
49%
36%
-$722
Politics
27%
36%
+$644
Sports
13%
43%
+$943
Other
10%
29%
-$420
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | +2,001 | $201 | 4¢ | $89 | -$112 | 07-07 21:26 | |
| putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 | Yes | +1,000 | $170 | 8¢ | $80 | -$90 | 07-07 21:31 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +1,500 | $222 | 2¢ | $29 | -$193 | 07-07 21:30 | |
| will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 | Yes | +1,000 | $115 | 3¢ | $26 | -$89 | 07-07 21:29 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252 | 27 | $2.3K | 2,501 | 2,501 | +0 | Yes | +$532 | 06-13 19:41 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 37 | $1.4K | 2,393 | 2,393 | +0 | Yes | -$136 | 06-09 01:08 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 15 | $1.4K | 1,200 | 1,200 | +0 | Yes | +$454 | 06-13 19:41 |
| bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026 | 26 | $1000 | 989 | 989 | +0 | Yes | +$242 | 06-10 15:44 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 22 | $962 | 5,500 | 4,000 | +1,500 | open | — | 07-07 21:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27? | 22 | $728 | 927 | 639 | +288 | Down | +$140 | 04-27 13:58 |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | 3 | $721 | 500 | 500 | +0 | Knicks | +$270 | 05-24 02:30 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026 | 9 | $713 | 1,300 | 1,300 | +0 | No | -$32 | 07-07 21:26 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? | 7 | $665 | 501 | 501 | +0 | No | +$332 | 05-06 15:57 |
| bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026 | 13 | $645 | 550 | 526 | +23 | No | +$376 | 06-16 15:59 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? | 26 | $633 | 600 | 600 | +0 | Yes | +$132 | 05-04 15:59 |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | 2 | $630 | 420 | 420 | +0 | Knicks | +$210 | 05-22 02:46 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889 | 8 | $540 | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Yes | +$173 | 06-12 18:26 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29? | 5 | $531 | 427 | 427 | +0 | Down | +$237 | 04-29 20:18 |
| us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851 | 17 | $497 | 618 | 618 | +0 | Yes | +$120 | 06-15 15:10 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154 | 11 | $496 | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | No | -$26 | 06-30 01:36 |
| nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 | 6 | $493 | 400 | 400 | +0 | Knicks | +$211 | 06-14 03:26 |
| bitcoin above 60k on june 25 2026 | 16 | $486 | 586 | 586 | +0 | No | +$246 | 06-25 15:07 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 9 | $466 | 525 | 525 | +0 | Yes | +$192 | 06-06 03:34 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14 | $460 | 600 | 600 | +0 | Yes | +$54 | 05-24 10:18 |
| nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 | 10 | $452 | 523 | 523 | +0 | Knicks | +$189 | 06-06 03:24 |
| bitcoin above 64k on june 22 2026 | 15 | $429 | 700 | 400 | +300 | Yes | -$76 | 06-22 08:58 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7? | 12 | $426 | 308 | 308 | +0 | Down | +$177 | 05-07 18:48 |
| bitcoin up or down on july 5 2026 | 17 | $396 | 1,055 | 1,055 | +0 | Down | -$333 | 07-05 15:45 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | 9 | $365 | 348 | 265 | +83 | Thunder | +$112 | 05-23 03:00 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | 11 | $333 | 500 | 500 | +0 | Spurs | -$81 | 05-29 02:06 |
| spy up or down on july 2 2026 | 17 | $332 | 274 | 274 | +0 | Down | +$199 | 07-02 19:16 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359 | 13 | $330 | 558 | 558 | +0 | No | +$19 | 06-30 01:35 |
| will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026 | 22 | $329 | 985 | 985 | +0 | Yes | -$83 | 06-14 18:26 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5? | 20 | $322 | 764 | 0 | +764 | Yes | -$322 | 05-05 01:55 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||